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Mazeikiai vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 77-90
24-27 24-25 16-23 13-15
Position#16
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#6
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game79.0
LithuaniaNKLRound 6· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Neptunas 2
17 Oct 2026
MAZ77
NEPT90
23 Oct 2025
MAZ92
NEPT61
29 Oct 2022
MAZ88
NEPT77
03 Feb 2022
MAZ86
NEPT83
30 Oct 2021
MAZ64
NEPT47
12 Dec 2020
MAZ88
NEPT83
26 Oct 2019
MAZ63
NEPT75
10 Nov 2018
MAZ80
NEPT88
31 Mar 2018
MAZ59
NEPT75
27 Mar 2018
MAZ86
NEPT79
04 Jan 2018
MAZ69
NEPT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
L
90-94
90
94
-4
82avg 74
A07/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
70-99
70
99
-29
54avg 74
A12/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
113-99
113
99
+14
106avg 74
H14/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 74
H20/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 74
A23/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
70-86
70
86
-16
60avg 74
A01/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 74
H03/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
67avg 74
A08/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
62-91
62
91
-29
47avg 74
H10/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 74
A15/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
21-24
29-27
12-22
18-29
10-34
19-19
23-17
23-24
26-26
32-23
32-26
24-32
21-25
22-23
20-12
22-22
10-24
20-15
20-24
21-30
18-20
16-16
15-20
18-18
16-13
23-16
18-25
16-24
17-21
14-19
25-19
13-27
13-12
21-24
15-28
16-21
21-25
25-28
23-18
168.9Avg total
79.6Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.884.8157.6-12.020%
Season at home (2)68.581.5150.0-13.050%
Season away (3)75.787.0162.7-11.30%
Last 10 (10)79.689.3168.9-9.720%
Last 5 (5)72.884.8157.6-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.790.8162.5-19.20%
vs Similar (20)82.583.4165.9-0.945%
vs Weaker (4)89.273.8163.0+15.5100%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
73-68
73
68
+5
69avg 70
A24/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
69-75
69
75
-6
63avg 70
H30/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
65-67
65
67
-2
44avg 70
A02/05
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
79-71
79
71
+8
73avg 70
H07/05
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
68-76
68
76
-8
58avg 70
A09/05
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
91-76
91
76
+15
78avg 70
A01/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#10
L
72-76
72
76
-4
56avg 70
H03/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
84-88
84
88
-4
71avg 70
A06/10
NKL
Silute
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
69avg 70
H10/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 70
H15/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
19-16
16-17
18-15
13-21
13-17
23-24
20-13
15-16
20-18
12-15
18-18
25-23
12-17
21-14
21-17
18-14
19-18
14-24
17-20
19-21
31-21
27-17
14-17
21-21
23-19
16-18
12-18
17-26
24-16
23-26
20-20
18-13
15-20
26-20
14-17
10-18
21-23
22-20
19-24
149.8Avg total
74.6Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.479.0157.4-0.640%
Season at home (3)72.377.0149.3-4.733%
Season away (2)87.582.0169.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)74.675.2149.8-0.640%
Last 5 (5)78.479.0157.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.477.1146.6-7.729%
vs Similar (12)81.079.2160.2+1.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.673.3156.9+10.482%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.6-0.6
MazeikiaiNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A07/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
28-63
28
63
-35
A12/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H14/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H20/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A23/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A01/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A08/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H10/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A15/10
NKL
84.4Avg total
37.2Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.883.1-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.241.383.5+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)38.744.182.8-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)37.247.284.4-10.020%-
Last 5 (5)33.842.276.0-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.048.382.3-14.30%-
vs Similar (20)41.742.484.1-0.750%-
vs Weaker (4)43.036.279.2+6.850%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A24/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H30/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A02/05
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H07/05
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A09/05
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A01/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H03/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A06/10
NKL
Silute
#7
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H10/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H15/10
NKL
75.1Avg total
37.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.378.9+2.373%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.338.881.1+3.564%-
Last 30 away (16)39.137.977.0+1.281%-
Last 10 (10)37.337.875.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.679.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.139.472.6-6.343%-
vs Similar (12)43.039.382.3+3.775%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.736.579.2+6.391%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.7
54.6%
54.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.3
33.5%
31.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.312.3
75.5%
67.1%12.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.7
53.4%
54.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.16.9
24.6%
31.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws22.716.4
72.2%
67.1%16.4
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LLLWLLLWLL
Neptunas 2
LWLLWLWLLW
#16
League position
#6
-10.9
Net rating
-0.8
92.3
Offensive rating
88.2
103.2
Defensive rating
89.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
46.0%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
16.5%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.5%
3-point %
24.6%
49.0%
Assist %
52.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 88.2Defence103.2 · 89.1Shooting52.7% · 46.0%3-point %33.5% · 24.6%Ball care16.5% · 13.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mazeikiai wins
4
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
08/01/26Neptunas 2 v Mazeikiai73-66
23/10/25Mazeikiai v Neptunas 292-61
10/01/23Neptunas 2 v Mazeikiai86-84
29/10/22Mazeikiai v Neptunas 288-77
24/02/22Neptunas 2 v Mazeikiai83-76
03/02/22Mazeikiai v Neptunas 286-83 OT
27/11/21Neptunas 2 v Mazeikiai102-81
30/10/21Mazeikiai v Neptunas 264-47
15/12/20Neptunas 2 v Mazeikiai74-84
12/12/20Mazeikiai v Neptunas 288-83
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/26AKedainiai BC85-92
10/10/26HJurbarkas62-91
08/10/26ATelsiai72-83
03/10/26HRytas 275-72
01/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga70-86
23/03/26AJurbarkas72-85
20/03/26HJurbarkas87-92
14/03/26HVytis VDU113-99
12/03/26ASuduva-Mantinga70-99
07/03/26ARytas 290-94
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/26HTelsiai72-85
10/10/26HSilute73-70
06/10/26AVytis VDU84-88
03/10/26HOmega-Tauras72-76
01/10/26AKretinga91-76
09/05/26ASuduva-Mantinga68-76
07/05/26HSuduva-Mantinga79-71
02/05/26ASuduva-Mantinga65-67
30/04/26HSuduva-Mantinga69-75
24/04/26ASuduva-Mantinga73-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game72.868.575.7
Allowed / game84.881.587.0
Point differential-12.0-13.0-11.3
Avg total157.6150.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game78.472.387.5
Allowed / game79.077.082.0
Point differential-0.6-4.7+5.5
Avg total157.4149.3169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas550100%92.271.6+20.6
2 Telsiai550100%84.470.4+14.0
3 Omega-Tauras65183%93.083.3+9.7
4 BC Olimpas Palanga54180%92.678.0+14.6
5 Suduva-Mantinga43175%90.886.0+4.8
6 Vytis VDU43175%96.893.8+3.0
7 Silute53260%79.876.8+3.0
8 Vilkaviskis42250%88.286.2+2.0
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 263350%99.298.0+1.2
10 Plunges Olimpas63350%85.285.8-0.7
11 Ukmerges Stekas52340%88.287.8+0.4
12 Neptunas 252340%78.479.0-0.6
13 Alytaus Patriotai52340%85.494.2-8.8
14 Kedainiai BC52340%78.087.8-9.8
15 Mazeikiai51420%72.884.8-12.0
16 Kretinga5050%80.892.0-11.2
17 Rytas 26060%76.290.2-14.0
18 Kauno Atletas4040%78.094.8-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai2424161377
Neptunas 22725231590
← all games of the day
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