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Niagara vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 62-80
21-40 41-40
Position#315
Record4-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Position#164
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game60.7
Allowed / game67.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Niagara v Merrimack Warriors
01 Mar 2026
NIAG66
MERR73
08 Dec 2024
NIAG62
MERR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niagara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NiagaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marist
#143
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A14/03
NCAA
Houghton
#472
W
100-65
100
65
+35
H04/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
60-96
60
96
-36
A08/11
NCAA
Detroit
#340
L
78-84 OT
78
84
-6
A10/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A20/11
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A22/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H29/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#290
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A30/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A01/12
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-24
23-41
55-34
45-31
39-46
21-50
34-29
38-43
37-33
31-43
28-40
45-36
26-27
39-35
18-21
29-38
27-22
33-30
28-28
41-40
138.2Avg total
67.9Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)68.970.9139.8-2.044%
Season at home (3)78.065.0143.0+13.0100%
Season away (6)64.373.8138.2-9.517%
Last 10 (10)67.970.3138.2-2.440%
Last 5 (5)62.863.4126.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.370.8143.2+1.567%
vs Similar (16)67.068.8135.8-1.850%
vs Weaker (8)78.472.5150.9+5.962%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wagner
#193
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H12/03
NCAA
Vermont
#97
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H10/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A14/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H17/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A21/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
39-78
39
78
-39
A23/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A25/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A29/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-29
22-25
28-22
37-29
17-38
25-25
35-33
22-35
30-37
33-37
31-37
8-41
35-32
39-49
36-37
38-39
43-32
29-36
20-27
40-25
125.8Avg total
59.3Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)60.767.9128.6-7.233%
Season at home (3)65.365.0130.3+0.333%
Season away (6)58.369.3127.7-11.033%
Last 10 (10)59.366.5125.8-7.230%
Last 5 (5)63.871.0134.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.065.5122.5-8.550%
vs Similar (17)65.266.1131.3-0.941%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)70.359.4129.6+10.9100%
This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: -4.8-4.8
NiagaraMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NiagaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marist
#143
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A14/03
NCAA
Houghton
#472
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H04/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A08/11
NCAA
Detroit
#340
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A10/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A20/11
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A22/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H29/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#290
L
18-21
18
21
-3
A30/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
27-22
27
22
+5
A01/12
NCAA
Siena
#256
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H06/12
NCAA
63.2Avg total
32.8Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.432.264.6+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.834.267.9-0.433%-
Last 30 away (18)31.530.962.4+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)32.830.463.2+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)25.427.653.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.535.271.7+1.350%-
vs Similar (16)30.332.462.8-2.138%-
vs Weaker (8)33.529.663.1+3.962%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wagner
#193
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H12/03
NCAA
Vermont
#97
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H10/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
17-38
17
38
-21
A14/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H17/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A21/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A23/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A25/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A29/11
NCAA
Canisius
#369
L
20-27
20
27
-7
A07/12
NCAA
62.4Avg total
30.0Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.330.062.3+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.928.362.2+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)30.731.662.3-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)30.032.462.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.066.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.035.065.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (17)32.430.863.1+1.659%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)32.627.860.5+4.864%-
This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Niagara wins
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
No previous meetings.
Niagaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24HSiena69-68
01/12/24ALIU Sharks60-52
30/11/24ALafayette47-59
29/11/24HBinghamton65-62
22/11/24AKent State73-76
20/11/24ABowling Green68-76
10/11/24ADetroit78-84 OT
08/11/24AMichigan State60-96
04/11/24HHoughton100-65
14/03/24AMarist59-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24ACanisius60-52
29/11/24ATroy72-68
27/11/24HUTSA Roadrunners74-76
25/11/24AUMass Lowell74-81
23/11/24AButler39-78
21/11/24ARutgers63-74
17/11/24HPrinceton57-68
14/11/24AVCU Rams42-63
10/11/24HVermont65-51
12/03/24HWagner47-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niagara
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW44%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%100%17%
Points / game68.978.064.3
Allowed / game70.965.073.8
Point differential-2.0+13.0-9.5
Avg total139.8143.0138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%17%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game60.765.358.3
Allowed / game67.965.069.3
Point differential-7.2+0.3-11.0
Avg total128.6130.3127.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist75271%69.667.7+1.9
2 Fairfield95456%68.970.9-2.0
3 Mount St. Mary's95456%68.174.3-6.2
4 St. Peters84450%73.066.2+6.8
5 Manhattan84450%73.676.5-2.9
6 Sacred Heart94544%72.274.0-1.8
7 Niagara94544%68.970.9-2.0
8 Siena94544%68.071.9-3.9
9 Quinnipiac94544%69.073.9-4.9
10 Rider104640%64.371.4-7.1
11 Merrimack Warriors93633%60.767.9-7.2
12 Iona102820%65.475.1-9.7
13 Canisius9090%61.181.4-20.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Niagara214162
Merrimack Warriors404080
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