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NC Wilmington vs William & Mary Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 19 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#17
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game63.5
NC Wilmington
USA
vs
William & Mary
USA
Position#159
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · NC Wilmington v William & Mary
18 Jan 2027
NC W v WILL
upcoming
05 Feb 2026
NC W78
WILL85
20 Jan 2025
NC W85
WILL74
14 Jan 2023
NC W67
WILL69
14 Feb 2022
NC W80
WILL73
13 Feb 2021
NC W v WILL
upcoming
08 Feb 2020
NC W70
WILL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC Wilmington win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
William & Mary win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC WilmingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monmouth
#159
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H20/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A21/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H27/02
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H02/03
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A04/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H08/03
NCAA
Mount Olive Trojans
#435
W
101-65
101
65
+36
H03/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#123
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#277
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H12/11
NCAA
Montreat College
#516
W
100-41
100
41
+59
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
43-38
36-35
37-33
44-26
44-39
35-23
41-56
35-24
41-33
33-31
37-54
36-27
65-38
31-33
47-42
49-30
42-43
57-26
43-15
150.9Avg total
83.2Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.563.5156.0+29.0100%
Season at home (3)97.359.7157.0+37.7100%
Season away (1)78.075.0153.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.267.7150.9+15.580%
Last 5 (5)88.067.8155.8+20.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)74.270.4144.6+3.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)77.067.3144.3+9.791%
This opponent (William & Mary) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
William & MaryUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon
#256
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A20/02
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H27/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
61-92
61
92
-31
A09/03
NCAA
Bridgewater College (VA)
#363
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H03/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#270
W
104-73
104
73
+31
H08/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#140
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-43
42-38
43-35
40-49
35-32
49-45
46-37
45-51
51-41
43-44
35-31
37-31
33-50
28-42
37-30
43-36
54-35
50-38
42-39
48-56
164.0Avg total
83.7Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.378.0169.3+13.367%
Season at home (2)92.069.5161.5+22.5100%
Season away (1)90.095.0185.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)83.780.3164.0+3.460%
Last 5 (5)81.477.6159.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (12)82.484.2166.6-1.850%
vs Weaker (17)85.173.4158.4+11.771%
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +10.6+10.61st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: -0.5-0.5
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +10.6+10.61st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: -0.5-0.5
NC WilmingtonWilliam & Mary
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC WilmingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monmouth
#159
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H20/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A21/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H27/02
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H02/03
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A04/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Mount Olive Trojans
#435
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H03/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#123
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#277
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H12/11
NCAA
Montreat College
#516
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H14/11
NCAA
67.8Avg total
39.2Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.131.868.9+5.277%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.228.266.4+9.989%-
Last 30 away (12)35.437.272.7-1.858%-
Last 10 (10)39.228.667.8+10.690%-
Last 5 (5)41.229.470.6+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)35.834.470.2+1.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)36.531.768.3+4.878%-
This opponent (William & Mary) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
William & MaryLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon
#256
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A20/02
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H27/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A28/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H04/03
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A09/03
NCAA
Bridgewater College (VA)
#363
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H03/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#270
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#140
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A12/11
NCAA
78.5Avg total
41.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.077.9+3.973%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.735.377.0+6.587%-
Last 30 away (15)40.138.778.7+1.460%-
Last 10 (10)41.237.378.5+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.077.2+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (12)40.541.181.6-0.650%-
vs Weaker (17)41.434.575.9+6.988%-
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
NC Wilmington wins
4
William & Mary wins
DateGameScore
06/02/26NC Wilmington v William & Mary78-85
23/01/26William & Mary v NC Wilmington77-70
24/02/25William & Mary v NC Wilmington70-79
20/01/25NC Wilmington v William & Mary85-74
23/02/24William & Mary v NC Wilmington65-81
04/02/23William & Mary v NC Wilmington63-70
14/01/23NC Wilmington v William & Mary67-69
14/02/22NC Wilmington v William & Mary80-73 OT
05/02/22William & Mary v NC Wilmington70-92
07/03/21William & Mary v NC Wilmington73-60
NC Wilmingtonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMontreat College100-41
12/11/26HKent State91-73
07/11/26AEast Carolina78-75
03/11/26HMount Olive Trojans101-65
08/03/26HCampbell70-85
04/03/26AElon76-57
02/03/26HCharleston76-79
27/02/26HN. Carolina A&T88-65
21/02/26ACampbell73-68
20/02/26HMonmouth79-69
William & Marylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AFlorida Atlantic90-95
08/11/26HNorfolk State104-73
03/11/26HBridgewater College (VA)80-66
09/03/26AHofstra61-92
08/03/26HElon72-62
04/03/26HHampton94-85
28/02/26AN. Carolina A&T91-88
27/02/26HNortheastern84-77
20/02/26ACampbell83-84
14/02/26HElon78-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC Wilmington
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.597.378.0
Allowed / game63.559.775.0
Point differential+29.0+37.7+3.0
Avg total156.0157.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
William & Mary
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game91.392.090.0
Allowed / game78.069.595.0
Point differential+13.3+22.5-5.0
Avg total169.3161.5185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston330100%104.767.3+37.3
2 NC Wilmington440100%92.563.5+29.0
3 William & Mary32167%91.378.0+13.3
4 Towson53260%70.260.8+9.4
5 N. Carolina A&T42250%83.270.2+13.0
6 Hofstra42250%70.063.8+6.2
7 Elon42250%69.570.5-1.0
8 Northeastern42250%78.883.2-4.5
9 Drexel42250%66.873.2-6.5
10 Stony Brook31233%73.764.7+9.0
11 Hampton41325%59.866.0-6.2
12 Campbell41325%70.278.8-8.5
13 Monmouth41325%61.079.2-18.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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