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Nice W vs Toulouse W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 58-60
17-10 20-14 10-12 11-24
Position#8
Record9-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game64.1
Allowed / game66.5
Nice W
France
vs
Toulouse W 🏆
France
Position#1
Record19-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game59.4
FranceLigue 2 WomenLigue 2 Women - Quarter-finals· Salle Serge Leyrit
Women2024-25
Meetings · Nice W v Toulouse W
16 Apr 2025
NICE58
TOUL60
01 Feb 2025
NICE65
TOUL80
18 Nov 2023
NICE70
TOUL65
05 Dec 2015
NICE77
TOUL35
29 Mar 2014
NICE54
TOUL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nice W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toulouse W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nice WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Toulouse W
#1
L
65-80
65
80
-15
47avg 54
H01/02
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
82avg 54
A15/02
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
L
55-67
55
67
-12
43avg 54
H22/02
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
L
64-71 OT
64
71
-7
56avg 54
A01/03
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
L
62-66
62
66
-4
53avg 54
H08/03
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
W
66-53
66
53
+13
64avg 54
H22/03
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
L
57-75
57
75
-18
49avg 54
A26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
64-58
64
58
+6
54avg 54
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
L
49-69
49
69
-20
29avg 54
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#1
L
47-60
47
60
-13
34avg 54
A12/04
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
18-22
20-15
10-19
18-23
17-13
24-23
27-11
7-20
16-8
12-13
20-26
16-18
15-8
14-19
12-12
15-14
15-21
17-14
15-17
18-19
15-4
16-20
17-10
16-12
19-20
12-20
10-23
14-13
17-22
17-8
16-15
13-19
10-17
11-20
15-13
13-16
7-9
7-22
20-13
128.4Avg total
61.5Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)64.166.5130.6-2.439%
Season at home (11)65.168.1133.2-3.036%
Season away (12)63.265.0128.2-1.842%
Last 10 (10)61.566.9128.4-5.430%
Last 5 (5)56.663.0119.6-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)65.169.1134.2-4.129%
vs Similar (9)64.466.0130.4-1.656%
vs Weaker (3)78.356.7135.0+21.7100%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Nice W
#8
W
80-65
80
65
+15
76avg 65
A01/02
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
L
51-60
51
60
-9
40avg 65
H15/02
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
83-65
83
65
+18
84avg 65
A22/02
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
W
68-51
68
51
+17
62avg 65
H01/03
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
W
73-69
73
69
+4
54avg 65
A08/03
Ligue 2 Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
81-45
81
45
+36
75avg 65
H22/03
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
72-59
72
59
+13
71avg 65
H26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 65
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
73-68
73
68
+5
74avg 65
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
60-47
60
47
+13
57avg 65
H12/04
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
22-18
15-20
19-10
14-15
16-17
14-12
7-16
25-15
18-20
21-11
19-19
13-5
18-15
17-18
20-13
14-17
18-16
19-16
22-20
22-11
17-11
17-12
25-11
29-11
21-11
11-17
11-20
29-17
16-15
19-23
21-24
12-13
24-19
17-19
20-17
16-13
9-7
22-7
13-20
133.4Avg total
72.6Scored
60.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)69.059.4128.3+9.683%
Season at home (12)69.856.6126.4+13.292%
Season away (11)68.062.5130.5+5.573%
Last 10 (10)72.660.8133.4+11.890%
Last 5 (5)74.259.6133.8+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)73.471.4144.8+2.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)69.659.2128.8+10.583%
This opponent (Nice W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
Nice WToulouse W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nice WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toulouse W
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H01/02
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#9
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A15/02
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H22/02
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A01/03
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H08/03
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H22/03
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#1
L
20-25
20
25
-5
A12/04
Ligue 2 Women
61.8Avg total
29.6Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.533.366.9+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.933.968.7+1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)32.432.965.2-0.544%-
Last 10 (10)29.632.261.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)28.430.258.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.234.868.0-1.541%-
vs Similar (9)32.932.465.3+0.444%-
vs Weaker (3)37.327.765.0+9.767%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nice W
#8
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A01/02
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H15/02
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A22/02
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H01/03
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A08/03
Ligue 2 Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H22/03
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#9
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H12/04
Ligue 2 Women
66.0Avg total
37.7Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.630.966.5+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.728.465.1+8.380%-
Last 30 away (15)34.533.567.9+1.040%-
Last 10 (10)37.728.366.0+9.480%-
Last 5 (5)39.025.664.6+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)36.840.877.6-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)35.528.864.2+6.775%-
This opponent (Nice W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nice Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nice W: 60.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.4 points a game
56%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.116.6
43.6%
44.5%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.75.7
26.3%
28.2%17.1
🏀 Free throws15.610.4
66.7%
70.7%10.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.4 points a game
56%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.9
53.2%
44.5%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.65.6
30.1%
28.2%16.8
🏀 Free throws15.111.7
77.5%
70.7%11.7
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nice W
LLWLWLLLWL
Toulouse W
WWWWWWWWLW
#8
League position
#1
-7.4
Net rating
+16.7
82.2
Offensive rating
99.0
89.6
Defensive rating
82.3
42.1%
Effective FG%
50.7%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
40.7%
23.7%
Turnover %
24.8%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
26.3%
3-point %
30.1%
61.4%
Assist %
69.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence82.2 · 99.0Defence89.6 · 82.3Shooting42.1% · 50.7%3-point %26.3% · 30.1%Ball care23.7% · 24.8%Off. rebounds26.0% · 34.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Nice W   ■ Toulouse W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nice W wins
6
Toulouse W wins
DateGameScore
12/04/25Toulouse W v Nice W60-47
01/02/25Nice W v Toulouse W65-80
19/10/24Toulouse W v Nice W73-50
24/02/24Toulouse W v Nice W71-66
18/11/23Nice W v Toulouse W70-65
03/04/16Toulouse W v Nice W74-84
05/12/15Nice W v Toulouse W77-35
29/03/14Nice W v Toulouse W54-65
30/11/13Toulouse W v Nice W77-51
Nice Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25AToulouse W47-60
05/04/25HLe Havre W49-69
29/03/25AMondeville W64-58
26/03/25AUnion Hainaut W57-75
22/03/25HFeytiat W66-53
08/03/25HMontbrison W62-66
01/03/25APays Voironnais W64-71 OT
22/02/25HTronche Meylan W55-67
15/02/25AAulnoye AS W86-70
01/02/25HToulouse W65-80
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HNice W60-47
05/04/25HTronche Meylan W73-68
29/03/25AAulnoye AS W85-79
26/03/25HCentre Federal BB W72-59
22/03/25HUSBD Alencon W81-45
08/03/25APays Voironnais W73-69
01/03/25HFeytiat W68-51
22/02/25AMondeville W83-65
15/02/25HLe Havre W51-60
01/02/25ANice W80-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nice W
Ligue 2 Women 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL39%
HomeLLLWL36%
AwayWLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%36%42%
Points / game64.165.163.2
Allowed / game66.568.165.0
Point differential-2.4-3.0-1.8
Avg total130.6133.2128.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Toulouse W
Ligue 2 Women 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %83%92%73%
Points / game69.069.868.0
Allowed / game59.456.662.5
Point differential+9.6+13.2+5.5
Avg total128.3126.4130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%58%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toulouse W2319483%69.059.4+9.6
2 Montbrison W2316770%67.961.7+6.2
3 Pays Voironnais W2316770%67.363.1+4.2
4 Mondeville W2214864%71.465.9+5.5
5 Feytiat W2213959%70.265.5+4.7
6 Tronche Meylan W23121152%70.367.2+3.1
7 USBD Alencon W23111248%56.758.9-2.2
8 Nice W2391439%64.166.5-2.4
9 Aulnoye AS W2281436%71.575.3-3.7
10 Union Hainaut W2281436%62.767.1-4.4
11 Le Havre W2271532%62.266.4-4.2
12 Centre Federal BB W222209%54.171.3-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nice W1720101158
Toulouse W1014122460
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