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Netherlands W vs Latvia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 64-73
19-16 10-17 15-21 20-19
Position#23
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game74.0
Netherlands W
vs
Latvia W 🏆
Position#9
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game59.8
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 5· Topsportcentrum Almere
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Netherlands W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latvia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Netherlands WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austria W
#32
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H09/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A12/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A07/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A10/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
65-92
65
92
-27
H06/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
H09/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
92-54
92
54
+38
A12/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
62-89
62
89
-27
A15/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H18/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H11/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-4
11-13
18-12
15-16
14-31
15-26
15-6
13-18
7-16
18-15
16-19
18-16
25-23
11-10
17-6
20-18
19-19
20-29
16-19
10-25
15-19
16-17
13-28
20-17
23-19
18-13
25-20
26-2
15-18
15-25
13-21
19-25
21-19
21-19
25-13
19-25
15-20
18-20
30-21
24-16
142.7Avg total
70.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.874.0155.8+7.875%
Season at home (2)86.576.5163.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)77.071.5148.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)70.971.8142.7-0.950%
Last 5 (5)78.275.4153.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.975.2140.1-10.327%
vs Similar (2)57.072.5129.5-15.50%
vs Weaker (6)76.258.2134.3+18.0100%
This opponent (Latvia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Latvia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France W
#3
L
49-71
49
71
-22
A09/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
H11/02
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
85-53
85
53
+32
H07/11
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
51-82
51
82
-31
H10/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A06/02
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
96-90
96
90
+6
A09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A12/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#23
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H15/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
89-47
89
47
+42
H18/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H11/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
13-17
8-20
17-11
16-19
19-25
23-14
17-17
23-18
28-13
21-14
13-8
12-20
12-18
10-23
17-21
15-17
34-25
20-9
14-29
24-18
27-28
19-22
26-22
19-12
14-20
19-22
14-23
18-15
25-15
21-13
25-19
21-16
26-13
26-6
16-12
20-21
18-17
27-7
14-8
147.1Avg total
77.3Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.859.8140.5+21.075%
Season at home (3)85.754.0139.7+31.7100%
Season away (1)66.077.0143.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)77.369.8147.1+7.570%
Last 5 (5)83.865.8149.6+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)55.772.0127.7-16.333%
vs Similar (1)65.073.0138.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)79.166.2145.2+12.978%
This opponent (Netherlands W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
Netherlands WLatvia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Netherlands WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austria W
#32
W
31-17
31
17
+14
H09/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A12/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A10/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H06/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H09/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A12/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A15/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H18/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/03
European Championship Women
71.2Avg total
33.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)31.834.566.4-2.742%-
Last 30 at home (9)33.033.666.6-0.633%-
Last 30 away (10)30.835.466.2-4.650%-
Last 10 (10)33.737.571.2-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.873.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)30.937.368.2-6.427%-
vs Similar (2)32.032.564.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (6)33.530.263.7+3.367%-
This opponent (Latvia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Latvia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France W
#3
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A09/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H11/02
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H07/11
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H10/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A06/02
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#23
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H15/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H18/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/03
European Championship Women
76.5Avg total
39.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)37.133.070.1+4.164%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.034.372.3+3.755%-
Last 30 away (11)36.231.767.9+4.573%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.076.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.435.077.4+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.335.363.7-7.033%-
vs Similar (1)34.032.066.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.732.771.4+6.167%-
This opponent (Netherlands W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Netherlands Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Netherlands W: 63.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.3 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.317.7
43.8%
-35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.05.8
25.4%
-17.5
🏀 Free throws17.310.2
58.7%
-10.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Latvia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia W: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.016.8
41.1%
-33.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.5
31.1%
-25.5
🏀 Free throws23.217.8
77.0%
-17.8
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Netherlands W
WWLWLLWLLW
Latvia W
WWWLWWLWWL
#23
League position
#9
-8.7
Net rating
-2.2
86.3
Offensive rating
90.4
95.0
Defensive rating
92.6
41.7%
Effective FG%
43.3%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
22.4%
Turnover %
21.3%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
25.4%
3-point %
31.1%
80.1%
Assist %
67.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Netherlands W   ■ Latvia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Netherlands W wins
1
Latvia W wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Latvia W v Netherlands W89-62
Netherlands Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HEstonia W87-77
18/11/25HSlovenia W86-76
15/11/25ALatvia W62-89
12/11/25AEstonia W92-54
09/02/25HSpain W64-81
06/02/25HCroatia W65-92
10/11/24AAustria W73-57
07/11/24ASpain W59-66
12/11/23ACroatia W57-81
09/11/23HAustria W64-45
Latvia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HSlovenia W79-53
18/11/25HEstonia W89-47
15/11/25HNetherlands W89-62
12/11/25ASlovenia W66-77
09/02/25AIreland W96-90
06/02/25AIsrael W83-80
10/11/24HFrance W51-82
07/11/24HIreland W85-53
11/02/24HIsrael W86-83 OT
09/11/23AFrance W49-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Netherlands W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game81.886.577.0
Allowed / game74.076.571.5
Point differential+7.8+10.0+5.5
Avg total155.8163.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Latvia W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game80.885.766.0
Allowed / game59.854.077.0
Point differential+21.0+31.7-11.0
Avg total140.5139.7143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W550100%97.655.2+42.4
2 Poland W550100%76.450.6+25.8
3 Serbia W330100%84.358.7+25.7
4 Austria W440100%81.565.2+16.2
5 Israel W550100%87.673.0+14.6
6 Lithuania W220100%80.067.0+13.0
7 Latvia W43175%80.859.8+21.0
8 Great Britain W43175%83.563.8+19.8
9 Netherlands W43175%81.874.0+7.8
10 Montenegro W53260%80.859.0+21.8
11 Denmark W53260%91.274.2+17.0
12 Slovakia W53260%68.656.8+11.8
13 Greece W53260%89.077.6+11.4
14 Luxembourg W53260%69.263.6+5.6
15 Slovenia W53260%75.470.0+5.4
16 Croatia W53260%79.074.2+4.8
17 Belgium W21150%82.572.5+10.0
18 Portugal W21150%75.573.5+2.0
19 Finland W21150%79.086.5-7.5
20 Ukraine W52340%71.267.8+3.4
21 Switzerland W52340%70.472.0-1.6
22 Romania W52340%59.474.2-14.8
23 Ireland W41325%76.578.5-2.0
24 North Macedonia W51420%64.497.6-33.2
25 Sweden W2020%71.086.5-15.5
26 Cyprus W5050%55.478.2-22.8
27 Bosnia & Herzegovina W4040%67.090.2-23.2
28 Iceland W3030%65.092.0-27.0
29 Norway W5050%50.277.4-27.2
30 Estonia W5050%59.487.8-28.4
31 Azerbaijan W5050%43.8111.4-67.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Netherlands W1910152064
Latvia W1617211973
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