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Troy vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-72
32-43 36-29
Position#68
Record4-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#164
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.1
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Troy v Merrimack Warriors
29 Nov 2024
TROY68
MERR72
17 Nov 2022
TROY73
MERR54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A29/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
A02/03
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H09/03
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H05/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A14/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A17/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A20/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
49-33
35-45
43-39
44-34
39-30
32-41
30-33
38-41
43-29
41-45
43-20
35-41
27-26
22-39
23-38
38-44
47-28
37-37
42-29
44-43
148.6Avg total
76.0Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.769.8143.5+3.867%
Season at home (2)85.073.0158.0+12.0100%
Season away (4)68.068.2136.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)76.072.6148.6+3.460%
Last 5 (5)71.669.0140.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)61.572.8134.2-11.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)79.470.6150.0+8.873%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#350
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H09/03
NCAA
Wagner
#193
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H12/03
NCAA
Vermont
#97
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H10/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A14/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H17/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A21/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
39-78
39
78
-39
A23/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A25/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-39
29-27
28-20
33-31
25-29
22-25
28-22
37-29
17-38
25-25
35-33
22-35
30-37
33-37
31-37
8-41
35-32
39-49
36-37
38-39
125.6Avg total
59.4Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)59.170.1129.3-11.014%
Season at home (3)65.365.0130.3+0.333%
Season away (4)54.574.0128.5-19.50%
Last 10 (10)59.466.2125.6-6.830%
Last 5 (5)61.475.4136.8-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)42.063.0105.0-21.00%
vs Similar (18)64.366.1130.3-1.839%
vs Weaker (11)72.962.4135.3+10.5100%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -4.4-4.42nd half: -5.2-5.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -4.4-4.42nd half: -5.2-5.2
TroyMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A02/03
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H09/03
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H05/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
43-20
43
20
+23
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A14/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A17/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A20/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H26/11
NCAA
69.1Avg total
38.6Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.631.068.6+6.676%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.030.670.6+9.486%-
Last 30 away (15)35.331.466.7+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)38.630.569.1+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)36.428.264.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)24.330.054.3-5.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)39.131.270.3+8.081%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#350
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H09/03
NCAA
Wagner
#193
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H12/03
NCAA
Vermont
#97
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H10/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
17-38
17
38
-21
A14/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H17/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A21/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A23/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A25/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H27/11
NCAA
63.2Avg total
30.8Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.230.162.3+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.428.863.2+5.775%-
Last 30 away (14)29.631.661.2-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)30.832.463.2-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.435.268.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)17.038.055.0-21.00%-
vs Similar (18)31.530.662.1+0.956%-
vs Weaker (11)34.728.563.3+6.273%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Troy wins
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
DateGameScore
17/11/22Troy v Merrimack Warriors73-54
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/24HUTSA Roadrunners86-72
20/11/24AWest Georgia84-65
17/11/24AOregon61-82
14/11/24AArkansas49-65
09/11/24ANew Orleans78-61
05/11/24HToledo84-74
09/03/24HTexas State68-74
02/03/24ATexas State79-82 OT
29/02/24ALouisiana Lafayette87-73
24/02/24ALouisiana Monroe84-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24HUTSA Roadrunners74-76
25/11/24AUMass Lowell74-81
23/11/24AButler39-78
21/11/24ARutgers63-74
17/11/24HPrinceton57-68
14/11/24AVCU Rams42-63
10/11/24HVermont65-51
12/03/24HWagner47-54
09/03/24HLe Moyne61-51
07/03/24HLIU Sharks72-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game73.785.068.0
Allowed / game69.873.068.2
Point differential+3.8+12.0-0.2
Avg total143.5158.0136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game59.165.354.5
Allowed / game70.165.074.0
Point differential-11.0+0.3-19.5
Avg total129.3130.3128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State54180%80.267.0+13.2
2 Appalachian State75271%72.765.7+7.0
3 Georgia Southern75271%80.477.7+2.7
4 Marshall64267%76.267.5+8.7
5 Troy64267%73.769.8+3.8
6 South Alabama85362%73.165.1+8.0
7 James Madison74357%79.671.3+8.3
8 Texas State74357%74.668.7+5.9
9 Georgia State74357%75.373.9+1.4
10 Louisiana Monroe83538%73.669.6+4.0
11 Southern Miss62433%79.082.2-3.2
12 Coastal Carolina62433%63.867.7-3.8
13 Old Dominion82625%64.877.5-12.8
14 Louisiana Lafayette71614%69.082.7-13.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist54180%73.070.0+3.0
2 Mount St. Mary's74357%69.177.3-8.1
3 Rider74357%62.170.3-8.1
4 St. Peters63350%75.866.8+9.0
5 Manhattan63350%73.777.3-3.7
6 Fairfield73443%66.369.9-3.6
7 Quinnipiac73443%67.972.9-5.0
8 Siena73443%67.674.3-6.7
9 Sacred Heart72529%70.677.4-6.9
10 Niagara51420%75.879.4-3.6
11 Iona61517%64.577.3-12.8
12 Merrimack Warriors71614%59.170.1-11.0
13 Canisius8080%62.284.1-21.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy323668
Merrimack Warriors432972
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