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Niagara River vs Montreal Alliance Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 91-89
27-18 14-17 21-29 29-25
Position#3
Record12-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Position#8
Record7-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game87.6
CanadaCEBL· Meridian Centre
Other2025
Meetings · Niagara River v Montreal Alliance
25 Jul 2025
NIAG91
MONT89
20 Jun 2025
NIAG93
MONT82
09 Aug 2024
NIAG78
MONT75
11 Jul 2024
NIAG83
MONT77
21 Jun 2024
NIAG97
MONT95
28 Jul 2023
NIAG98
MONT91
13 Jun 2023
NIAG100
MONT93
03 Jun 2022
NIAG87
MONT62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niagara River winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montreal Alliance winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Niagara RiverCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiver
Date
Competition
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
88-106
88
106
-18
73avg 81
H13/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
79avg 81
A15/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
93-82
93
82
+11
86avg 81
H20/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
70-102
70
102
-32
65avg 81
A22/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
66-91
66
91
-25
57avg 81
A29/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
93-82
93
82
+11
87avg 81
H04/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 81
A06/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
96-77
96
77
+19
94avg 81
H10/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
97-79
97
79
+18
97avg 81
H16/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 81
H20/07
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-35
20-26
28-23
16-22
30-14
21-30
13-19
26-26
25-13
26-23
23-19
19-27
11-26
25-30
16-22
18-24
16-31
19-25
16-11
15-24
28-24
23-14
22-20
20-24
13-19
28-15
15-16
21-23
20-17
20-22
27-17
29-21
17-26
20-13
34-13
26-27
24-19
26-10
20-22
26-30
172.8Avg total
86.6Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.688.2175.8-0.571%
Season at home (10)94.086.4180.4+7.680%
Season away (7)78.690.7169.3-12.157%
Last 10 (10)86.686.2172.8+0.470%
Last 5 (5)91.878.4170.2+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.596.5185.0-8.050%
vs Similar ◀ (13)92.089.1181.1+2.985%
vs Weaker (13)91.887.0178.8+4.877%
This opponent (Montreal Alliance) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montreal AllianceCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlliance
Date
Competition
Niagara River
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
74avg 79
A20/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
93-89
93
89
+4
91avg 79
H22/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
71avg 79
A28/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
83-94
83
94
-11
72avg 79
A01/07
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 79
A04/07
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
67avg 79
H06/07
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#2
L
91-107
91
107
-16
77avg 79
A10/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
L
87-94
87
94
-7
87avg 79
H13/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
81-94
81
94
-13
80avg 79
H20/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
87-79
87
79
+8
80avg 79
H23/07
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
23-26
19-23
27-19
15-21
33-23
15-20
30-25
28-22
17-27
17-23
15-18
21-22
17-26
19-17
26-29
17-18
15-27
24-13
26-22
19-13
15-28
16-15
23-21
26-29
36-20
15-39
14-19
23-28
18-20
26-23
20-23
18-23
19-27
22-21
22-23
25-25
25-26
22-15
15-13
173.3Avg total
83.6Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.687.6174.2-0.941%
Season at home (8)85.985.4171.2+0.550%
Season away (9)87.389.6176.9-2.233%
Last 10 (10)83.689.7173.3-6.130%
Last 5 (5)83.890.2174.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.290.1172.3-7.910%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.386.6171.9-1.336%
vs Weaker (6)86.880.2167.0+6.767%
This opponent (Niagara River) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
Niagara RiverMontreal Alliance
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Niagara RiverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H13/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A15/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H20/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A22/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A29/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H04/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A06/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H10/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H20/07
CEBL
86.8Avg total
43.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.144.591.6+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.942.090.9+6.983%-
Last 30 away (12)44.348.392.7-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)43.643.286.8+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.879.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.549.293.8-4.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)47.742.790.4+5.069%-
vs Weaker (13)47.344.992.2+2.462%-
This opponent (Montreal Alliance) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montreal AllianceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara River
#3
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A20/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H22/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A28/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A01/07
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A04/07
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H06/07
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#2
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A10/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H13/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H20/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H23/07
CEBL
89.9Avg total
42.3Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.944.087.9-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.242.588.8+3.754%-
Last 30 away (17)42.145.187.2-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)42.347.689.9-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)44.847.892.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)43.143.686.7-0.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.945.789.6-1.929%-
vs Weaker (6)45.340.585.8+4.867%-
This opponent (Niagara River) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Niagara Rivertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niagara River: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.121.8
49.4%
50.7%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
34.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.719.1
80.6%
72.4%19.1
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Montreal Alliancetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montreal Alliance: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.7
48.1%
50.7%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.6
36.6%
34.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.213.0
67.7%
72.4%13.0
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Niagara River
WWWWWLLWWL
Montreal Alliance
WLLLLWLLWL
#3
League position
#8
+1.3
Net rating
-7.4
106.3
Offensive rating
102.0
105.0
Defensive rating
109.3
47.3%
Effective FG%
50.7%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
21.9%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.3%
3-point %
36.6%
66.4%
Assist %
66.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 102.0Defence105.0 · 109.3Shooting47.3% · 50.7%3-point %29.3% · 36.6%Ball care15.2% · 21.9%Off. rebounds30.1% · 34.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Niagara River   ■ Montreal Alliance
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/07/25HScarborough Shooting Stars96-81
16/07/25HBrampton Honey Badgers97-79
10/07/25HFraser Valley Bandits96-77
06/07/25AMontreal Alliance77-73
04/07/25HWinnipeg Sea Bears93-82
29/06/25ABrampton Honey Badgers66-91
22/06/25AScarborough Shooting Stars70-102
20/06/25HMontreal Alliance93-82
15/06/25AOttawa Blackjacks90-89
13/06/25HEdmonton Stingers88-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/07/25HOttawa Blackjacks87-79
20/07/25HWinnipeg Sea Bears81-94
13/07/25HFraser Valley Bandits87-94
10/07/25AGuelph Nighthawks91-107
06/07/25HNiagara River73-77
04/07/25ASaskatchewan Rattlers82-80
01/07/25AEdmonton Stingers83-94
28/06/25AOttawa Blackjacks77-90
22/06/25HSaskatchewan Rattlers93-89
20/06/25ANiagara River82-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niagara River
CEBL 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %71%80%57%
Points / game87.694.078.6
Allowed / game88.286.490.7
Point differential-0.5+7.6-12.1
Avg total175.8180.4169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montreal Alliance
CEBL 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW41%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game86.685.987.3
Allowed / game87.685.489.6
Point differential-0.9+0.5-2.2
Avg total174.2171.2176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fraser Valley Bandits1915479%95.686.2+9.4
2 Guelph Nighthawks1712571%94.887.6+7.2
3 Niagara River1712571%87.688.2-0.5
4 Edmonton Stingers1811761%93.390.4+2.8
5 Ottawa Blackjacks178947%89.884.9+4.9
6 Scarborough Shooting Stars178947%89.588.5+0.9
7 Montreal Alliance1771041%86.687.6-0.9
8 Winnipeg Sea Bears1771041%85.590.3-4.8
9 Saskatchewan Rattlers1841422%84.093.1-9.1
10 Brampton Honey Badgers1941521%80.489.9-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Niagara River2714212991
Montreal Alliance1817292589
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