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New Mexico State vs Abilene Christian Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 70-78
30-27 40-51
Position#175
Record3-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#208
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · New Mexico State v Abilene Christian
04 Dec 2024
NEW 70
ABIL78
15 Feb 2023
NEW 0
ABIL20
12 Mar 2022
NEW 66
ABIL52
15 Jan 2022
NEW 77
ABIL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Abilene Christian winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#256
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A02/03
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H09/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A15/03
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#520
W
93-57
93
57
+36
H05/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A10/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H15/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
53-74
53
74
-21
A21/11
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A24/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A29/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-23
37-41
49-30
28-40
29-40
40-49
37-15
56-42
39-23
36-40
48-32
35-50
28-29
25-45
34-37
31-35
29-42
41-40
23-26
37-35
142.5Avg total
71.1Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.370.1141.4+1.143%
Season at home (2)88.069.5157.5+18.5100%
Season away (5)64.670.4135.0-5.820%
Last 10 (10)71.171.4142.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)66.274.2140.4-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)64.873.8138.6-9.137%
vs Similar ◀ (6)67.371.8139.2-4.533%
vs Weaker (4)70.269.2139.5+1.050%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#207
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H09/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A14/03
NCAA
Howard Payne
#430
W
107-74
107
74
+33
H05/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
56-79
56
79
-23
H10/11
NCAA
McMurry
#571
W
101-55
101
55
+46
H13/11
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H16/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A21/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H26/11
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
59-85
59
85
-26
A27/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
71-55
71
55
+16
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-35
29-39
23-29
34-31
60-35
47-39
30-44
26-35
48-17
53-38
32-25
40-35
42-40
36-44
49-40
33-34
30-47
29-38
39-19
32-36
145.0Avg total
75.0Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.270.8149.0+7.562%
Season at home (5)83.668.4152.0+15.280%
Season away (3)69.374.7144.0-5.333%
Last 10 (10)75.070.0145.0+5.050%
Last 5 (5)72.471.6144.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.172.7141.8-3.642%
vs Similar ◀ (11)66.672.5139.2-5.936%
vs Weaker (7)90.972.9163.7+18.0100%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: -1.0-1.0
New Mexico StateAbilene Christian
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#256
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A02/03
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H09/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A15/03
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#520
W
37-15
37
15
+22
H05/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A10/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H15/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A21/11
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A24/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A30/11
NCAA
64.2Avg total
34.5Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.832.564.3-0.733%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.830.463.2+2.546%-
Last 30 away (17)31.034.265.2-3.224%-
Last 10 (10)34.529.764.2+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.433.265.6-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)30.734.565.2-3.826%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.530.766.2+4.850%-
vs Weaker (4)30.230.560.8-0.225%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#207
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H09/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A14/03
NCAA
Howard Payne
#430
W
60-35
60
35
+25
H05/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H10/11
NCAA
McMurry
#571
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H13/11
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H16/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H26/11
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A27/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
39-19
39
19
+20
A01/12
NCAA
72.2Avg total
39.1Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.333.969.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.233.371.5+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)32.434.466.8-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)39.133.172.2+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.272.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.136.168.2-4.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.331.564.7+1.864%-
vs Weaker (7)44.033.977.9+10.171%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
New Mexico State wins
2
Abilene Christian wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24ABowling Green60-61
29/11/24APepperdine70-82
24/11/24AUNLV65-72
21/11/24ADayton53-74
15/11/24HTexas A&M-CC83-82
10/11/24AUtah Tech75-63
05/11/24HNew Mexico Cowboys93-57
15/03/24AWestern Kentucky69-89
09/03/24HFlorida International77-70
02/03/24AJacksonville State66-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24ANebraska O.71-55
27/11/24AMontana State59-85
26/11/24HSouthern Miss82-74
21/11/24AKennesaw State78-84
16/11/24HTexas State72-60
13/11/24HMcMurry101-55
10/11/24HMiddle Tenn. St.56-79
05/11/24HHoward Payne107-74
14/03/24AStephen F. Austin57-60
09/03/24HUtah Valley State67-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game71.388.064.6
Allowed / game70.169.570.4
Point differential+1.1+18.5-5.8
Avg total141.4157.5135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Abilene Christian
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game78.283.669.3
Allowed / game70.868.474.7
Point differential+7.5+15.2-5.3
Avg total149.0152.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty98189%75.958.2+17.7
2 Middle Tenn. St.97278%83.270.1+13.1
3 Louisiana Tech97278%79.969.3+10.6
4 UTEP75271%74.064.4+9.6
5 Kennesaw State96367%80.270.7+9.6
6 Jacksonville State85362%80.266.4+13.9
7 Missouri State85362%77.073.2+3.8
8 Delaware85362%79.877.5+2.2
9 Western Kentucky74357%80.476.1+4.3
10 Sam Houston St.94544%77.779.7-2.0
11 New Mexico State73443%71.370.1+1.1
12 Florida International82625%74.471.0+3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah108280%79.568.7+10.8
2 Abilene Christian85362%78.270.8+7.5
3 California Baptist95456%77.776.7+1.0
4 Utah Valley State84450%76.073.4+2.6
5 UT Arlington94544%80.175.8+4.3
6 Tarleton103730%62.775.0-12.3
7 Utah Tech102820%67.775.4-7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State304070
Abilene Christian275178
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