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Neptunas vs LSU Atletas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Nov 2012
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-71
25-17 25-15 26-17 16-22
Position#3
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Position#12
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game62.2
Allowed / game76.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2012-13
Meetings · Neptunas v LSU Atletas
03 Apr 2014
NEP85
LAT75
07 Nov 2012
NEP92
LAT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LSU Atletas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
L
92-102
92
102
-10
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#4
L
75-92
75
92
-17
H27/09
LKL
Juventus
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A29/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#10
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H03/10
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H07/10
VTB United League
VEF Riga
#8
L
60-86
60
86
-26
H16/10
VTB United League
Skycop
#5
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A23/10
LKL
Nymburk
#15
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A28/10
VTB United League
Minsk
#19
W
110-106 OT
110
106
+4
H31/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
62-90
62
90
-28
H04/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
20-27
25-20
24-29
24-16
12-26
16-28
23-22
23-26
22-16
23-22
20-29
24-23
28-13
12-20
20-22
13-24
23-22
14-13
22-24
16-28
19-13
17-18
8-27
15-21
19-30
15-20
20-21
20-17
18-25
13-26
27-16
19-25
33-22
17-20
21-23
18-23
14-26
12-20
18-21
169.6Avg total
79.0Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.088.8167.8-9.825%
Season at home (2)79.585.0164.5-5.550%
Season away (2)78.592.5171.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)79.090.6169.6-11.620%
Last 5 (5)75.891.6167.4-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.387.6160.9-14.310%
vs Similar (10)88.190.2178.3-2.130%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.284.6173.8+4.670%
This opponent (LSU Atletas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSU AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H06/03
Baltic League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
51-73
51
73
-22
A10/03
Baltic League
Nevezis
#9
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#3
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A05/10
Baltic League
Juventus
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H09/10
LKL
Valmiera/ORDO
#11
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H16/10
Baltic League
Sakalai
#11
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H23/10
LKL
Skycop
#5
L
48-82
48
82
-34
H27/10
LKL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#6
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A03/11
Baltic League
Parnu
#17
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A04/11
Baltic League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
22-21
21-19
18-23
5-22
14-15
13-19
19-17
12-20
15-24
18-20
15-13
15-27
20-22
20-22
15-26
12-20
23-20
28-18
11-25
18-15
17-14
14-14
17-25
15-14
16-11
15-22
21-18
15-14
13-27
6-19
14-22
12-20
32-20
15-27
15-23
15-13
12-12
19-26
9-17
142.7Avg total
64.1Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)62.276.8139.0-14.525%
Season at home (3)63.076.7139.7-13.733%
Season away (1)60.077.0137.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)64.178.6142.7-14.510%
Last 5 (5)62.074.6136.6-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)70.880.3151.1-9.519%
vs Similar (5)66.278.6144.8-12.40%
vs Weaker (2)79.071.5150.5+7.550%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -5.5-5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -5.5-5.5
NeptunasLSU Atletas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H27/09
LKL
Juventus
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A29/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#10
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H03/10
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H07/10
VTB United League
VEF Riga
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H16/10
VTB United League
Skycop
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A23/10
LKL
Nymburk
#15
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/10
VTB United League
Minsk
#19
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H31/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H04/11
VTB United League
85.2Avg total
40.3Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.584.5-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.641.785.4+1.953%-
Last 30 away (13)39.943.583.5-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)40.344.985.2-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.246.084.2-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.946.083.9-8.110%-
vs Similar (10)44.144.388.4-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.137.281.3+6.970%-
This opponent (LSU Atletas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSU AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H06/03
Baltic League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
19-37
19
37
-18
A10/03
Baltic League
Nevezis
#9
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A05/10
Baltic League
Juventus
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H09/10
LKL
Valmiera/ORDO
#11
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H16/10
Baltic League
Sakalai
#11
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H23/10
LKL
Skycop
#5
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H27/10
LKL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A03/11
Baltic League
Parnu
#17
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A04/11
Baltic League
68.9Avg total
31.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)34.139.073.2-4.932%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.438.973.3-4.533%-
Last 30 away (13)33.839.273.1-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)31.837.168.9-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.032.065.0+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)35.039.374.3-4.338%-
vs Similar (5)30.640.270.8-9.60%-
vs Weaker (2)34.033.567.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
0
LSU Atletas wins
No previous meetings.
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/12HZalgiris Kaunas62-90
31/10/12HMinsk110-106 OT
28/10/12ANymburk78-84
23/10/12ASkycop69-92
16/10/12HVEF Riga60-86
07/10/12HCSKA Moscow72-83
03/10/12HLietkabelis84-78
29/09/12AJuventus88-93
27/09/12HRytas75-92
21/04/12ASiauliai92-102
LSU Atletaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/12AParnu55-68
03/11/12ABC Kalev/Cramo74-90
27/10/12HSkycop48-82
23/10/12HSakalai67-65
16/10/12HValmiera/ORDO66-68
09/10/12HJuventus74-83
05/10/12APieno Zvaigzdes70-97
29/09/12ANevezis60-77
10/03/12APieno Zvaigzdes51-73
06/03/12HSiauliai76-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2012-13
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game79.079.578.5
Allowed / game88.885.092.5
Point differential-9.8-5.5-14.0
Avg total167.8164.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LSU Atletas
LKL 2012-13
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLWL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game62.263.060.0
Allowed / game76.876.777.0
Point differential-14.5-13.7-17.0
Avg total139.0139.7137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skycop550100%97.667.0+30.6
2 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%86.056.0+30.0
3 Rytas330100%90.065.7+24.3
4 Siauliai330100%81.073.0+8.0
5 Juventus43175%81.267.2+14.0
6 Pieno Zvaigzdes42250%85.076.5+8.5
7 Lietkabelis42250%74.872.8+2.0
8 Neptunas41325%79.088.8-9.8
9 Sakalai41325%60.871.2-10.5
10 LSU Atletas41325%62.276.8-14.5
11 Nevezis51420%68.885.0-16.2
12 BC Olimpas Palanga6060%61.092.3-31.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2525261692
LSU Atletas1715172271
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