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Nicholls State vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 88-76
39-36 49-40
Position#51
Record16-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#249
Record11-15
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game78.5
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Nicholls State v Northwestern St.
04 Jan 2027
NICH v NORT
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
NICH61
NORT47
05 Jan 2026
NICH74
NORT72
10 Feb 2025
NICH60
NORT72
05 Feb 2024
NICH73
NORT66
14 Jan 2023
NICH77
NORT63
20 Jan 2022
NICH69
NORT58
12 Mar 2021
NICH88
NORT76
01 Mar 2021
NICH v NORT
upcoming
15 Jan 2020
NICH72
NORT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#252
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H23/01
NCAA
Carver Bible
#477
W
105-60
105
60
+45
H24/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#239
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H28/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A06/02
NCAA
Lamar
#280
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A11/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#304
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
A14/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#344
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H20/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
A28/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#239
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-36
44-26
55-28
50-32
29-30
47-39
33-32
38-46
37-30
39-41
46-43
33-36
37-30
42-38
27-30
56-38
52-45
33-40
34-37
46-30
157.5Avg total
84.7Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.173.0152.0+6.173%
Season at home (9)86.071.1157.1+14.989%
Season away (13)74.374.2148.5+0.162%
Last 10 (10)84.772.8157.5+11.990%
Last 5 (5)86.677.6164.2+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.081.0157.0-5.00%
vs Similar (5)71.269.2140.4+2.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)81.472.9154.3+8.587%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#252
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H28/01
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#344
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A30/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#271
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A11/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#239
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H13/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H23/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#22
L
57-83
57
83
-26
H25/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#304
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H27/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#344
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H06/03
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-37
47-36
40-42
41-35
34-35
34-32
27-23
42-43
36-28
50-52
31-40
26-43
43-21
36-40
43-36
40-56
40-31
39-39
38-34
44-45
151.3Avg total
76.5Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)72.378.5150.9-6.242%
Season at home (11)75.172.6147.7+2.564%
Season away (15)70.382.9153.2-12.527%
Last 10 (10)76.574.8151.3+1.780%
Last 5 (5)76.077.0153.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.582.3150.8-13.927%
vs Similar (10)79.175.1154.2+4.060%
vs Weaker (5)85.874.2160.0+11.680%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: -2.2-2.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: -2.2-2.2
Nicholls StateNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#252
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H23/01
NCAA
Carver Bible
#477
W
55-28
55
28
+27
H24/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#239
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H28/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A06/02
NCAA
Lamar
#280
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A11/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#304
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#344
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H20/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A28/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#239
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A05/03
NCAA
73.3Avg total
39.2Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.734.672.4+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.033.073.0+7.057%-
Last 30 away (16)35.836.171.8-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)39.234.173.3+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.076.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.539.076.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (5)32.433.065.4-0.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)38.934.673.5+4.361%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#252
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H28/01
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#344
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A30/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#271
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A11/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#239
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H23/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#22
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H25/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#304
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H27/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A04/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#344
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H06/03
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H11/03
NCAA
69.3Avg total
36.6Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.036.872.8-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.232.269.4+4.969%-
Last 30 away (17)35.240.375.5-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)36.632.769.3+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.032.471.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.938.970.9-7.027%-
vs Similar (10)39.033.172.1+5.970%-
vs Weaker (5)42.437.880.2+4.660%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nicholls State wins
1
Northwestern St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/21AMcNeese State80-67
28/02/21ANew Orleans105-101 OT
25/02/21HHouston Christian83-68
20/02/21HCentral Arkansas79-68
14/02/21ASE Louisiana86-84 OT
11/02/21ALamar76-71
06/02/21ASam Houston St.71-78
28/01/21HMcNeese State76-69
24/01/21HCarver Bible105-60
23/01/21HNew Orleans86-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/21HNew Orleans82-79
06/03/21HCentral Arkansas79-70
04/03/21ANew Orleans83-92
27/02/21HSE Louisiana79-61
25/02/21HStephen F. Austin57-83
23/02/21HHouston Christian86-80
13/02/21HMcNeese State69-66
11/02/21AIncarnate Word68-67
30/01/21ACentral Arkansas81-77
28/01/21HNew Orleans81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nicholls State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %73%89%62%
Points / game79.186.074.3
Allowed / game73.071.174.2
Point differential+6.1+14.9+0.1
Avg total152.0157.1148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%56%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)0% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %9%0%15%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW42%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayLWWWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %42%64%27%
Points / game72.375.170.3
Allowed / game78.572.682.9
Point differential-6.2+2.5-12.5
Avg total150.9147.7153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %8%9%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin2116576%80.370.7+9.6
2 Nicholls State2216673%79.173.0+6.1
3 UTRGV1991047%72.467.7+4.7
4 Northwestern St.26111542%72.378.5-6.2
5 McNeese State24101442%80.371.8+8.5
6 New Orleans25101540%76.076.4-0.4
7 Lamar27101737%65.671.6-6.0
8 Incarnate Word2281436%68.071.7-3.8
9 SE Louisiana2681831%68.377.7-9.4
10 Houston Christian2561924%71.080.3-9.2
11 Texas A&M-CC2451921%64.871.5-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nicholls State394988
Northwestern St.364076
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