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Neptunas vs Krasnye Krylya Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Feb 2014
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-86 (OT)
22-27 26-15 12-23 21-16 13-5
Position#17
Record3-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#8
Record6-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game76.5
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2013-14
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Krasnye Krylya winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
77-90 OT
77
90
-13
A30/12
VTB United League
Rytas
#1
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H03/01
LKL
Azovmash Mariupol
#19
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A05/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#18
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H12/01
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#2
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H19/01
VTB United League
LSU Atletas
#11
W
118-78
118
78
+40
A22/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H27/01
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#7
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A02/02
VTB United League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H06/02
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H09/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
14-23
16-18
20-17
25-18
21-17
8-30
25-23
24-18
15-21
20-30
15-16
15-21
16-16
23-21
21-14
16-20
18-28
20-23
20-21
32-17
32-22
25-18
29-21
14-14
25-14
25-21
17-24
28-23
14-24
16-18
12-18
28-19
12-24
26-20
18-20
25-17
23-21
24-21
15-26
164.8Avg total
81.9Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.884.2161.1-7.423%
Season at home (4)80.585.5166.0-5.050%
Season away (9)75.283.7158.9-8.411%
Last 10 (10)81.982.9164.8-1.050%
Last 5 (5)88.080.4168.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.981.6155.5-7.730%
vs Similar (16)82.282.4164.6-0.244%
vs Weaker (4)89.079.5168.5+9.575%
This opponent (Krasnye Krylya) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Krasnye KrylyaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#18
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A14/12
VTB United League
Atomeromu SE Paks
#31
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H17/12
EuroChallenge
Khimki M.
#2
L
58-91
58
91
-33
H05/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#7
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A09/01
VTB United League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
74-75 OT
74
75
-1
H14/01
EuroChallenge
Astana
#11
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H18/01
VTB United League
CSM Medias
#26
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A21/01
EuroChallenge
Antwerp Giants
#8
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A28/01
EuroChallenge
Volgograd
#12
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H04/02
VTB United League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A11/02
EuroChallenge
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
20-21
24-14
18-9
27-12
18-28
12-17
22-18
14-28
15-20
9-16
20-27
19-20
10-19
15-21
18-20
17-17
21-13
17-17
13-21
14-16
10-18
19-18
23-25
29-13
15-20
15-21
21-23
21-11
24-21
16-17
14-22
23-16
23-24
12-23
25-15
20-22
23-18
18-22
12-22
149.8Avg total
72.4Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.276.5149.7-3.446%
Season at home (7)71.175.9147.0-4.757%
Season away (6)75.577.3152.8-1.833%
Last 10 (10)72.477.4149.8-5.050%
Last 5 (5)75.477.4152.8-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)57.172.3129.4-15.114%
vs Similar (16)76.777.0153.7-0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.772.1154.9+10.6100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
NeptunasKrasnye Krylya
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A30/12
VTB United League
Rytas
#1
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H03/01
LKL
Azovmash Mariupol
#19
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#18
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H12/01
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H19/01
VTB United League
LSU Atletas
#11
W
64-39
64
39
+25
A22/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H27/01
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A02/02
VTB United League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H06/02
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H09/02
LKL
81.0Avg total
41.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.377.5-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.838.177.8+1.746%-
Last 30 away (17)37.040.277.2-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.181.0+2.840%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.085.6+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.138.173.2-3.030%-
vs Similar (16)38.239.978.1-1.631%-
vs Weaker (4)45.840.085.8+5.875%-
This opponent (Krasnye Krylya) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Krasnye KrylyaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#18
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A14/12
VTB United League
Atomeromu SE Paks
#31
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/12
EuroChallenge
Khimki M.
#2
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H05/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A09/01
VTB United League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H14/01
EuroChallenge
Astana
#11
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H18/01
VTB United League
CSM Medias
#26
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A21/01
EuroChallenge
Antwerp Giants
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A28/01
EuroChallenge
Volgograd
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H04/02
VTB United League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A11/02
EuroChallenge
75.4Avg total
37.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.136.874.9+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.334.972.1+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)38.838.477.2+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.975.4-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.876.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)26.337.063.3-10.714%-
vs Similar (16)39.238.277.4+0.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.433.180.6+14.3100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
1
Krasnye Krylya wins
DateGameScore
09/11/13Krasnye Krylya v Neptunas79-72
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/14HJuventus87-85
06/02/14HPieno Zvaigzdes84-83
02/02/14AZenit Petersburg70-83
27/01/14HZalgiris Kaunas81-73
22/01/14ALSU Atletas118-78
19/01/14HKhimki M.74-92
12/01/14HMinsk75-72
05/01/14AAzovmash Mariupol74-85
03/01/14HRytas79-88
30/12/13ACSKA Moscow77-90 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/14ATartu Ulikool73-84
04/02/14HVolgograd83-78
28/01/14AAntwerp Giants75-71
21/01/14ACSM Medias80-77
18/01/14HAstana66-77
14/01/14HTartu Ulikool74-75 OT
09/01/14AZenit Petersburg62-80
05/01/14HKhimki M.58-91
17/12/13HAtomeromu SE Paks79-75
14/12/13AMinsk74-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
VTB United League 2013-14
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %23%50%11%
Points / game76.880.575.2
Allowed / game84.285.583.7
Point differential-7.4-5.0-8.4
Avg total161.1166.0158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %15%25%11%
Krasnye Krylya
VTB United League 2013-14
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW46%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game73.271.175.5
Allowed / game76.575.977.3
Point differential-3.4-4.7-1.8
Avg total149.7147.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Khimki M.15150100%86.269.7+16.5
2 Unics Kazan1312192%78.567.2+11.3
3 CSKA Moscow1412286%81.668.9+12.7
4 Rytas138562%75.171.8+3.3
5 Zenit Petersburg138562%78.478.0+0.4
6 Lokomotiv Kuban127558%75.375.2+0.1
7 Nizhny Novgorod137654%77.572.9+4.6
8 Enisey137654%85.585.8-0.3
9 Donetsk137654%81.782.3-0.6
10 VEF Riga136746%74.676.3-1.7
11 Krasnye Krylya136746%73.276.5-3.4
12 Astana156940%81.784.1-2.5
13 Spartak St. Petersburg135838%70.875.3-4.5
14 Turow Zgorzelec124833%77.279.7-2.4
15 Minsk124833%76.479.4-3.0
16 Nymburk134931%79.882.5-2.7
17 Volgograd134931%85.992.5-6.6
18 Neptunas1331023%76.884.2-7.4
19 Azovmash Mariupol1331023%71.880.3-8.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo112918%73.784.4-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Neptunas222612211394
Krasnye Krylya27152316586
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