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Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 64-66
23-29 41-37
Position#256
Record14-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game65.6
vs
Position#285
Record11-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game72.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Jacksonville State v New Mexico State
10 Mar 2026
JACK63
NEW 68
14 Feb 2026
JACK70
NEW 79
20 Feb 2025
JACK52
NEW 61
02 Mar 2024
JACK64
NEW 66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jacksonville State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A25/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H27/01
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A02/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A04/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H10/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H22/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A24/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
23-35
44-40
33-31
40-31
32-36
39-43
33-28
32-39
40-23
39-45
29-28
30-42
28-35
30-28
35-30
41-38
27-36
50-39
31-37
34-35
138.9Avg total
69.0Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.265.6135.8+4.648%
Season at home (15)72.963.7136.7+9.260%
Season away (14)67.367.6134.9-0.436%
Last 10 (10)69.069.9138.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)67.069.6136.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.262.5124.8-0.250%
vs Similar (11)69.870.1139.9-0.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)70.164.7134.8+5.454%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A27/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
79-73 OT
79
73
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H04/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
49-74
49
74
-25
A11/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A16/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A17/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
58-79
58
79
-21
H23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H25/02
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-38
30-41
28-33
25-40
35-37
34-32
28-33
39-32
27-35
22-39
38-24
31-52
33-33
25-39
23-48
35-31
26-26
32-41
32-38
26-45
135.7Avg total
61.6Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)67.472.2139.6-4.938%
Season at home (16)71.065.5136.5+5.569%
Season away (13)62.980.5143.5-17.60%
Last 10 (10)61.674.1135.7-12.520%
Last 5 (5)60.275.4135.6-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)60.172.2132.4-12.129%
vs Similar (5)73.877.2151.0-3.420%
vs Weaker (2)77.057.0134.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -9.3-9.3
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -9.3-9.3
Jacksonville StateNew Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A25/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H27/01
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A02/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A04/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H09/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A16/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A24/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H01/03
NCAA
63.0Avg total
31.1Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.230.563.7+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.127.964.1+8.280%-
Last 30 away (15)30.233.163.3-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)31.131.963.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)30.033.263.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.029.257.2-1.250%-
vs Similar (11)33.031.564.5+1.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)31.930.061.9+1.962%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A27/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H04/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A11/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A16/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A17/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H25/02
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A01/03
NCAA
65.2Avg total
30.7Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)31.333.865.1-2.534%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.031.662.6-0.644%-
Last 30 away (13)31.736.568.2-4.823%-
Last 10 (10)30.734.565.2-3.810%-
Last 5 (5)30.433.864.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)29.536.465.8-6.915%-
vs Similar (5)32.828.861.6+4.080%-
vs Weaker (2)32.526.559.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jacksonville State wins
1
New Mexico State wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24New Mexico State v Jacksonville State67-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24HUTEP65-72
24/02/24AFlorida International77-75
22/02/24HMiddle Tenn. St.76-68
16/02/24ALouisiana Tech58-63
10/02/24HWestern Kentucky59-70
09/02/24HSam Houston St.79-68
04/02/24ANew Mexico State65-67
02/02/24AUTEP71-79
27/01/24HLiberty73-62
25/01/24AMiddle Tenn. St.67-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24ALiberty58-83
25/02/24HLouisiana Tech58-67
23/02/24HSam Houston St.58-79
17/02/24AWestern Kentucky58-72
16/02/24AMiddle Tenn. St.69-76
11/02/24AUTEP49-74
04/02/24HJacksonville State67-65
02/02/24HLiberty79-73 OT
27/01/24ALouisiana Tech53-73
26/01/24ASam Houston St.67-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jacksonville State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL48%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %48%60%36%
Points / game70.272.967.3
Allowed / game65.663.767.6
Point differential+4.6+9.2-0.4
Avg total135.8136.7134.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %3%7%0%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeWWWLL69%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %38%69%0%
Points / game67.471.062.9
Allowed / game72.265.580.5
Point differential-4.9+5.5-17.6
Avg total139.6136.5143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)71% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %10%12%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech2921872%75.063.9+11.1
2 Western Kentucky2819968%80.274.4+5.8
3 Liberty28171161%75.464.8+10.6
4 Sam Houston St.28171161%71.669.8+1.8
5 Delaware31181358%73.570.2+3.3
6 Kennesaw State30151550%82.780.4+2.3
7 Missouri State30151550%72.172.8-0.7
8 Jacksonville State29141548%70.265.6+4.6
9 UTEP29141548%73.069.8+3.3
10 Middle Tenn. St.28121643%65.769.3-3.6
11 New Mexico State29111838%67.472.2-4.9
12 Florida International2891932%73.776.3-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Jacksonville State234164
New Mexico State293766
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