PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Netherlands W vs Croatia W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 65-92
19-19 20-29 16-19 10-25
Position#25
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game63.2
Allowed / game62.2
Netherlands W
vs
Croatia W 🏆
Position#8
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game71.2
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 5· Topsportcentrum Almere
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Netherlands W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Netherlands WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Slovakia W
#21
L
50-61
50
61
-11
no box
H06/02
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
82-60
82
60
+22
no box
H11/11
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#2
L
72-83 OT
72
83
-11
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
66-71
66
71
-5
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
59-56
59
56
+3
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
49-69
49
69
-20
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
64-45
64
45
+19
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
57-81
57
81
-24
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
59-66
59
66
-7
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
73-57
73
57
+16
70avg 70
A10/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-15
11-14
16-12
13-20
31-10
15-15
15-20
21-15
21-16
15-18
14-13
17-20
15-24
13-19
23-16
15-12
9-21
5-13
28-12
17-10
12-10
7-21
11-23
19-15
20-4
11-13
18-12
15-16
14-31
15-26
15-6
13-18
7-16
18-15
16-19
18-16
25-23
11-10
17-6
20-18
128.0Avg total
63.1Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)63.262.2125.5+1.050%
Season at home (1)64.045.0109.0+19.0100%
Season away (3)63.068.0131.0-5.033%
Last 10 (10)63.164.9128.0-1.840%
Last 5 (5)60.463.6124.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)62.469.9132.3-7.429%
vs Similar (2)57.072.5129.5-15.50%
vs Weaker (4)69.554.5124.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Croatia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Croatia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#11
W
84-56
84
56
+28
no box
A20/06
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
no box
A21/06
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
66-84
66
84
-18
no box
H14/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
93-74
93
74
+19
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
57-85
57
85
-28
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
65-70
65
70
-5
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
81-57
81
57
+24
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
91-80
91
80
+11
83avg 69
A07/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
62-78
62
78
-16
52avg 69
A10/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
15-11
30-12
12-11
18-19
18-14
14-19
19-28
22-27
26-11
22-21
14-14
21-24
14-31
16-7
15-22
24-29
27-13
16-14
26-18
17-29
15-20
16-18
9-18
19-16
15-16
11-15
20-23
31-14
26-15
6-15
18-13
21-23
27-18
18-21
25-18
18-18
16-25
16-21
12-14
148.9Avg total
75.2Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.871.2146.0+3.550%
Season at home (2)73.063.5136.5+9.550%
Season away (2)76.579.0155.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)75.273.7148.9+1.550%
Last 5 (5)71.274.0145.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)67.978.1146.0-10.127%
vs Similar (2)71.069.5140.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.967.4151.2+16.5100%
This opponent (Netherlands W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
Netherlands WCroatia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Netherlands WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovakia W
#21
L
21-29
21
29
-8
H06/02
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H11/11
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A14/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H24/11
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
L
14-34
14
34
-20
A27/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A12/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
31-17
31
17
+14
H09/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A12/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A10/11
European Championship Women
61.9Avg total
28.5Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)29.932.262.2-2.346%-
Last 30 at home (5)30.428.058.4+2.440%-
Last 30 away (8)29.634.964.5-5.250%-
Last 10 (10)28.533.461.9-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)28.033.861.8-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)28.335.063.3-6.729%-
vs Similar (2)32.032.564.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (4)31.827.259.0+4.575%-
This opponent (Croatia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Croatia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A20/06
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A21/06
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H14/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H12/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A07/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A10/11
European Championship Women
81.2Avg total
41.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)39.037.576.6+1.556%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.738.176.8+0.646%-
Last 30 away (12)39.436.976.3+2.567%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.581.2+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.879.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.439.574.9-4.133%-
vs Similar (2)36.536.072.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.534.280.8+12.2100%-
This opponent (Netherlands W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Netherlands Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Netherlands W: 62.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.5 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.817.2
43.4%
45.4%34.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.0
25.3%
30.0%18.0
🏀 Free throws16.59.8
59.1%
72.4%9.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Croatia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia W: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.813.5
38.8%
45.4%27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.011.0
39.3%
30.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.013.8
68.8%
72.4%13.8
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Netherlands W
WLLWLWLLWL
Croatia W
LWWLLWLWLW
#25
League position
#8
+0.7
Net rating
+4.6
87.0
Offensive rating
97.5
86.3
Defensive rating
92.9
41.3%
Effective FG%
47.8%
40.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
22.4%
Turnover %
15.4%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
20.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
25.3%
3-point %
39.3%
89.2%
Assist %
81.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence87.0 · 97.5Defence86.3 · 92.9Shooting41.3% · 47.8%3-point %25.3% · 39.3%Ball care22.4% · 15.4%Off. rebounds36.7% · 20.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Netherlands W   ■ Croatia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Netherlands W wins
1
Croatia W wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Croatia W v Netherlands W81-57
Netherlands Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24AAustria W73-57
07/11/24ASpain W59-66
12/11/23ACroatia W57-81
09/11/23HAustria W64-45
12/02/23ACzech Republic W49-69
27/11/22AIreland W59-56
24/11/22HCzech Republic W66-71
14/11/21ABelarus W72-83 OT
11/11/21HIreland W82-60
06/02/21HSlovakia W50-61
Croatia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24ASpain W62-78
07/11/24AAustria W91-80
12/11/23HNetherlands W81-57
09/11/23HSpain W65-70
09/02/23ASerbia W57-85
27/11/22HBulgaria W93-74
14/11/21HSerbia W66-84
11/11/21ABulgaria W84-73
21/06/21ABosnia & Herzegovina W69-80
20/06/21ACzech Republic W84-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Netherlands W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game63.264.063.0
Allowed / game62.245.068.0
Point differential+1.0+19.0-5.0
Avg total125.5109.0131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Croatia W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.873.076.5
Allowed / game71.263.579.0
Point differential+3.5+9.5-2.5
Avg total146.0136.5155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W550100%94.444.8+49.6
2 Serbia W550100%88.050.0+38.0
3 Turkey W550100%79.257.0+22.2
4 Spain W550100%73.053.0+20.0
5 Sweden W550100%76.663.0+13.6
6 Lithuania W54180%84.866.4+18.4
7 Luxembourg W54180%65.251.4+13.8
8 Slovenia W54180%76.269.0+7.2
9 Belgium W43175%89.860.5+29.2
10 Montenegro W43175%77.563.5+14.0
11 Germany W43175%72.863.5+9.2
12 Italy W43175%64.855.8+9.0
13 Portugal W43175%64.057.2+6.8
14 Hungary W53260%70.462.8+7.6
15 Slovakia W53260%70.267.8+2.4
16 Latvia W53260%70.873.8-3.0
17 Great Britain W42250%70.058.5+11.5
18 Croatia W42250%74.871.2+3.5
19 Netherlands W42250%63.262.2+1.0
20 Switzerland W42250%62.261.8+0.5
21 Poland W52340%78.268.0+10.2
22 Israel W52340%78.476.2+2.2
23 Greece W52340%68.069.4-1.4
24 Finland W52340%65.673.6-8.0
25 Ukraine W41325%63.572.0-8.5
26 Estonia W41325%54.076.0-22.0
27 Denmark W51420%68.473.6-5.2
28 Iceland W51420%71.677.6-6.0
29 Bulgaria W51420%73.280.0-6.8
30 Czech Republic W51420%60.473.6-13.2
31 Romania W51420%67.686.2-18.6
32 Austria W5050%52.275.8-23.6
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W5050%57.082.4-25.4
34 North Macedonia W5050%52.889.4-36.6
35 Ireland W5050%48.697.4-48.8
36 Azerbaijan W4040%47.0112.0-65.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Netherlands W1920161065
Croatia W1929192592
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.