PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Dayton vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-53
29-28 45-25
Position#62
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game61.8
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#175
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#41
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A02/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
100-83
100
83
+17
A06/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
H09/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H14/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H21/03
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A23/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H05/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H10/11
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H14/11
NCAA
Capital Crusaders
#410
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
37-45
49-35
51-48
31-38
39-32
28-30
29-35
25-34
38-26
33-40
35-38
40-28
47-29
24-32
47-34
41-26
36-43
41-28
35-27
145.8Avg total
76.2Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.861.8139.5+16.0100%
Season at home (4)77.861.8139.5+16.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.269.6145.8+6.670%
Last 5 (5)75.865.0140.8+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.078.0146.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)72.567.6140.1+4.871%
vs Weaker (11)81.762.7144.5+19.0100%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#84
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A17/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
58-79
58
79
-21
H23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H25/02
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A01/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A02/03
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H09/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A15/03
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#520
W
93-57
93
57
+36
H05/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A10/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
25-39
23-48
35-31
26-26
32-41
32-38
26-45
29-23
37-41
49-30
28-40
29-40
40-49
37-15
56-42
39-23
36-40
48-32
35-50
142.1Avg total
69.5Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.767.3151.0+16.3100%
Season at home (2)88.069.5157.5+18.5100%
Season away (1)75.063.0138.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.572.6142.1-3.150%
Last 5 (5)79.472.2151.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)64.274.2138.4-10.035%
vs Similar ◀ (6)74.376.0150.3-1.733%
vs Weaker (2)75.567.0142.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -6.8-6.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -6.8-6.8
DaytonNew Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#41
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A02/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A06/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H09/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H14/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H21/03
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A23/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H05/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H10/11
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H14/11
NCAA
Capital Crusaders
#410
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H17/11
NCAA
67.0Avg total
34.7Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.828.963.6+5.962%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.129.265.3+6.861%-
Last 30 away (11)32.628.360.9+4.464%-
Last 10 (10)34.732.367.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.830.866.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.040.073.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)30.630.160.7+0.644%-
vs Weaker (11)40.426.266.5+14.291%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#84
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A17/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H25/02
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A01/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A02/03
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H09/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A15/03
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#520
W
37-15
37
15
+22
H05/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A10/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H15/11
NCAA
65.3Avg total
34.5Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.232.064.2+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.830.363.1+2.450%-
Last 30 away (14)31.633.965.6-2.336%-
Last 10 (10)34.530.865.3+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.428.068.4+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)30.134.864.9-4.725%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.529.064.5+6.583%-
vs Weaker (2)34.527.061.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dayton wins
0
New Mexico State wins
No previous meetings.
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HCapital Crusaders76-55
14/11/24HBall State77-69
10/11/24HNorthwestern71-66
05/11/24HSt. Francis (PA)87-57
23/03/24AArizona68-78
21/03/24HNevada63-60
14/03/24HDuquesne57-65
09/03/24HVCU Rams91-86 OT
06/03/24ASt. Louis Billikens100-83
02/03/24ALoyola Chicago72-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/24HTexas A&M-CC83-82
10/11/24AUtah Tech75-63
05/11/24HNew Mexico Cowboys93-57
15/03/24AWestern Kentucky69-89
09/03/24HFlorida International77-70
02/03/24AJacksonville State66-64
01/03/24ALiberty58-83
25/02/24HLouisiana Tech58-67
23/02/24HSam Houston St.58-79
17/02/24AWestern Kentucky58-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game77.877.8-
Allowed / game61.861.8-
Point differential+16.0+16.0-
Avg total139.5139.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
New Mexico State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.788.075.0
Allowed / game67.369.563.0
Point differential+16.3+18.5+12.0
Avg total151.0157.5138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rhode Island330100%97.369.3+28.0
2 VCU Rams440100%77.554.8+22.8
3 Loyola Chicago550100%84.066.0+18.0
4 Davidson330100%85.067.3+17.7
5 George Washington440100%81.864.2+17.5
6 Dayton440100%77.861.8+16.0
7 La Salle440100%77.564.2+13.2
8 St. Bonaventure440100%75.562.8+12.8
9 Saint Josephs Hawks43175%76.570.2+6.2
10 St. Louis Billikens32167%83.366.7+16.7
11 Fordham53260%74.470.0+4.4
12 George Mason52340%75.668.8+6.8
13 Richmond Spiders41325%74.273.0+1.2
14 Duquesne4040%68.079.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech440100%87.565.0+22.5
2 New Mexico State330100%83.767.3+16.3
3 Liberty54180%74.459.2+15.2
4 Kennesaw State43175%93.268.8+24.5
5 Jacksonville State43175%80.560.2+20.2
6 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.864.5+16.2
7 Missouri State43175%86.076.8+9.2
8 UTEP32167%80.067.3+12.7
9 Western Kentucky42250%81.575.5+6.0
10 Delaware42250%75.576.2-0.8
11 Sam Houston St.42250%79.582.2-2.8
12 Florida International41325%81.271.8+9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton294574
New Mexico State282553
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.