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Sam Houston St. vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 76-69
45-38 31-31
Position#283
Record12-18
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#175
Record17-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game65.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sam Houston St. v New Mexico State
11 Mar 2026
SAM 69
NEW 61
08 Mar 2025
SAM 76
NEW 69
25 Jan 2024
SAM 79
NEW 67
20 Jan 2022
SAM 71
NEW 46
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sam Houston St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#182
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
61-66 OT
61
66
-5
A01/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A21/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
66-90
66
90
-24
H01/03
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
32-39
30-32
21-19
39-38
35-36
29-33
32-31
29-29
37-32
48-28
30-48
43-25
35-37
31-39
39-35
30-36
36-54
42-44
47-43
145.7Avg total
71.7Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.776.2151.8-0.540%
Season at home (13)81.174.0155.1+7.169%
Season away (17)71.577.8149.4-6.318%
Last 10 (10)71.774.0145.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)76.277.8154.0-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.577.7146.2-9.113%
vs Similar (11)77.778.3156.0-0.555%
vs Weaker (3)102.368.3170.7+34.0100%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A31/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
69-101
69
101
-32
A01/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H09/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
76-48
76
48
+28
H16/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A22/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H28/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
65-47
65
47
+18
H01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-26
26-31
34-42
35-59
24-28
39-38
29-24
25-40
37-26
39-22
35-23
26-29
22-21
38-28
28-27
38-44
34-20
31-27
33-19
34-36
125.2Avg total
64.2Scored
61.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)69.465.1134.6+4.357%
Season at home (15)72.162.5134.6+9.760%
Season away (15)66.767.8134.5-1.153%
Last 10 (10)64.261.0125.2+3.260%
Last 5 (5)63.854.8118.6+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.574.2145.8-2.850%
vs Similar (16)65.365.8131.1-0.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)71.862.0133.8+9.875%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: -2.3-2.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: -2.3-2.3
Sam Houston St.New Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#182
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H15/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A21/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H01/03
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H07/03
NCAA
69.5Avg total
35.5Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.970.5+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.533.171.6+5.554%-
Last 30 away (17)33.236.469.6-3.135%-
Last 10 (10)35.534.069.5+1.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.473.2+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.536.568.9-4.027%-
vs Similar (11)35.334.369.5+1.045%-
vs Weaker (3)50.034.384.3+15.7100%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A01/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H09/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H14/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H16/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A07/03
NCAA
56.7Avg total
31.1Scored
25.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.827.861.6+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.424.860.2+10.680%-
Last 30 away (15)32.230.963.1+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)31.125.656.7+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)30.422.052.4+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.832.070.8+6.875%-
vs Similar (16)31.828.059.8+3.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)33.628.061.6+5.662%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sam Houston St. wins
1
New Mexico State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25HUTEP89-87
01/03/25HLouisiana Tech66-90
22/02/25AMiddle Tenn. St.70-74
21/02/25AWestern Kentucky78-62
15/02/25HKennesaw State78-76
14/02/25HJacksonville State66-61
08/02/25ALiberty61-64
07/02/25AFlorida International82-85 OT
01/02/25ALouisiana Tech61-66 OT
25/01/25HWestern Kentucky66-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25ALouisiana Tech67-55
01/03/25HWestern Kentucky65-47
28/02/25HMiddle Tenn. St.66-71
22/02/25AKennesaw State60-49
21/02/25AJacksonville State61-52
16/02/25HFlorida International76-48
14/02/25HLiberty54-64
09/02/25HUTEP63-66
01/02/25AWestern Kentucky69-101
31/01/25AMiddle Tenn. St.61-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW40%
HomeLWWLW69%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301317
Win %40%69%18%
Points / game75.781.171.5
Allowed / game76.274.077.8
Point differential-0.5+7.1-6.3
Avg total151.8155.1149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)80% (5)0% (6)
Overtime %10%0%18%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeLLWLW60%
AwayWLWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %57%60%53%
Points / game69.472.166.7
Allowed / game65.162.567.8
Point differential+4.3+9.7-1.1
Avg total134.6134.6134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty3125681%76.262.3+13.9
2 Middle Tenn. St.31211068%76.171.4+4.8
3 Jacksonville State31201165%74.568.7+5.7
4 Louisiana Tech31201165%73.868.1+5.7
5 Kennesaw State31181358%76.472.9+3.5
6 New Mexico State30171357%69.465.1+4.3
7 UTEP31171455%72.770.6+2.1
8 Western Kentucky31171455%75.375.1+0.2
9 Delaware33141942%76.578.1-1.5
10 Sam Houston St.30121840%75.776.2-0.5
11 Florida International3192229%69.872.7-2.9
12 Missouri State3292328%68.070.9-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sam Houston St.453176
New Mexico State383169
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