PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nice W vs Toulouse W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 70-65
17-15 10-16 18-28 25-6
Position#6
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game63.6
Nice W 🏆
France
vs
Toulouse W
France
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game61.4
FranceLigue 2 WomenRound 6· Salle Serge Leyrit
Women2023-24
Meetings · Nice W v Toulouse W
16 Apr 2025
NICE58
TOUL60
01 Feb 2025
NICE65
TOUL80
18 Nov 2023
NICE70
TOUL65
05 Dec 2015
NICE77
TOUL35
29 Mar 2014
NICE54
TOUL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nice W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toulouse W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nice WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Union Hainaut W
#9
L
63-75
63
75
-12
no box
A05/05
LFB W
Mondeville W
#10
L
69-75 OT
69
75
-6
no box
H08/05
LFB W
La Roche W
#11
L
46-85
46
85
-39
no box
H12/05
LFB W
Tronche Meylan W
#24
W
77-53
77
53
+24
55avg 60
A30/09
French Cup Women
Centre Federal BB W
#12
W
86-45
86
45
+41
92avg 60
A07/10
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
L
59-70
59
70
-11
47avg 60
H14/10
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#10
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
no box
A20/10
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#8
W
72-67
72
67
+5
72avg 60
H25/10
French Cup Women
Tronche Meylan W
#8
L
64-66
64
66
-2
45avg 60
H28/10
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
58-53
58
53
+5
48avg 60
A04/11
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
10-17
21-20
15-14
14-12
18-18
10-19
19-12
4-19
13-17
14-19
15-30
26-14
13-7
21-13
17-19
21-12
28-13
22-7
15-13
9-17
26-15
8-16
16-22
25-17
11-12
21-10
14-32
13-26
29-15
12-9
18-17
22-10
19-19
15-20
8-17
10-11
19-12
11-20
18-10
135.0Avg total
67.7Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.063.6133.6+6.440%
Season at home (2)61.568.0129.5-6.50%
Season away (3)75.760.7136.3+15.067%
Last 10 (10)67.767.3135.0+0.440%
Last 5 (5)67.268.0135.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)59.575.0134.4-15.59%
vs Similar ◀ (5)67.268.0135.2-0.840%
vs Weaker (1)86.045.0131.0+41.0100%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
90-78
90
78
+12
no box
A10/05
LFB W
Tarbes GB W
#9
W
80-60
80
60
+20
no box
H13/05
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#11
L
92-94 OT
92
94
-2
no box
H16/05
LFB W
Feytiat W
#18
W
63-57
63
57
+6
56avg 64
A30/09
French Cup Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
W
105-75
105
75
+30
114avg 64
H07/10
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
W
55-53
55
53
+2
44avg 64
A14/10
Ligue 2 Women
Graffenstaden W
#11
W
90-60
90
60
+30
90avg 64
H21/10
Ligue 2 Women
Tarbes GB W
#2
L
56-81
56
81
-25
41avg 64
H24/10
French Cup Women
Feytiat W
#9
L
47-57
47
57
-10
37avg 64
A28/10
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
W
75-62
75
62
+13
66avg 64
H04/11
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
24-20
19-20
21-19
18-19
20-10
20-19
22-12
26-19
15-21
17-19
24-23
17-16
12-12
18-12
16-17
30-16
25-26
26-12
24-21
11-19
8-20
14-7
22-7
26-5
29-14
15-18
20-23
12-23
12-21
14-20
18-17
11-11
18-8
4-16
14-22
17-12
16-12
19-20
23-18
143.0Avg total
75.3Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.461.4135.8+13.080%
Season at home (3)90.065.7155.7+24.3100%
Season away (2)51.055.0106.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)75.367.7143.0+7.670%
Last 5 (5)64.662.6127.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)60.279.4139.6-19.10%
vs Similar ◀ (18)74.972.9147.8+2.044%
vs Weaker (3)70.759.7130.3+11.067%
This opponent (Nice W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
Nice WToulouse W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nice WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union Hainaut W
#9
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A05/05
LFB W
Mondeville W
#10
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H08/05
LFB W
La Roche W
#11
L
17-36
17
36
-19
H12/05
LFB W
Tronche Meylan W
#24
W
39-21
39
21
+18
A30/09
French Cup Women
Centre Federal BB W
#12
W
49-25
49
25
+24
A07/10
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H14/10
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A20/10
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
French Cup Women
Tronche Meylan W
#8
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H28/10
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A04/11
Ligue 2 Women
65.4Avg total
34.7Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)31.836.167.9-4.331%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.536.668.1-5.238%-
Last 30 away (16)32.135.867.8-3.725%-
Last 10 (10)34.730.765.4+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)36.630.867.4+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)29.638.568.1-9.09%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.630.867.4+5.8100%-
vs Weaker (1)49.025.074.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A10/05
LFB W
Tarbes GB W
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H13/05
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H16/05
LFB W
Feytiat W
#18
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A30/09
French Cup Women
Aulnoye AS W
#1
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H07/10
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
19-39
19
39
-20
A14/10
Ligue 2 Women
Graffenstaden W
#11
W
55-19
55
19
+36
H21/10
Ligue 2 Women
Tarbes GB W
#2
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H24/10
French Cup Women
Feytiat W
#9
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A28/10
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H04/11
Ligue 2 Women
69.6Avg total
37.3Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.835.871.6+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.236.876.0+2.447%-
Last 30 away (15)32.534.767.2-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)37.332.369.6+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)32.029.061.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.539.570.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.137.175.1+1.056%-
vs Weaker (3)39.020.759.7+18.3100%-
This opponent (Nice W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nice Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nice W: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.3 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
56%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.2
47.8%
45.1%40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.05.3
25.4%
29.5%16.0
🏀 Free throws18.212.8
70.6%
71.3%12.8
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.3 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
56%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.718.1
44.6%
45.1%36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.46.4
33.1%
29.5%19.3
🏀 Free throws20.314.1
69.7%
71.3%14.1
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/7 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nice W
WLWLLWWLLL
Toulouse W
WLLWWWWLWW
#6
League position
#4
+14.8
Net rating
+9.3
92.0
Offensive rating
93.1
77.1
Defensive rating
83.7
44.6%
Effective FG%
46.2%
41.2%
Opp. effective FG%
43.2%
26.7%
Turnover %
21.6%
40.9%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
25.4%
3-point %
33.1%
67.3%
Assist %
70.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 93.1Defence77.1 · 83.7Shooting44.6% · 46.2%3-point %25.4% · 33.1%Ball care26.7% · 21.6%Off. rebounds40.9% · 26.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Nice W   ■ Toulouse W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nice W wins
2
Toulouse W wins
DateGameScore
03/04/16Toulouse W v Nice W74-84
05/12/15Nice W v Toulouse W77-35
29/03/14Nice W v Toulouse W54-65
30/11/13Toulouse W v Nice W77-51
Nice Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23AMondeville W58-53
28/10/23HTronche Meylan W64-66
25/10/23HPays Voironnais W72-67
20/10/23AChampagne W83-84 OT
14/10/23HMontbrison W59-70
07/10/23ACentre Federal BB W86-45
30/09/23ATronche Meylan W77-53
12/05/18HLa Roche W46-85
08/05/18HMondeville W69-75 OT
05/05/18AUnion Hainaut W63-75
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HPays Voironnais W75-62
28/10/23AFeytiat W47-57
24/10/23HTarbes GB W56-81
21/10/23HGraffenstaden W90-60
14/10/23AChartres W55-53
07/10/23HAulnoye AS W105-75
30/09/23AFeytiat W63-57
16/05/23HLanderneau Bretagne W92-94 OT
13/05/23HTarbes GB W80-60
10/05/23AUnion Hainaut W90-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nice W
Ligue 2 Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%0%67%
Points / game70.061.575.7
Allowed / game63.668.060.7
Point differential+6.4-6.5+15.0
Avg total133.6129.5136.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Toulouse W
Ligue 2 Women 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game74.490.051.0
Allowed / game61.465.755.0
Point differential+13.0+24.3-4.0
Avg total135.8155.7106.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toulouse W54180%74.461.4+13.0
2 Tronche Meylan W54180%65.861.2+4.6
3 Aulnoye AS W64267%78.065.3+12.7
4 Montbrison W53260%65.461.8+3.6
5 Feytiat W53260%60.862.0-1.2
6 Pays Voironnais W53260%63.266.2-3.0
7 Nice W52340%70.063.6+6.4
8 Chartres W52340%60.057.6+2.4
9 Champagne W52340%71.673.0-1.4
10 Mondeville W62433%59.560.8-1.3
11 Graffenstaden W51420%64.270.8-6.6
12 Centre Federal BB W51420%50.081.4-31.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nice W1710182570
Toulouse W151628665
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.