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New Mexico State vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 66-71
28-27 38-44
Position#175
Record15-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#76
Record18-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · New Mexico State v Middle Tenn. St.
10 Jan 2026
NEW 55
MIDD59
27 Feb 2025
NEW 66
MIDD71
20 Jan 2024
NEW 73
MIDD62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#19
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A19/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H24/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H26/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A31/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
69-101
69
101
-32
A01/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H09/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
76-48
76
48
+28
H16/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
29-34
34-24
22-45
29-29
30-36
35-26
26-31
34-42
35-59
24-28
39-38
29-24
25-40
37-26
39-22
35-23
26-29
22-21
38-28
125.8Avg total
61.9Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)69.866.0135.8+3.956%
Season at home (13)73.263.0136.2+10.262%
Season away (14)66.768.7135.4-2.050%
Last 10 (10)61.963.9125.8-2.040%
Last 5 (5)62.855.8118.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.275.0145.2-4.850%
vs Similar ◀ (14)66.067.8133.8-1.843%
vs Weaker (8)71.862.0133.8+9.875%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#182
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H19/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A25/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H31/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H21/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-28
44-29
36-38
41-37
30-27
39-48
26-35
31-26
36-33
35-35
34-48
29-29
49-34
27-41
44-39
43-38
33-39
41-46
39-31
35-39
143.9Avg total
71.9Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.171.4147.5+4.667%
Season at home (14)77.467.9145.4+9.579%
Season away (13)74.675.2149.8-0.654%
Last 10 (10)71.972.0143.9-0.160%
Last 5 (5)74.876.8151.6-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)64.776.0140.7-11.333%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.174.9148.0-1.750%
vs Weaker (10)83.666.1149.7+17.5100%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -5.3-5.32nd half: -0.3-0.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -5.3-5.32nd half: -0.3-0.3
New Mexico StateMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#19
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H24/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H26/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A01/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H09/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H14/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H16/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A22/02
NCAA
58.7Avg total
31.0Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.228.762.9+5.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.025.462.4+11.679%-
Last 30 away (16)31.831.763.4+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)31.027.758.7+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)29.424.453.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.531.867.3+3.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.129.462.5+3.657%-
vs Weaker (8)33.628.061.6+5.662%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#182
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H19/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A25/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H31/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A08/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H21/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H22/02
NCAA
70.6Avg total
35.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.434.370.7+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.531.968.4+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)36.336.472.8-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)35.435.270.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.278.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.237.369.5-5.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.334.668.9-0.457%-
vs Weaker (10)41.932.073.9+9.970%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
New Mexico State wins
1
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25AKennesaw State60-49
21/02/25AJacksonville State61-52
16/02/25HFlorida International76-48
14/02/25HLiberty54-64
09/02/25HUTEP63-66
01/02/25AWestern Kentucky69-101
31/01/25AMiddle Tenn. St.61-57
26/01/25HJacksonville State59-65
24/01/25HKennesaw State56-69
19/01/25ALiberty60-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HSam Houston St.74-70
21/02/25HLouisiana Tech74-85
16/02/25AWestern Kentucky87-77
08/02/25AKennesaw State76-75
07/02/25AJacksonville State63-77
01/02/25HUTEP71-68
31/01/25HNew Mexico State57-61
25/01/25ALouisiana Tech69-75
24/01/25ASam Houston St.77-75
19/01/25HWestern Kentucky71-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeLLLLW62%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game69.873.266.7
Allowed / game66.063.068.7
Point differential+3.9+10.2-2.0
Avg total135.8136.2135.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWLWLW79%
AwayWLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %67%79%54%
Points / game76.177.474.6
Allowed / game71.467.975.2
Point differential+4.6+9.5-0.6
Avg total147.5145.4149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%43%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)83% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2823582%75.260.9+14.3
2 Middle Tenn. St.2718967%76.171.4+4.6
3 Jacksonville State29191066%74.368.2+6.1
4 Louisiana Tech28181064%73.968.6+5.3
5 UTEP27171063%72.669.2+3.4
6 New Mexico State27151256%69.866.0+3.9
7 Western Kentucky27151256%76.775.3+1.4
8 Kennesaw State29161355%76.172.7+3.4
9 Delaware30121840%77.078.4-1.4
10 Sam Houston St.28111739%75.575.3+0.2
11 Florida International2891932%70.172.0-1.9
12 Missouri State3092130%68.771.0-2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State283866
Middle Tenn. St.274471
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