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Neptunas 2 vs Suduva-Mantinga Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 77-80
Projected total 156.8
Final 75-94
20-23 13-24 20-18 22-29
Position#7
Record7-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game73.2
Neptunas 2
Lithuania
Vs
39%
61%
■ NEPT 39%■ SUDU 61%
Pythia win probability
Suduva-Mantinga 🏆
Lithuania
Position#4
Record6-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game79.9
LithuaniaNKLRound 11· Klaip
Other2026-27
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Suduva-Mantinga
05 Nov 2026
NEPT75
SUDU94
07 May 2026
NEPT79
SUDU71
30 Apr 2026
NEPT69
SUDU75
29 Nov 2025
NEPT73
SUDU84
05 Oct 2024
NEPT87
SUDU81
23 Nov 2023
NEPT75
SUDU81
08 Nov 2022
NEPT48
SUDU84
18 Dec 2021
NEPT66
SUDU94
09 Jan 2021
NEPT70
SUDU75
22 Feb 2020
NEPT69
SUDU70
05 Jan 2020
NEPT77
SUDU78
01 Feb 2019
NEPT67
SUDU91
19 Oct 2018
NEPT69
SUDU75
02 Mar 2018
NEPT77
SUDU90
25 Nov 2017
NEPT82
SUDU77
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Neptunas 2 host Suduva-Mantinga on 5 November 2026 in the NKL, with the model favouring the visitors who are 6-3 this season, averaging 92.8 points and allowing 79.9, while the home side are 7-3, scoring 78.0 and conceding 73.2, and sit fifth in the league; Neptunas 2 have a 3-2 home record with 70.8 points for and 73.0 against, and have won their last five games, including a 87-64 victory over Ukmerges Stekas on 3 November and a 59-57 win at home over Plunges Olimpas on 29 October, whereas Suduva-Mantinga's road record is 4-1, with 94.6 points scored and 86.8 allowed, and they have won three of their last five, notably a 109-85 win over Mazeikiai on 29 October; historically Suduva-Mantinga lead the series 7-3 and last met on 9 May 2026 when they beat Neptunas 2 76-68; the Pythia model projects a 77-80 score, a total of 156.8 points, gives Suduva-Mantinga a 61% win probability against Neptunas 2's 39%, and assigns a 5% chance of overtime, with the home team covering the line only if they win by five or more.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winLost
39.2%fair 2.55
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Suduva-Mantinga winWon
60.8%fair 1.64
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 04 Nov 06:58 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#15
W
91-76
91
76
+15
78avg 71
A01/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#8
L
72-76
72
76
-4
56avg 71
H03/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#6
L
84-88
84
88
-4
71avg 71
A06/10
NKL
Silute
#5
W
73-70
73
70
+3
69avg 71
H10/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 71
H15/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 71
A17/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
78-77
78
77
+1
75avg 71
H22/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
74-62
74
62
+12
69avg 71
A24/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
W
59-57
59
57
+2
42avg 71
H29/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
87-64
87
64
+23
no box
A03/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
31-21
27-17
14-17
21-21
23-19
16-18
12-18
17-26
24-16
23-26
20-20
18-13
15-20
26-20
14-17
10-18
21-23
22-20
19-24
27-24
25-24
23-16
15-13
22-17
31-17
14-23
11-20
23-18
15-16
18-16
18-12
13-17
19-19
10-11
17-10
20-9
23-21
21-16
23-18
151.2Avg total
78.0Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.073.2151.2+4.870%
Season at home (5)70.873.0143.8-2.260%
Season away (5)85.273.4158.6+11.880%
Last 10 (10)78.073.2151.2+4.870%
Last 5 (5)77.667.4145.0+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.575.9149.4-2.438%
vs Similar (11)78.175.5153.5+2.673%
vs Weaker (11)83.671.5155.1+12.282%
This opponent (Suduva-Mantinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Suduva-MantingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuduva-Mantinga
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 85
H09/05
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
69avg 85
A08/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
W
106-94
106
94
+12
71avg 85
A10/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
88-83
88
83
+5
66avg 85
A15/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#8
L
82-87
82
87
-5
70avg 85
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
55avg 85
H24/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
113-63
113
63
+50
120avg 85
H27/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
W
109-85
109
85
+24
114avg 85
A29/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 85
H31/10
NKL
Silute
#5
L
83-92
83
92
-9
no box
A03/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
18-19
24-14
20-17
22-21
24-14
11-12
19-29
21-20
25-29
34-25
26-20
31-18
21-24
15-23
21-18
23-21
21-27
12-26
26-13
13-21
14-22
22-14
20-14
32-9
33-26
28-12
20-16
28-13
26-22
35-26
20-24
27-9
26-23
23-14
22-18
21-30
21-26
17-14
24-22
169.8Avg total
91.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)92.879.9172.7+12.967%
Season at home (4)90.571.2161.8+19.250%
Season away (5)94.686.8181.4+7.880%
Last 10 (10)91.178.7169.8+12.470%
Last 5 (5)94.475.0169.4+19.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)89.775.5165.2+14.176%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 162Actual: Over 162
Over 162
36.7%
Under 162
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167Actual: Over 167
Over 167
26.0%
Under 167
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 172Actual: Under 172
Over 172
17.3%
Under 172
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Neptunas 2 total 80Actual: Neptunas 2 under 80
Over 80
37.2%
Under 80
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptunas 2 total 84Actual: Neptunas 2 under 84
Over 84
23.6%
Under 84
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptunas 2 total 88Actual: Neptunas 2 under 88
Over 88
13.5%
Under 88
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduva-Mantinga total 78.5Actual: Suduva-Mantinga over 78.5
Over 78.5
55.5%
Under 78.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduva-Mantinga total 82.5Actual: Suduva-Mantinga over 82.5
Over 82.5
40.0%
Under 82.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduva-Mantinga total 86.5Actual: Suduva-Mantinga over 86.5
Over 86.5
26.0%
Under 86.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Neptunas 2 -3Actual: Suduva-Mantinga +3
NEPT -3
30.5%
SUDU +3
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
NEPT
No market prices yet.
SUDU
No market prices yet.
Spread Neptunas 2 0Actual: Suduva-Mantinga 0
NEPT 0
39.2%
SUDU 0
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
NEPT
No market prices yet.
SUDU
No market prices yet.
Spread Neptunas 2 +3Actual: Suduva-Mantinga -3
NEPT +3
48.0%
SUDU -3
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
NEPT
No market prices yet.
SUDU
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.7+2.7
Neptunas 2Suduva-Mantinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#15
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A01/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H03/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A06/10
NKL
Silute
#5
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H10/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H15/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A17/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H22/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H29/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A03/11
NKL
79.7Avg total
41.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.337.378.5+4.077%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.238.180.3+4.262%-
Last 30 away (17)40.536.677.2+3.988%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.079.7+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.480.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.437.174.5+0.250%-
vs Similar (11)42.537.980.4+4.582%-
vs Weaker (11)42.936.779.6+6.291%-
This opponent (Suduva-Mantinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Suduva-MantingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/05
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A08/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A10/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A15/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H24/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
65-35
65
35
+30
H27/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A29/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H31/10
NKL
Silute
#5
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A03/11
NKL
87.3Avg total
46.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.536.782.2+8.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.234.882.0+12.469%-
Last 30 away (14)43.638.982.4+4.764%-
Last 10 (10)46.141.287.3+4.950%-
Last 5 (5)48.240.288.4+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.043.070.0-16.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)46.136.582.6+9.769%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.4
52.6%
54.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.3
28.3%
31.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.1
71.2%
67.1%14.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Suduva-Mantingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Suduva-Mantinga: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.1
55.1%
54.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.5
34.8%
31.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.312.5
61.6%
67.1%12.5
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
WWWWWLWLLW
Suduva-Mantinga
LWWWLLWWWW
#7
League position
#4
+1.8
Net rating
+11.3
89.8
Offensive rating
100.1
88.0
Defensive rating
88.9
48.0%
Effective FG%
53.7%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
12.9%
Turnover %
11.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.3%
3-point %
34.8%
60.7%
Assist %
64.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence89.8 · 100.1Defence88.0 · 88.9Shooting48.0% · 53.7%3-point %28.3% · 34.8%Ball care12.9% · 11.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Suduva-Mantinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas 2 wins
7
Suduva-Mantinga wins
DateGameScore
09/05/26Suduva-Mantinga v Neptunas 276-68
07/05/26Neptunas 2 v Suduva-Mantinga79-71
02/05/26Suduva-Mantinga v Neptunas 267-65
30/04/26Neptunas 2 v Suduva-Mantinga69-75
24/04/26Suduva-Mantinga v Neptunas 268-73
07/02/26Suduva-Mantinga v Neptunas 298-60
29/11/25Neptunas 2 v Suduva-Mantinga73-84
04/01/25Suduva-Mantinga v Neptunas 299-75
05/10/24Neptunas 2 v Suduva-Mantinga87-81
23/11/23Neptunas 2 v Suduva-Mantinga75-81
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AUkmerges Stekas87-64
29/10/26HPlunges Olimpas59-57
24/10/26ARytas 274-62
22/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga78-77
17/10/26AMazeikiai90-77
15/10/26HTelsiai72-85
10/10/26HSilute73-70
06/10/26AVytis VDU84-88
03/10/26HOmega-Tauras72-76
01/10/26AKretinga91-76
Suduva-Mantingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ASilute83-92
31/10/26HKedainiai BC98-64
29/10/26AMazeikiai109-85
27/10/26HKauno Atletas113-63
24/10/26HTelsiai69-71
17/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-87
15/10/26AKretinga88-83
10/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas 2106-94
08/10/26AAlytaus Patriotai87-80 OT
09/05/26HNeptunas 276-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game78.070.885.2
Allowed / game73.273.073.4
Point differential+4.8-2.2+11.8
Avg total151.2143.8158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Suduva-Mantinga
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%50%80%
Points / game92.890.594.6
Allowed / game79.971.286.8
Point differential+12.9+19.2+7.8
Avg total172.7161.8181.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai10100100%88.272.5+15.7
2 Jurbarkas98189%88.174.1+14.0
3 BC Olimpas Palanga108280%93.080.6+12.4
4 Silute97278%84.378.0+6.3
5 Neptunas 2107370%78.073.2+4.8
6 Suduva-Mantinga96367%92.879.9+12.9
7 Vytis VDU85362%95.691.1+4.5
8 Omega-Tauras106460%87.082.4+4.6
9 Plunges Olimpas106460%81.478.1+3.3
10 Alytaus Patriotai105550%86.188.2-2.1
11 Zalgiris Kaunas 2104640%95.797.1-1.4
12 Vilkaviskis104640%81.486.9-5.5
13 Kedainiai BC104640%76.883.8-7.0
14 Ukmerges Stekas103730%80.190.4-10.3
15 Kretinga102820%79.788.1-8.4
16 Mazeikiai102820%76.586.5-10.0
17 Rytas 2100100%75.187.3-12.2
18 Kauno Atletas9090%77.396.7-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 22013202275
Suduva-Mantinga2324182994
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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