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Nizhny Novgorod vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Nov 2014
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 55-61
13-11 24-12 7-20 11-18
Position#20
Record3-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#16
Record3-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game72.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 7
European cup2014
Meetings · Nizhny Novgorod v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Nov 2014
NNO55
ZAL61
19 May 2013
NNO59
ZAL66
18 May 2013
NNO60
ZAL59
17 Dec 2012
NNO58
ZAL76
21 Jan 2012
NNO85
ZAL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nizhny Novgorod winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nizhny NovgorodLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Krasnye Krylya
#16
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A20/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#16
L
63-97
63
97
-34
A24/10
Euroleague
Saratov
#7
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
H27/10
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#2
L
83-112
83
112
-29
A30/10
Euroleague
Astana
#10
W
95-88
95
88
+7
H02/11
VTB United League
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H06/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A10/11
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A13/11
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H16/11
VTB United League
Sassari
#26
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A21/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
22-17
15-15
26-23
17-23
7-25
18-27
21-22
22-18
15-21
22-16
18-22
18-26
28-32
17-24
20-30
18-18
23-27
28-14
26-29
15-21
9-21
21-23
21-11
21-20
24-17
26-19
18-22
21-16
18-18
15-14
25-25
14-14
14-13
25-21
18-12
30-25
23-21
10-19
26-17
162.8Avg total
80.4Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.087.7165.7-9.750%
Season at home (2)77.081.0158.0-4.050%
Season away (4)78.591.0169.5-12.550%
Last 10 (10)80.482.4162.8-2.070%
Last 5 (5)78.873.8152.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.077.6147.6-7.638%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.078.6156.6-0.662%
vs Weaker (9)84.375.9160.2+8.4100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#20
W
97-63
97
63
+34
H24/10
Euroleague
Siauliai
#7
W
89-58
89
58
+31
A26/10
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A30/10
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
86-48
86
48
+38
H02/11
LKL
Unics Kazan
#7
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H06/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#8
W
91-83 OT
91
83
+8
H10/11
LKL
Sassari
#26
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A14/11
Euroleague
Skycop
#9
W
87-58
87
58
+29
H17/11
LKL
Real Madrid
#2
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H21/11
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#11
W
98-79
98
79
+19
H24/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
25-7
27-18
22-21
25-10
26-21
15-17
23-10
16-12
18-14
16-16
15-20
22-13
33-10
10-11
21-14
17-17
23-20
22-18
15-16
22-18
14-13
18-23
21-21
26-17
15-25
23-18
16-32
27-13
16-12
31-12
13-21
14-24
24-14
19-15
9-15
26-25
27-17
23-15
22-22
151.8Avg total
83.6Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.072.7148.7+3.350%
Season at home (3)80.067.3147.3+12.767%
Season away (3)72.078.0150.0-6.033%
Last 10 (10)83.668.2151.8+15.480%
Last 5 (5)84.476.0160.4+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.474.7150.1+0.743%
vs Similar ◀ (2)81.062.5143.5+18.5100%
vs Weaker (21)84.771.9156.6+12.881%
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
Nizhny NovgorodZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nizhny NovgorodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Krasnye Krylya
#16
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#16
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A24/10
Euroleague
Saratov
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H27/10
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#2
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A30/10
Euroleague
Astana
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H02/11
VTB United League
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H06/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#6
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A10/11
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A13/11
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H16/11
VTB United League
Sassari
#26
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A21/11
Euroleague
78.5Avg total
37.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.238.474.6-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.838.573.2-3.838%-
Last 30 away (14)37.938.276.1-0.357%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.178.5-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.275.0+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.839.472.2-6.623%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.636.673.2+0.062%-
vs Weaker (9)40.938.479.3+2.467%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#20
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H24/10
Euroleague
Siauliai
#7
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A26/10
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A30/10
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H02/11
LKL
Unics Kazan
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#8
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/11
LKL
Sassari
#26
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A14/11
Euroleague
Skycop
#9
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H17/11
LKL
Real Madrid
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/11
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#11
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H24/11
LKL
75.8Avg total
43.9Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.233.976.2+8.377%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.333.778.9+11.687%-
Last 30 away (15)39.234.273.4+5.067%-
Last 10 (10)43.931.975.8+12.080%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.677.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.636.074.6+2.657%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)41.025.066.0+16.0100%-
vs Weaker (21)43.634.177.7+9.581%-
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/14ASassari89-82
16/11/14HLokomotiv Kuban71-60
13/11/14AUnics Kazan79-73
10/11/14AUnics Kazan89-78
06/11/14HAnadolu Efes66-76
02/11/14HAstana95-88
30/10/14AReal Madrid83-112
27/10/14HSaratov91-85 OT
24/10/14AZalgiris Kaunas63-97
20/10/14AKrasnye Krylya78-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/14HMazeikiai98-79
21/11/14HReal Madrid66-68
17/11/14HSkycop87-58
14/11/14ASassari80-92
10/11/14HLietkabelis91-83 OT
06/11/14HUnics Kazan77-71
02/11/14HNeptunas86-48
30/10/14AAnadolu Efes65-62
26/10/14ASiauliai89-58
24/10/14HNizhny Novgorod97-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nizhny Novgorod
Euroleague 2014
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.077.078.5
Allowed / game87.781.091.0
Point differential-9.7-4.0-12.5
Avg total165.7158.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2014
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game76.080.072.0
Allowed / game72.767.378.0
Point differential+3.3+12.7-6.0
Avg total148.7147.3150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow770100%88.472.6+15.9
2 Barcelona660100%84.072.5+11.5
3 Olympiacos76186%74.470.6+3.9
4 Real Madrid75271%85.678.4+7.1
5 Fenerbahce75271%83.079.3+3.7
6 Panathinaikos64267%81.373.5+7.8
7 Anadolu Efes64267%73.570.3+3.2
8 Lyon-Villeurbanne32167%79.776.7+3.0
9 Unics Kazan106460%79.275.1+4.1
10 Crvena zvezda74357%79.773.4+6.3
11 Unicaja74357%78.776.1+2.6
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv74357%77.078.6-1.6
13 Strasbourg21150%73.563.5+10.0
14 Zalgiris Kaunas63350%76.072.7+3.3
15 Galatasaray63350%83.282.5+0.7
16 Hapoel M. Jerusalem21150%82.583.0-0.5
17 Nizhny Novgorod63350%78.087.7-9.7
18 Baskonia73443%77.076.7+0.3
19 Alba Berlin73443%76.480.1-3.7
20 Neptunas73443%76.784.7-8.0
21 Olimpia Milano62433%74.278.3-4.2
22 Valencia61517%72.876.3-3.5
23 Cedevita61517%69.776.7-7.0
24 Bayern61517%79.586.7-7.2
25 Sassari61517%81.889.8-8.0
26 Limoges61517%71.880.2-8.3
27 Turow Zgorzelec71614%74.785.3-10.6
28 Zielona Gora1010%86.090.0-4.0
29 Oostende1010%77.086.0-9.0
30 Nymburk1010%84.094.0-10.0
31 VEF Riga1010%53.082.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nizhny Novgorod132471155
Zalgiris Kaunas1112201861
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