Niigata vs Alvark Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 05:05

Final 99-92 (OT)

23-18 15-21 21-19 24-25 16-9

Position#9

Record15-23

FormWWLLW

Points / game81.7

Allowed / game82.7

Niigata 🏆

Alvark

Position#3

Record29-9

FormWLWWL

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game69.6

B League

Other2017-18

Meetings · Niigata v Alvark

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niigata winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alvark winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Niigata

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Dolphins

78-81

-3

A20/01

B League

Diamond Dolphins

84-72

+12

A21/01

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

77-83

-6

H27/01

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

72-70

H28/01

B League

Yokohama

#16

81-86

-5

H03/02

B League

Yokohama

#16

79-72

H04/02

B League

Kyoto

93-89

A09/02

B League

Kyoto

92-94

-2

A10/02

B League

Diamond Dolphins

72-83

-11

H17/02

B League

Diamond Dolphins

91-72

+19

H18/02

B League

17-15

14-19

24-24

23-23

18-25

21-15

21-14

24-18

23-19

16-23

18-24

20-17

18-13

15-14

19-25

20-18

9-26

21-17

20-20

31-23

22-19

18-18

21-17

12-21

27-24

26-22

28-22

24-16

20-28

20-19

28-31

13-25

18-20

20-14

21-24

27-17

20-16

25-20

19-19

162.1Avg total

81.9Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (38)	81.7	82.7	164.4	-1.0	39%
Season at home (19)	78.5	80.7	159.2	-2.3	32%
Season away (19)	84.9	84.7	169.6	+0.3	47%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	80.2	162.1	+1.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	82.0	167.4	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	79.3	86.8	166.1	-7.5	20%
vs Similar (14)	81.2	81.8	163.0	-0.6	43%
vs Weaker (6)	85.5	81.5	167.0	+4.0	67%

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kyoto

84-76

A20/01

B League

Kyoto

86-77

A21/01

B League

Shiga

#15

81-59

+22

H27/01

B League

Shiga

#15

88-81

H28/01

B League

Hokkaido

#11

67-73

-6

A03/02

B League

Hokkaido

#11

90-61

+29

A04/02

B League

Brave Thunders

65-94

-29

H10/02

B League

Brave Thunders

86-54

+32

H11/02

B League

Chiba

79-65

+14

A17/02

B League

Chiba

69-79

-10

A18/02

B League

20-15

24-21

21-19

19-21

19-20

24-20

28-18

15-19

14-12

24-12

24-17

19-18

24-16

17-22

24-25

23-18

16-13

18-22

27-21

6-17

26-14

20-14

23-20

21-13

15-35

19-14

14-22

17-23

16-13

21-11

22-7

27-23

22-15

21-17

18-13

18-20

21-24

11-19

19-19

18-17

151.4Avg total

79.5Scored

71.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (38)	78.6	69.6	148.2	+9.0	76%
Season at home (19)	82.3	69.5	151.7	+12.8	84%
Season away (19)	74.9	69.7	144.7	+5.2	68%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	71.9	151.4	+7.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	70.6	148.4	+7.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	72.6	73.2	145.8	-0.6	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	82.6	68.0	150.6	+14.6	83%

This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NiigataAlvark

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.7	21.8	39.5	-4.1	30%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.3	18.4	36.6	-0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	16.6	35.3	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	16.9	35.7	+1.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	16.3	34.9	+2.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	17.1	18.7	35.8	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.8	15.2	35.0	+4.6	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	21.1	39.0	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	20.5	37.7	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	21.7	40.3	-3.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.1	21.5	40.6	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.9	20.8	37.6	-3.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	16.6	35.5	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	16.1	35.8	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.1	35.2	+1.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	17.2	37.1	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	15.0	33.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	17.2	16.4	33.7	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.1	16.7	36.7	+3.4	67%	-

NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Dolphins

31-34

-3

A20/01

B League

Diamond Dolphins

39-40

-1

A21/01

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

39-42

-3

H27/01

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

33-27

H28/01

B League

Yokohama

#16

30-43

-13

H03/02

B League

Yokohama

#16

40-37

H04/02

B League

Kyoto

39-45

-6

A09/02

B League

Kyoto

44-44

A10/02

B League

Diamond Dolphins

31-45

-14

H17/02

B League

Diamond Dolphins

47-33

+14

H18/02

B League

76.3Avg total

37.3Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	40.9	77.3	-4.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.1	40.4	75.5	-5.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	41.4	79.1	-3.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	39.0	76.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	40.8	81.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	36.8	43.3	80.1	-6.5	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	35.1	39.1	74.3	-4.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.7	41.0	79.7	-2.3	33%	-

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kyoto

44-36

A20/01

B League

Kyoto

43-40

A21/01

B League

Shiga

#15

38-24

+14

H27/01

B League

Shiga

#15

41-38

H28/01

B League

Hokkaido

#11

34-35

-1

A03/02

B League

Hokkaido

#11

46-28

+18

A04/02

B League

Brave Thunders

34-49

-15

H10/02

B League

Brave Thunders

37-24

+13

H11/02

B League

Chiba

43-32

+11

A17/02

B League

Chiba

32-43

-11

A18/02

B League

74.1Avg total

39.2Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	33.2	70.8	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	32.9	71.5	+5.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	33.4	70.1	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	34.9	74.1	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	35.2	73.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	34.3	35.1	69.4	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	39.8	31.9	71.7	+7.9	83%	-

This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	22.5	42.6	-2.5	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.4	21.0	45.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.8	10%	-
vs Similar (14)	23.8	21.4	45.1	+2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.3	21.0	43.3	+1.3	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.7	37.8	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	16.7	37.3	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	18.7	38.3	+1.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.1	40.1	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.2	35.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.7	17.5	39.2	+4.2	72%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.7	43.5	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.4	41.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	22.1	45.4	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	21.2	44.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.6	46.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	22.5	20.7	43.2	+1.8	60%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.3	21.3	43.6	+1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.5	19.5	44.0	+5.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	19.4	42.3	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.1	18.6	39.7	+2.4	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	42.5	87.5	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	41.9	84.3	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.7	43.1	90.8	+4.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	41.2	85.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	41.2	86.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	42.5	43.5	86.0	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	46.1	42.6	88.7	+3.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	46.8	40.5	87.3	+6.3	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	36.9	77.8	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.4	36.1	79.5	+7.3	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	37.7	76.1	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	37.0	77.3	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	35.4	74.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	38.2	38.1	76.3	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.7	36.1	78.8	+6.6	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Niigata wins

Alvark wins

Date	Game	Score
10/10/17	Alvark v Niigata	95-97 OT
09/10/17	Alvark v Niigata	78-72
02/01/17	Alvark v Niigata	82-76
01/01/17	Alvark v Niigata	77-68

Niigatalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/02/18	H	Diamond Dolphins	91-72
17/02/18	H	Diamond Dolphins	72-83
10/02/18	A	Kyoto	92-94
09/02/18	A	Kyoto	93-89
04/02/18	H	Yokohama	79-72
03/02/18	H	Yokohama	81-86
28/01/18	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	72-70
27/01/18	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	77-83
21/01/18	A	Diamond Dolphins	84-72
20/01/18	A	Diamond Dolphins	78-81

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/02/18	A	Chiba	69-79
17/02/18	A	Chiba	79-65
11/02/18	H	Brave Thunders	86-54
10/02/18	H	Brave Thunders	65-94
04/02/18	A	Hokkaido	90-61
03/02/18	A	Hokkaido	67-73
28/01/18	H	Shiga	88-81
27/01/18	H	Shiga	81-59
21/01/18	A	Kyoto	86-77
20/01/18	A	Kyoto	84-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niigata

B League 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	39%
Home	WLWLW	32%
Away	WLWWL	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	38	19	19
Win %	39%	32%	47%
Points / game	81.7	78.5	84.9
Allowed / game	82.7	80.7	84.7
Point differential	-1.0	-2.3	+0.3
Avg total	164.4	159.2	169.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	11%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (12)	20% (5)	43% (7)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

Alvark

B League 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	76%
Home	WWWLW	84%
Away	WLWWL	68%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	38	19	19
Win %	76%	84%	68%
Points / game	78.6	82.3	74.9
Allowed / game	69.6	69.5	69.7
Point differential	+9.0	+12.8	+5.2
Avg total	148.2	151.7	144.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	58%	32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	33% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	3%	5%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ryukyu	39	31	8	79%	75.7	66.5	+9.2
2	SeaHorses Mikawa	38	30	8	79%	84.5	77.5	+6.9
3	Alvark	38	29	9	76%	78.6	69.6	+9.0
4	Chiba	38	27	11	71%	80.6	72.4	+8.2
5	Brave Thunders	38	25	13	66%	81.9	77.6	+4.3
6	Sun Rockers	38	22	16	58%	71.4	70.7	+0.7
7	Kyoto	38	22	16	58%	77.5	78.1	-0.6
8	Tochigi Brex	38	21	17	55%	75.5	72.8	+2.7
9	Hokkaido	38	19	19	50%	78.2	79.6	-1.3
10	Diamond Dolphins	38	18	20	47%	80.6	82.0	-1.4
11	NeoPhoenix	38	17	21	45%	72.6	73.2	-0.6
12	Toyama	38	17	21	45%	77.1	79.6	-2.4
13	Niigata	38	15	23	39%	81.7	82.7	-1.0
14	Osaka	39	13	26	33%	71.1	75.8	-4.8
15	Shiga	38	12	26	32%	72.2	77.2	-5.0
16	Yokohama	38	11	27	29%	72.5	78.6	-6.1
17	Shimane	38	7	31	18%	70.9	79.5	-8.6
18	Kobe	38	7	31	18%	72.5	81.9	-9.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Niigata	23	15	21	24	16	99
Alvark	18	21	19	25	9	92

← all games of the day

Niigata vs Alvark Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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