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Nigeria W vs Senegal W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-74
19-10 24-21 19-26 22-17
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game50.0
vs
Position#6
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game71.8
EuropeAfroBasket WomenAfroBasket Women - Final· BK Arena
Women2023Neutral venue
Meetings · Nigeria W v Senegal W
05 Aug 2023
NIGE84
SENE74
24 Sep 2021
NIGE73
SENE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nigeria W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Senegal W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nigeria WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ivory Coast W
#6
W
72-56
72
56
+16
no box
H23/09
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#4
W
73-63
73
63
+10
no box
H24/09
AfroBasket Women
Mali W
#2
W
70-59
70
59
+11
no box
A26/09
AfroBasket Women
China W
#2
L
76-90
76
90
-14
no box
A10/02
World Cup Women
France W
#9
W
67-65
67
65
+2
no box
H11/02
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
H13/02
World Cup Women
DR Congo W
#12
W
69-35
69
35
+34
36avg 63
H28/07
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#9
W
83-65
83
65
+18
80avg 63
A30/07
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#3
W
59-52
59
52
+7
57avg 63
H02/08
AfroBasket Women
Rwanda W
#7
W
79-48
79
48
+31
79avg 63
A03/08
AfroBasket Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-8
19-13
16-14
13-21
22-11
23-20
15-13
13-19
22-11
9-13
28-14
11-21
14-29
22-25
16-25
24-11
11-28
16-10
21-14
19-13
20-22
22-13
22-9
9-25
16-8
13-10
17-14
23-3
18-10
24-13
14-19
27-23
16-18
13-15
18-10
12-9
22-6
22-12
14-17
21-13
132.3Avg total
72.1Scored
60.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.550.0122.5+22.5100%
Season at home (2)64.043.5107.5+20.5100%
Season away (2)81.056.5137.5+24.5100%
Last 10 (10)72.160.2132.3+11.990%
Last 5 (5)72.653.8126.4+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.081.4152.4-10.414%
vs Similar (5)66.063.0129.0+3.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)76.654.9131.5+21.8100%
This opponent (Senegal W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Senegal WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Guinea W
#12
W
100-31
100
31
+69
no box
H18/09
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#5
W
78-63
78
63
+15
no box
A20/09
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#7
W
74-46
74
46
+28
no box
H23/09
AfroBasket Women
Nigeria W
#1
L
63-73
63
73
-10
no box
A24/09
AfroBasket Women
Cameroon W
#3
L
49-53
49
53
-4
no box
A26/09
AfroBasket Women
Uganda W
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
70avg 66
A29/07
AfroBasket Women
Mali W
#2
L
49-72
49
72
-23
35avg 66
H30/07
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#9
W
71-60
71
60
+11
74avg 66
A01/08
AfroBasket Women
Cameroon W
#4
W
80-77
80
77
+3
80avg 66
A02/08
AfroBasket Women
Mali W
#2
W
75-65
75
65
+10
69avg 66
H03/08
AfroBasket Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-10
23-9
23-8
29-4
21-15
18-10
18-19
21-19
20-13
17-9
24-16
13-8
11-22
20-23
13-15
19-13
19-12
8-10
11-14
11-17
21-17
17-18
18-22
27-28
16-11
12-15
8-26
13-20
18-24
20-11
13-17
20-8
11-19
18-13
28-20
23-25
20-16
16-22
24-11
15-16
134.7Avg total
72.2Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.671.8143.4-0.260%
Season at home (2)62.068.5130.5-6.550%
Season away (3)78.074.0152.0+4.067%
Last 10 (10)72.262.5134.7+9.760%
Last 5 (5)71.671.8143.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)64.185.4149.4-21.314%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (6)72.554.3126.8+18.267%
This opponent (Nigeria W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
Nigeria WSenegal W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nigeria WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ivory Coast W
#6
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H23/09
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#4
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H24/09
AfroBasket Women
Mali W
#2
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A26/09
AfroBasket Women
China W
#2
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A10/02
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H11/02
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H13/02
World Cup Women
DR Congo W
#12
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H28/07
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#9
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A30/07
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H02/08
AfroBasket Women
Rwanda W
#7
W
44-18
44
18
+26
A03/08
AfroBasket Women
66.3Avg total
36.8Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)36.033.169.2+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.232.667.8+2.750%-
Last 30 away (8)37.234.071.2+3.250%-
Last 10 (10)36.829.566.3+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.225.462.6+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.741.176.9-5.429%-
vs Similar (5)29.834.264.0-4.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.225.565.8+14.888%-
This opponent (Senegal W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Senegal WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guinea W
#12
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H18/09
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#5
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A20/09
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#7
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H23/09
AfroBasket Women
Nigeria W
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A24/09
AfroBasket Women
Cameroon W
#3
W
27-22
27
22
+5
A26/09
AfroBasket Women
Uganda W
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A29/07
AfroBasket Women
Mali W
#2
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H30/07
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A01/08
AfroBasket Women
Cameroon W
#4
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A02/08
AfroBasket Women
Mali W
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H03/08
AfroBasket Women
65.0Avg total
35.1Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)31.037.768.7-6.735%-
Last 30 at home (10)32.336.168.4-3.830%-
Last 30 away (10)29.739.369.0-9.640%-
Last 10 (10)35.129.965.0+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)33.833.267.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)28.641.970.4-13.314%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (6)36.728.064.7+8.783%-
This opponent (Nigeria W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nigeria Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nigeria W: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.3 points a game
52%
25%
23%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.817.2
36.9%
38.5%34.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.5
29.9%
25.6%19.5
🏀 Free throws25.518.0
70.6%
64.7%18.0
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Senegal Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Senegal W: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.3 points a game
52%
25%
23%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.615.2
43.9%
38.5%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.47.6
27.7%
25.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.017.6
73.3%
64.7%17.6
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 05 Aug 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nigeria W
WWWWWWLWWW
Senegal W
WWWLLLLWWW
#1
League position
#6
+27.7
Net rating
-0.7
88.5
Offensive rating
87.5
60.8
Defensive rating
88.2
39.4%
Effective FG%
42.9%
27.6%
Opp. effective FG%
40.1%
24.3%
Turnover %
24.2%
40.6%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.39
29.9%
3-point %
27.7%
71.6%
Assist %
78.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.5 · 87.5Defence60.8 · 88.2Shooting39.4% · 42.9%3-point %29.9% · 27.7%Ball care24.3% · 24.2%Off. rebounds40.6% · 25.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Nigeria W   ■ Senegal W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nigeria W wins
0
Senegal W wins
DateGameScore
24/09/21Nigeria W v Senegal W73-63
Nigeria Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/08/23ARwanda W79-48
02/08/23HMozambique W59-52
30/07/23AEgypt W83-65
28/07/23HDR Congo W69-35
13/02/22HMali W73-69
11/02/22HFrance W67-65
10/02/22AChina W76-90
26/09/21AMali W70-59
24/09/21HSenegal W73-63
23/09/21HIvory Coast W72-56
Senegal Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/08/23HMali W75-65
02/08/23ACameroon W80-77
01/08/23AEgypt W71-60
30/07/23HMali W49-72
29/07/23AUganda W83-85
26/09/21ACameroon W49-53
24/09/21ANigeria W63-73
23/09/21HMozambique W74-46
20/09/21AEgypt W78-63
18/09/21HGuinea W100-31

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nigeria W
AfroBasket Women 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game72.564.081.0
Allowed / game50.043.556.5
Point differential+22.5+20.5+24.5
Avg total122.5107.5137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Senegal W
AfroBasket Women 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game71.662.078.0
Allowed / game71.868.574.0
Point differential-0.2-6.5+4.0
Avg total143.4130.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nigeria W440100%72.550.0+22.5
2 Mali W54180%80.456.2+24.2
3 Mozambique W64267%72.754.8+17.8
4 Cameroon W53260%68.258.8+9.4
5 Senegal W53260%71.671.8-0.2
6 Uganda W63350%72.870.5+2.3
7 Rwanda W52340%59.467.6-8.2
8 Angola W31233%70.770.3+0.3
9 Egypt W31233%71.377.3-6.0
10 Ivory Coast W31233%51.767.7-16.0
11 Guinea W61517%47.082.2-35.2
12 DR Congo W3030%58.378.7-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nigeria W1924192284
Senegal W1021261774
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