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Neptunas vs Sakalai Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Dec 2011
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 96-95
29-20 31-20 15-23 21-32
Position#6
Record3-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game78.6
Neptunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Sakalai
Lithuania
Position#11
Record3-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game79.4
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2011-12
Meetings · Neptunas v Sakalai
05 Dec 2012
NEP106
SAK80
16 Dec 2011
NEP96
SAK95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sakalai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#12
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H01/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A06/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A21/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A03/11
LKL
Skycop
#3
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H18/11
LKL
Juventus
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A19/11
LKL
KK Baltai
#8
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A03/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
18-15
16-8
28-19
19-15
12-16
20-33
25-21
15-18
20-20
27-14
12-19
17-25
10-20
18-25
20-20
27-25
16-13
26-16
11-19
19-23
18-16
14-23
20-23
16-20
23-22
25-20
18-24
154.0Avg total
75.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.478.6154.0-3.143%
Season at home (2)80.066.5146.5+13.5100%
Season away (5)73.683.4157.0-9.820%
Last 10 (7)75.478.6154.0-3.143%
Last 5 (5)74.481.0155.4-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.581.5154.0-9.050%
vs Similar (2)75.078.0153.0-3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)77.777.0154.7+0.733%
This opponent (Sakalai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SakalaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H06/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-74
44
74
-30
H07/10
LKL
Juventus
#9
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
A21/10
LKL
Skycop
#3
L
72-94
72
94
-22
H22/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H26/10
LKL
KK Baltai
#8
L
57-81
57
81
-24
H04/11
LKL
Nevezis
#7
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A05/11
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#10
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H18/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#12
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A02/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
15-23
15-15
19-17
15-18
13-20
8-17
8-19
20-22
21-15
24-19
13-22
19-23
22-27
13-21
18-23
19-20
21-14
17-18
15-23
13-17
14-23
10-20
20-21
11-16
23-23
14-13
25-13
14-16
17-13
13-20
21-27
18-14
33-19
22-24
17-23
149.8Avg total
70.3Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.379.4149.8-9.133%
Season at home (6)63.280.7143.8-17.50%
Season away (3)84.777.0161.7+7.7100%
Last 10 (9)70.379.4149.8-9.133%
Last 5 (5)71.475.4146.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)64.281.8146.0-17.50%
vs Similar (5)75.277.6152.8-2.460%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -3.6-3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -3.6-3.6
NeptunasSakalai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#12
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A06/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A21/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A03/11
LKL
Skycop
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H18/11
LKL
Juventus
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A19/11
LKL
KK Baltai
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A03/12
LKL
73.4Avg total
35.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)35.438.073.4-2.629%-
Last 30 at home (2)39.535.575.0+4.0100%-
Last 30 away (5)33.839.072.8-5.20%-
Last 10 (7)35.438.073.4-2.629%-
Last 5 (5)36.240.476.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.041.576.5-6.550%-
vs Similar (2)33.034.567.5-1.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)37.338.075.3-0.733%-
This opponent (Sakalai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SakalaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H06/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H07/10
LKL
Juventus
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A21/10
LKL
Skycop
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H22/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H26/10
LKL
KK Baltai
#8
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H04/11
LKL
Nevezis
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A05/11
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#10
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H18/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#12
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A02/12
LKL
75.6Avg total
36.4Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)36.439.175.6-2.744%-
Last 30 at home (6)33.740.574.2-6.833%-
Last 30 away (3)42.036.378.3+5.767%-
Last 10 (9)36.439.175.6-2.744%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.071.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.043.579.5-7.525%-
vs Similar (5)36.835.672.4+1.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
0
Sakalai wins
No previous meetings.
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/11AKK Baltai82-86
19/11/11AJuventus71-85
18/11/11HSkycop80-73
03/11/11ARytas65-90
21/10/11APieno Zvaigzdes74-71
06/10/11ASiauliai76-85
01/10/11HLietkabelis80-60
Sakalailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/11ALietkabelis90-80
18/11/11HBC Olimpas Palanga65-76
05/11/11ANevezis73-65
04/11/11HKK Baltai57-81
26/10/11HSiauliai72-75
22/10/11HSkycop72-94
21/10/11AJuventus91-86 OT
07/10/11HRytas44-74
06/10/11HZalgiris Kaunas69-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2011-12
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game75.480.073.6
Allowed / game78.666.583.4
Point differential-3.1+13.5-9.8
Avg total154.0146.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sakalai
LKL 2011-12
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game70.363.284.7
Allowed / game79.480.777.0
Point differential-9.1-17.5+7.7
Avg total149.8143.8161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas880100%85.862.1+23.6
2 Zalgiris Kaunas770100%87.972.4+15.4
3 Siauliai97278%83.778.2+5.4
4 Skycop86275%85.172.9+12.2
5 KK Baltai95456%76.975.9+1.0
6 Juventus94544%76.680.0-3.4
7 Neptunas73443%75.478.6-3.1
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes83538%72.673.2-0.6
9 Sakalai93633%70.379.4-9.1
10 Nevezis82625%72.680.1-7.5
11 BC Olimpas Palanga92722%66.878.4-11.7
12 Lietkabelis9090%67.283.7-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2931152196
Sakalai2020233295
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