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Neptunas vs BC Olimpas Palanga Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Apr 2012
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 109-101
28-22 25-18 22-39 34-22
Position#6
Record8-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#10
Record4-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game83.5
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2011-12
Meetings · Neptunas v BC Olimpas Palanga
20 Mar 2013
NEP88
OPA86
10 Apr 2012
NEP109
OPA101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Olimpas Palanga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#12
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
A21/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H03/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-90
67
90
-23
H05/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
H10/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A26/02
LKL
Nevezis
#7
L
91-93
91
93
-2
H02/03
LKL
Skycop
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A16/03
LKL
Juventus
#9
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H24/03
LKL
Nevezis
#7
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A30/03
LKL
KK Baltai
#8
W
85-59
85
59
+26
H31/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
15-18
29-24
23-19
16-16
16-22
20-22
25-19
20-19
21-26
18-20
8-25
22-24
19-22
18-22
26-23
17-30
24-18
25-12
18-25
25-18
29-28
22-16
15-31
24-25
16-29
25-11
14-29
25-19
28-18
20-17
15-15
26-20
28-19
13-24
14-16
18-13
17-14
24-20
26-12
167.7Avg total
83.5Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.582.7164.1-1.240%
Season at home (10)83.880.2164.0+3.650%
Season away (10)79.185.1164.2-6.030%
Last 10 (10)83.584.2167.7-0.730%
Last 5 (5)84.878.8163.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.787.2163.8-10.517%
vs Similar (6)81.383.3164.7-2.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.178.8163.9+6.462%
This opponent (BC Olimpas Palanga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC Olimpas PalangaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
L
73-81 OT
73
81
-8
H17/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
55-107
55
107
-52
A28/12
LKL
Nevezis
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A06/01
LKL
Skycop
#3
L
92-94
92
94
-2
H03/02
LKL
Juventus
#9
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
58-101
58
101
-43
A13/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H21/02
LKL
KK Baltai
#8
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H28/02
LKL
Sakalai
#11
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H16/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#12
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A30/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
15-16
22-17
15-11
15-22
15-27
11-36
14-22
16-25
23-20
11-12
22-29
18-12
25-27
19-26
30-29
22-28
23-23
18-26
18-16
15-23
20-25
10-28
13-25
17-17
15-24
17-28
26-14
21-21
12-22
26-20
27-15
16-26
25-20
26-20
23-16
19-21
20-22
17-20
22-22
165.0Avg total
76.0Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.783.5155.2-11.920%
Season at home (10)74.079.3153.3-5.330%
Season away (10)69.387.8157.1-18.510%
Last 10 (10)76.089.0165.0-13.020%
Last 5 (5)77.485.8163.2-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)68.985.2154.1-16.47%
vs Similar (6)78.279.7157.8-1.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
NeptunasBC Olimpas Palanga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#12
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A21/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H03/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H05/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H10/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A26/02
LKL
Nevezis
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H02/03
LKL
Skycop
#3
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A16/03
LKL
Juventus
#9
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H24/03
LKL
Nevezis
#7
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A30/03
LKL
KK Baltai
#8
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H31/03
LKL
85.4Avg total
42.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)40.940.581.3+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (10)43.940.083.9+3.960%-
Last 30 away (10)37.841.078.8-3.220%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.685.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.240.687.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.846.084.8-7.217%-
vs Similar (6)41.740.382.0+1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.836.578.2+5.262%-
This opponent (BC Olimpas Palanga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC Olimpas PalangaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H17/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A28/12
LKL
Nevezis
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A06/01
LKL
Skycop
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H03/02
LKL
Juventus
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A13/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H21/02
LKL
KK Baltai
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H28/02
LKL
Sakalai
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H16/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#12
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A30/03
LKL
80.7Avg total
36.5Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)35.241.576.8-6.315%-
Last 30 at home (10)34.738.473.1-3.730%-
Last 30 away (10)35.844.780.5-8.90%-
Last 10 (10)36.544.280.7-7.710%-
Last 5 (5)36.044.280.2-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)34.142.076.1-7.914%-
vs Similar (6)38.040.578.5-2.517%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
0
BC Olimpas Palanga wins
DateGameScore
17/12/11BC Olimpas Palanga v Neptunas73-81 OT
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/12HKK Baltai85-59
30/03/12ANevezis81-79
24/03/12HJuventus88-69
16/03/12ASkycop79-94
02/03/12HNevezis91-93
26/02/12AZalgiris Kaunas84-85
10/02/12HRytas85-91
05/02/12HZalgiris Kaunas67-90
03/02/12HPieno Zvaigzdes77-79
21/01/12ALietkabelis98-103 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/12ALietkabelis78-85
16/03/12HSakalai90-82
28/02/12HKK Baltai86-78
21/02/12HSiauliai75-83
13/02/12AZalgiris Kaunas58-101
04/02/12AJuventus81-93
03/02/12HSkycop92-94
06/01/12ANevezis72-86
28/12/11ARytas55-107
17/12/11HNeptunas73-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2011-12
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW40%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayWLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%50%30%
Points / game81.583.879.1
Allowed / game82.780.285.1
Point differential-1.2+3.6-6.0
Avg total164.1164.0164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %10%0%20%
BC Olimpas Palanga
LKL 2011-12
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL20%
HomeLLLWW30%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%30%10%
Points / game71.774.069.3
Allowed / game83.579.387.8
Point differential-11.9-5.3-18.5
Avg total155.2153.3157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2120195%86.471.0+15.4
2 Rytas2218482%88.067.9+20.2
3 Skycop2115671%83.176.3+6.8
4 Siauliai2014670%83.879.9+3.9
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes1911858%72.572.3+0.3
6 KK Baltai2091145%73.878.0-4.3
7 Neptunas2081240%81.582.7-1.2
8 Nevezis2081240%74.780.2-5.6
9 Juventus2161529%73.682.4-8.9
10 Sakalai2051525%73.982.0-8.2
11 Lietkabelis2041620%72.882.1-9.2
12 BC Olimpas Palanga2041620%71.783.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas28252234109
BC Olimpas Palanga22183922101
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