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New Mexico vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 81-78
36-33 45-45
Position#264
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#32
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game79.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#189
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A31/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
L
74-83 OT
74
83
-9
H18/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H20/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A23/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A24/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A04/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A11/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#145
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H11/11
NCAA
Colorado
#89
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A13/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#282
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-28
27-37
29-33
42-38
24-41
43-38
32-25
41-40
21-29
34-33
31-47
42-40
35-34
42-51
43-41
56-51
36-42
40-45
37-33
49-28
150.1Avg total
73.5Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.080.0167.0+7.067%
Season at home (2)92.576.5169.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)73.576.6150.1-3.130%
Last 5 (5)82.282.4164.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)63.977.5141.4-13.610%
vs Similar (5)66.265.6131.8+0.640%
vs Weaker (5)78.663.8142.4+14.880%
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#355
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A27/02
NCAA
Idaho
#355
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A28/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#251
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#251
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H06/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#201
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A11/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#12
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
A13/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A14/03
NCAA
Colorado
#89
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
A10/11
NCAA
Rocky Mountain
#469
W
81-52
81
52
+29
H14/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
L
74-91
74
91
-17
A18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-38
32-36
32-30
39-31
35-36
42-39
29-30
44-44
37-29
34-34
32-42
37-27
24-38
31-27
38-35
42-45
39-27
42-25
35-52
39-39
146.7Avg total
74.1Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.779.0160.7+2.733%
Season at home (1)81.052.0133.0+29.0100%
Season away (2)82.092.5174.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)74.172.6146.7+1.550%
Last 5 (5)76.075.8151.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.381.0153.3-8.722%
vs Similar (13)72.072.8144.8-0.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)72.262.5134.7+9.767%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +3.5+3.5
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +3.5+3.5
New MexicoMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#189
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H18/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H20/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A23/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A24/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A04/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A11/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#145
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H11/11
NCAA
Colorado
#89
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A13/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#282
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H16/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
31.6Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.534.264.7-3.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.535.067.5-2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)28.633.361.9-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)31.635.366.9-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.475.8-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)28.737.065.7-8.320%-
vs Similar (5)30.829.660.4+1.280%-
vs Weaker (5)37.627.465.0+10.2100%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#355
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/02
NCAA
Idaho
#355
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#251
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#251
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H06/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#201
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A11/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#12
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A13/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A14/03
NCAA
Colorado
#89
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A10/11
NCAA
Rocky Mountain
#469
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H14/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A18/11
NCAA
69.5Avg total
33.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.669.0-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.534.471.8+3.145%-
Last 30 away (19)32.734.767.4-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)33.835.769.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.638.872.4-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.339.774.0-5.322%-
vs Similar (13)32.933.666.5-0.746%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)35.330.365.7+5.067%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
New Mexico wins
0
Montana State wins
No previous meetings.
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/21HGrambling St.86-61
13/11/21AColorado76-87
11/11/21HFlorida Atlantic99-92
11/03/21AFresno State77-85
04/03/21AColorado State73-87
24/02/21AAir Force55-62
23/02/21AAir Force73-65
20/02/21HWyoming67-79
18/02/21HWyoming74-83 OT
31/01/21AFresno State55-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/21ASouth Dakota St.74-91
14/11/21HRocky Mountain81-52
10/11/21AColorado90-94 OT
14/03/21AEast. Washington55-65
13/03/21ASouthern Utah80-77 OT
11/03/21AIdaho State71-63
06/03/21HSacramento State73-74
05/03/21HSacramento State77-75
28/02/21AIdaho71-61
27/02/21AIdaho69-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game87.092.576.0
Allowed / game80.076.587.0
Point differential+7.0+16.0-11.0
Avg total167.0169.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montana State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game81.781.082.0
Allowed / game79.052.092.5
Point differential+2.7+29.0-10.5
Avg total160.7133.0174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wyoming330100%82.354.7+27.7
2 Grand Canyon330100%76.756.0+20.7
3 Colorado State440100%88.568.2+20.2
4 Fresno State330100%75.758.7+17.0
5 Utah State43175%81.570.8+10.8
6 Air Force43175%61.256.8+4.5
7 UNLV43175%61.061.5-0.5
8 New Mexico32167%87.080.0+7.0
9 San Diego State32167%63.760.7+3.0
10 Boise State42250%67.260.8+6.5
11 San Jose State31233%68.773.0-4.3
12 Nevada41325%75.880.0-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Weber State440100%84.066.5+17.5
2 Portland State32167%89.358.3+31.0
3 Sacramento State32167%67.768.3-0.7
4 Northern Colorado53260%73.869.0+4.8
5 Northern Arizona53260%74.870.6+4.2
6 East. Washington42250%82.577.5+5.0
7 Montana31233%66.764.0+2.7
8 Montana State31233%81.779.0+2.7
9 Idaho State41325%63.270.2-7.0
10 Idaho41325%76.889.5-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico364581
Montana State334578
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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