PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

NC Wilmington vs William & Mary Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-85
45-41 33-44
Position#17
Record19-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#100
Record14-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game77.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · NC Wilmington v William & Mary
18 Jan 2027
NC W v WILL
upcoming
05 Feb 2026
NC W78
WILL85
20 Jan 2025
NC W85
WILL74
14 Jan 2023
NC W67
WILL69
14 Feb 2022
NC W80
WILL73
13 Feb 2021
NC W v WILL
upcoming
08 Feb 2020
NC W70
WILL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC Wilmington winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
William & Mary winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC WilmingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Columbia College (SC)
#554
W
100-56
100
56
+44
H27/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A30/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H01/01
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A09/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A10/01
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H18/01
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A23/01
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A24/01
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-24
53-32
42-47
45-31
27-22
38-31
27-18
22-27
44-40
43-38
21-43
54-28
33-37
45-38
28-42
42-35
38-37
37-30
38-36
44-37
144.1Avg total
76.8Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.967.0144.9+10.986%
Season at home (12)78.161.5139.6+16.692%
Season away (10)77.773.6151.3+4.180%
Last 10 (10)76.867.3144.1+9.590%
Last 5 (5)76.072.6148.6+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)73.870.8144.5+3.025%
vs Weaker (25)77.066.8143.8+10.192%
This opponent (William & Mary) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
William & MaryUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Towson
#157
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H29/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H31/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A06/01
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A09/01
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A10/01
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H16/01
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H23/01
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H24/01
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A30/01
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-27
46-43
34-31
42-26
32-46
47-42
34-37
36-44
28-37
30-27
42-40
55-49
42-28
35-42
42-37
47-45
44-37
32-42
40-57
56-47
158.6Avg total
80.2Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.877.1160.9+6.764%
Season at home (10)91.775.0166.7+16.790%
Season away (12)77.278.8156.1-1.642%
Last 10 (10)80.278.4158.6+1.850%
Last 5 (5)87.084.8171.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.076.5152.5-0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (19)78.080.9158.9-2.947%
vs Weaker (9)86.167.2153.3+18.978%
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +9.6+9.62nd half: +1.9+1.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +9.6+9.62nd half: +1.9+1.9
NC WilmingtonWilliam & Mary
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC WilmingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Columbia College (SC)
#554
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H27/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A30/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H01/01
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
27-18
27
18
+9
H04/01
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A09/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A10/01
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H18/01
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A23/01
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A30/01
NCAA
69.1Avg total
34.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.833.169.9+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.828.367.1+10.481%-
Last 30 away (14)34.538.673.1-4.143%-
Last 10 (10)34.534.669.1-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)31.639.070.6-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)33.534.267.8-0.825%-
vs Weaker (25)36.333.069.2+3.368%-
This opponent (William & Mary) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
William & MaryLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Towson
#157
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H29/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H31/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A06/01
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/01
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A10/01
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/01
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H23/01
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A30/01
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H31/01
NCAA
75.3Avg total
37.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.736.577.1+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.335.878.1+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)39.137.176.2+1.947%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.775.3-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.881.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.032.572.5+7.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.239.279.3+1.047%-
vs Weaker (9)41.931.773.6+10.289%-
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
NC Wilmington wins
3
William & Mary wins
NC Wilmingtonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26ATowson82-73
24/01/26AHampton75-67
23/01/26AWilliam & Mary70-77
18/01/26HCampbell78-75
10/01/26AStony Brook75-71
09/01/26ANortheastern87-78
04/01/26HHampton49-45
01/01/26HDrexel65-53
30/12/25AN. Carolina A&T87-78
27/12/25HColumbia College (SC)100-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HCampbell96-104
30/01/26AElon76-79
24/01/26HHofstra89-82
23/01/26HNC Wilmington77-70
16/01/26HN. Carolina A&T97-89
10/01/26ADrexel58-64
09/01/26AMonmouth70-81
06/01/26ACharleston79-88
31/12/25HStony Brook76-57
29/12/25HTowson84-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC Wilmington
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %86%92%80%
Points / game77.978.177.7
Allowed / game67.061.573.6
Point differential+10.9+16.6+4.1
Avg total144.9139.6151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
William & Mary
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayLLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %64%90%42%
Points / game83.891.777.2
Allowed / game77.175.078.8
Point differential+6.7+16.7-1.6
Avg total160.9166.7156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC Wilmington2219386%77.967.0+10.9
2 Charleston2315865%77.375.4+1.9
3 William & Mary2214864%83.877.1+6.7
4 Hofstra2314961%76.769.0+7.7
5 Stony Brook2314961%72.670.5+2.1
6 Elon23131057%82.478.2+4.2
7 Towson24131154%70.267.0+3.2
8 Drexel23121152%68.265.7+2.5
9 Monmouth23111248%71.671.0+0.6
10 Hampton23101343%69.068.0+1.0
11 Campbell23101343%80.980.4+0.5
12 N. Carolina A&T2191243%75.676.0-0.3
13 Northeastern2161529%77.081.4-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC Wilmington453378
William & Mary414485
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.