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Spain W vs Netherlands W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 66-59
16-7 15-18 19-16 16-18
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game49.5
Spain W 🏆
vs
Netherlands W
Position#25
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game60.5
Allowed / game63.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 3· Pabellon Ciutat de Castello
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spain W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Netherlands W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spain WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#3
L
58-64
58
64
-6
no box
H25/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
W
70-65
70
65
+5
73avg 67
A09/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
75-34
75
34
+41
78avg 67
H12/11
European Championship Women
Japan W
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
70avg 67
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
60-55
60
55
+5
47avg 67
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
W
73-72
73
72
+1
65avg 67
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
China W
#6
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
78avg 67
H28/07
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
63-62
63
62
+1
62avg 67
A31/07
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
70-62
70
62
+8
80avg 67
A03/08
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
66-79
66
79
-13
53avg 67
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
15-12
16-18
10-21
16-19
16-15
15-11
23-20
20-9
23-8
15-8
17-9
18-26
18-20
21-23
18-17
16-12
20-13
9-23
15-7
19-24
8-22
23-18
23-8
13-22
20-15
20-22
23-17
18-9
21-16
5-19
19-18
16-13
21-15
18-10
15-24
26-26
11-22
12-19
17-12
136.8Avg total
70.0Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.549.5122.0+23.0100%
Season at home (1)75.034.0109.0+41.0100%
Season away (1)70.065.0135.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.066.8136.8+3.270%
Last 5 (5)72.472.8145.2-0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.772.7141.3-4.033%
vs Similar (4)70.866.8137.5+4.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)78.757.0135.7+21.890%
This opponent (Netherlands W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Netherlands WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Slovakia W
#21
L
64-84
64
84
-20
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
68-63
68
63
+5
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#21
L
50-61
50
61
-11
no box
H06/02
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
82-60
82
60
+22
no box
H11/11
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#2
L
72-83 OT
72
83
-11
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
66-71
66
71
-5
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
59-56
59
56
+3
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
49-69
49
69
-20
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
64-45
64
45
+19
65avg 62
H09/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
57-81
57
81
-24
59avg 62
A12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
21-17
11-25
10-23
19-9
16-14
16-22
17-18
10-15
11-14
16-12
13-20
31-10
15-15
15-20
21-15
21-16
15-18
14-13
17-20
15-24
13-19
23-16
15-12
9-21
5-13
28-12
17-10
12-10
7-21
11-23
19-15
20-4
11-13
18-12
15-16
14-31
15-26
15-6
13-18
130.4Avg total
63.1Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)60.563.0123.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)64.045.0109.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)57.081.0138.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)63.167.3130.4-4.240%
Last 5 (5)59.064.4123.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)63.070.5133.5-7.533%
vs Similar (2)57.072.5129.5-15.50%
vs Weaker (3)68.353.7122.0+14.7100%
This opponent (Spain W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
Spain WNetherlands W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spain WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#3
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H25/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A09/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
43-17
43
17
+26
H12/11
European Championship Women
Japan W
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
China W
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H28/07
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A31/07
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A03/08
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
68.3Avg total
35.2Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.629.567.1+8.170%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.930.469.3+8.568%-
Last 30 away (11)35.428.063.4+7.473%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.168.3+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.871.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.031.364.3+1.767%-
vs Similar (4)33.536.069.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.827.667.4+12.175%-
This opponent (Netherlands W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Netherlands WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovakia W
#21
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A14/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#21
L
21-29
21
29
-8
H06/02
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H11/11
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A14/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H24/11
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
L
14-34
14
34
-20
A27/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A12/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
31-17
31
17
+14
H09/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A12/11
European Championship Women
63.1Avg total
30.2Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)29.832.362.1-2.545%-
Last 30 at home (5)30.428.058.4+2.440%-
Last 30 away (6)29.335.865.2-6.550%-
Last 10 (10)30.232.963.1-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)24.236.460.6-12.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)28.835.764.5-6.833%-
vs Similar (2)32.032.564.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (3)30.325.355.7+5.067%-
This opponent (Spain W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spain Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain W: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.721.1
46.2%
45.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.25.0
26.0%
30.0%15.0
🏀 Free throws17.013.2
77.8%
72.4%13.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Netherlands Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Netherlands W: 59.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
45.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.05.0
22.7%
30.0%15.0
🏀 Free throws14.57.5
51.7%
72.4%7.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/2 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spain W
LWWWWWLWWL
Netherlands W
LWLWLLWLWL
#2
League position
#25
+5.0
Net rating
-3.4
94.0
Offensive rating
81.5
88.9
Defensive rating
85.0
44.1%
Effective FG%
43.0%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
39.2%
18.4%
Turnover %
27.6%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
26.0%
3-point %
22.7%
79.1%
Assist %
93.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 81.5Defence88.9 · 85.0Shooting44.1% · 43.0%3-point %26.0% · 22.7%Ball care18.4% · 27.6%Off. rebounds28.0% · 35.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Spain W   ■ Netherlands W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Spain W wins
0
Netherlands W wins
No previous meetings.
Spain Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/08/24HBelgium W66-79
03/08/24ASerbia W70-62
31/07/24APuerto Rico W63-62
28/07/24HChina W90-89 OT
11/02/24HHungary W73-72
09/02/24ACanada W60-55
08/02/24HJapan W75-86
12/11/23HAustria W75-34
09/11/23ACroatia W70-65
25/06/23HBelgium W58-64
Netherlands Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23ACroatia W57-81
09/11/23HAustria W64-45
12/02/23ACzech Republic W49-69
27/11/22AIreland W59-56
24/11/22HCzech Republic W66-71
14/11/21ABelarus W72-83 OT
11/11/21HIreland W82-60
06/02/21HSlovakia W50-61
14/11/20AHungary W68-63
12/11/20ASlovakia W64-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spain W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game72.575.070.0
Allowed / game49.534.065.0
Point differential+23.0+41.0+5.0
Avg total122.0109.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Netherlands W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game60.564.057.0
Allowed / game63.045.081.0
Point differential-2.5+19.0-24.0
Avg total123.5109.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia W330100%85.345.7+39.7
2 France W220100%85.548.5+37.0
3 Turkey W330100%82.753.0+29.7
4 Spain W220100%72.549.5+23.0
5 Italy W330100%71.355.7+15.7
6 Luxembourg W330100%68.053.7+14.3
7 Sweden W330100%74.061.0+13.0
8 Belgium W32167%93.055.0+38.0
9 Poland W32167%81.762.7+19.0
10 Great Britain W32167%73.357.0+16.3
11 Croatia W32167%79.069.0+10.0
12 Germany W32167%72.362.3+10.0
13 Lithuania W32167%81.372.0+9.3
14 Montenegro W32167%75.067.3+7.7
15 Slovenia W32167%71.065.0+6.0
16 Hungary W32167%68.363.3+5.0
17 Latvia W32167%73.369.0+4.3
18 Portugal W32167%60.062.0-2.0
19 Slovakia W32167%70.374.0-3.7
20 Israel W21150%85.071.5+13.5
21 Netherlands W21150%60.563.0-2.5
22 Denmark W31233%70.768.0+2.7
23 Greece W31233%72.773.7-1.0
24 Ukraine W31233%67.069.7-2.7
25 Bulgaria W31233%70.373.7-3.3
26 Switzerland W31233%63.367.7-4.3
27 Finland W31233%64.372.0-7.7
28 Romania W31233%71.088.0-17.0
29 Iceland W3030%68.377.3-9.0
30 Bosnia & Herzegovina W3030%65.383.0-17.7
31 Austria W3030%53.076.7-23.7
32 Czech Republic W3030%51.376.0-24.7
33 Estonia W3030%50.082.0-32.0
34 North Macedonia W3030%53.788.7-35.0
35 Ireland W3030%52.790.7-38.0
36 Azerbaijan W3030%47.0113.3-66.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spain W1615191666
Netherlands W718161859
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