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Nicholls State vs Abilene Christian Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 45-79
31-36 14-43
Position#51
Record17-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game73.1
Nicholls State
USA
vs
Abilene Christian 🏆
USA
Position#14
Record22-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game61.1
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nicholls State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Abilene Christian winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Carver Bible
#477
W
105-60
105
60
+45
H24/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#239
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H28/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A06/02
NCAA
Lamar
#280
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A11/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#304
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
A14/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#344
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H20/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
A28/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#239
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A05/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#249
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
55-28
50-32
29-30
47-39
33-32
38-46
37-30
39-41
46-43
33-36
37-30
42-38
27-30
56-38
52-45
33-40
34-37
46-30
39-36
49-40
159.1Avg total
84.9Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.573.1152.6+6.474%
Season at home (10)86.271.6157.8+14.690%
Season away (13)74.374.2148.5+0.162%
Last 10 (10)84.974.2159.1+10.790%
Last 5 (5)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)76.081.0157.0-5.00%
vs Similar (5)71.269.2140.4+2.060%
vs Weaker (23)81.472.7154.1+8.887%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#271
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Lamar
#280
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A06/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A09/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
W
88-59
88
59
+29
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
83-55
83
55
+28
H13/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H25/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#344
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#22
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A04/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#271
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H06/03
NCAA
Lamar
#280
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
46-36
36-28
41-34
37-35
45-34
52-26
36-33
40-19
43-36
43-38
43-34
49-36
33-48
28-34
35-27
44-30
41-30
52-29
41-42
147.4Avg total
81.4Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.661.1138.7+16.585%
Season at home (16)82.456.9139.4+25.5100%
Season away (10)69.867.8137.6+2.060%
Last 10 (10)81.466.0147.4+15.490%
Last 5 (5)81.869.6151.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)72.077.0149.0-5.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)77.561.9139.4+15.686%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +10.4+10.42nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +5.0+5.0
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +10.4+10.42nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +5.0+5.0
Nicholls StateAbilene Christian
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Carver Bible
#477
W
55-28
55
28
+27
H24/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#239
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H28/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A06/02
NCAA
Lamar
#280
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A11/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#304
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#344
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H20/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A28/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#239
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A05/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#249
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H12/03
NCAA
73.0Avg total
38.9Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.534.572.1+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.632.872.4+6.857%-
Last 30 away (16)35.836.171.8-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.934.173.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.835.673.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.539.076.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (5)32.433.065.4-0.620%-
vs Weaker (23)38.734.573.1+4.261%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#271
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Lamar
#280
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A06/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A09/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
40-19
40
19
+21
H13/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H25/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#344
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A27/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#22
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A04/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#271
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H06/03
NCAA
Lamar
#280
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H13/03
NCAA
71.6Avg total
41.0Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.629.166.7+8.577%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.727.468.1+13.395%-
Last 30 away (11)32.332.064.3+0.345%-
Last 10 (10)41.030.671.6+10.480%-
Last 5 (5)43.233.476.6+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)39.035.074.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)37.628.966.4+8.776%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nicholls State wins
1
Abilene Christian wins
DateGameScore
22/12/19Abilene Christian v Nicholls State79-61
Nicholls Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/21HNorthwestern St.88-76
05/03/21AMcNeese State80-67
28/02/21ANew Orleans105-101 OT
25/02/21HHouston Christian83-68
20/02/21HCentral Arkansas79-68
14/02/21ASE Louisiana86-84 OT
11/02/21ALamar76-71
06/02/21ASam Houston St.71-78
28/01/21HMcNeese State76-69
24/01/21HCarver Bible105-60
Abilene Christianlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/21HLamar93-71
06/03/21HIncarnate Word85-60
04/03/21AStephen F. Austin63-61
27/02/21ACentral Arkansas82-84
25/02/21HSam Houston St.86-72
13/02/21HTexas A&M-CC83-55
11/02/21HHouston Christian88-59
09/02/21ATexas A&M-CC82-69
06/02/21ALamar77-62
31/01/21AIncarnate Word75-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nicholls State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %74%90%62%
Points / game79.586.274.3
Allowed / game73.171.674.2
Point differential+6.4+14.6+0.1
Avg total152.6157.8148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%60%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)0% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %9%0%15%
Abilene Christian
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %85%100%60%
Points / game77.682.469.8
Allowed / game61.156.967.8
Point differential+16.5+25.5+2.0
Avg total138.7139.4137.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%100%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin2116576%80.370.7+9.6
2 Nicholls State2317674%79.573.1+6.4
3 UTRGV1991047%72.467.7+4.7
4 McNeese State24101442%80.371.8+8.5
5 Northwestern St.27111641%72.578.9-6.4
6 New Orleans25101540%76.076.4-0.4
7 Incarnate Word2281436%68.071.7-3.8
8 Lamar28101836%65.872.4-6.5
9 SE Louisiana2681831%68.377.7-9.4
10 Houston Christian2561924%71.080.3-9.2
11 Texas A&M-CC2451921%64.871.5-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abilene Christian2622485%77.661.1+16.5
2 Southern Utah2420483%84.269.5+14.7
3 California Baptist22121055%78.574.0+4.5
4 UT Arlington25121348%72.270.8+1.4
5 Utah Valley State21101148%73.074.3-1.3
6 Tarleton1881044%69.864.8+5.0
7 Utah Tech2181338%69.676.3-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nicholls State311445
Abilene Christian364379
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