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Newcastle Falcons vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 78-66
20-19 14-11 21-26 23-10
Position#4
Record9-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#3
Record8-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game84.5
AustraliaNBL1 EastRound 12
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
W
82-50
82
50
+32
A23/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H01/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H07/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H14/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A21/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H28/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A29/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A04/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A18/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H25/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
0-0
42-27
20-8
15-16
24-13
13-14
16-22
22-9
22-16
21-19
15-26
15-13
22-28
29-19
12-15
22-15
11-25
26-24
27-21
30-8
19-15
26-22
17-16
16-18
16-12
22-17
19-15
21-15
10-13
30-18
21-19
15-22
14-26
18-23
24-22
17-26
25-8
27-23
20-13
149.7Avg total
80.1Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.769.9146.6+6.875%
Season at home (7)75.169.1144.3+6.071%
Season away (5)78.871.0149.8+7.880%
Last 10 (10)80.169.6149.7+10.590%
Last 5 (5)81.470.2151.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.065.0133.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.774.3147.0-1.750%
vs Weaker (5)83.265.6148.8+17.6100%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
96-73
96
73
+23
A30/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
92-97
92
97
-5
A01/05
NBL1 East
Sydney
#1
L
87-99
87
99
-12
A01/05
NBL
Maitland M.
#2
W
103-93
103
93
+10
H07/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H14/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#4
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H21/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
100-72
100
72
+28
A28/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
W
102-94
102
94
+8
H04/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
77-97
77
97
-20
A18/06
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H25/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
12-14
40-17
17-27
18-28
29-33
26-22
19-14
23-22
31-22
13-25
20-30
30-25
20-29
28-19
25-20
33-23
22-21
19-17
16-11
15-22
25-11
24-26
21-27
18-16
19-12
32-24
31-20
25-24
18-16
20-28
39-26
18-20
23-32
12-32
24-13
23-19
14-11
20-19
18-13
175.2Avg total
90.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.984.5175.4+6.562%
Season at home (7)89.681.3170.9+8.371%
Season away (6)92.588.2180.7+4.350%
Last 10 (10)90.784.5175.2+6.260%
Last 5 (5)87.882.2170.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)97.089.0186.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)89.787.3177.0+2.462%
vs Weaker (16)90.479.5169.9+10.969%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
Newcastle FalconsIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
W
20-15
20
15
+5
A23/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H01/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H07/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H14/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A21/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H28/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A29/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A04/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A18/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H25/06
NBL1 East
66.9Avg total
35.6Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)34.832.066.8+2.858%-
Last 30 at home (7)38.931.970.7+7.057%-
Last 30 away (5)29.032.261.2-3.260%-
Last 10 (10)35.631.366.9+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)36.632.669.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.029.068.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)30.035.865.8-5.817%-
vs Weaker (5)39.628.067.6+11.6100%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A30/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A01/05
NBL1 East
Sydney
#1
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A01/05
NBL
Maitland M.
#2
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H07/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H14/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H21/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A28/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H04/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A18/06
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H25/06
NBL1 East
85.8Avg total
44.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.587.1+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.941.586.4+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)44.343.487.8+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.585.8+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.676.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.049.086.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.144.790.8+1.454%-
vs Weaker (16)43.940.484.2+3.569%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Newcastle Falcons wins
0
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
21/05/22Illawarra Hawks v Newcastle Falcons85-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/06/22HManly W.89-70
18/06/22AMaitland M.71-93
04/06/22ABankstown Bruins82-65
29/05/22AManly W.73-62
28/05/22HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits92-61
21/05/22AIllawarra Hawks86-85
14/05/22HSutherland Sharks78-75
07/05/22HCentral Coast Crusaders80-70
01/05/22HCanberra68-65
23/04/22AHills Hornets82-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/06/22HHills Hornets75-62
18/06/22AInner West Bulls77-97
04/06/22HCentral Coast Crusaders102-94
28/05/22ANorths Bears100-72
21/05/22HNewcastle Falcons85-86
14/05/22HManly W.90-72
07/05/22HMaitland M.103-93
01/05/22ASydney87-99
01/05/22AHills Hornets92-97
30/04/22ABankstown Bruins96-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%71%80%
Points / game76.775.178.8
Allowed / game69.969.171.0
Point differential+6.8+6.0+7.8
Avg total146.6144.3149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%43%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL1 East 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game90.989.692.5
Allowed / game84.581.388.2
Point differential+6.5+8.3+4.3
Avg total175.4170.9180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Newcastle Falcons129375%76.769.9+6.8
2 Canberra139469%90.780.2+10.5
3 Illawarra Hawks138562%90.984.5+6.5
4 Inner West Bulls138562%82.080.8+1.2
5 Maitland M.148657%84.182.8+1.4
6 Albury-Wodonga Bandits148657%88.890.4-1.6
7 Norths Bears137654%75.675.9-0.3
8 Sutherland Sharks136746%76.980.8-3.9
9 Hills Hornets145936%75.477.5-2.1
10 Central Coast Crusaders145936%80.584.0-3.5
11 Manly W.1551033%74.278.1-3.9
12 Bankstown Bruins1431121%72.681.2-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons2014212378
Illawarra Hawks1911261066
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