Norrköping hosts Uppsala on 10 November 2026 in the Basketligan, and the Pythia model names Norrköping the clear favourite, rating them 95% to win because of their 6-3 record, 90.8 points per game and 83.3 allowed per game, the best in the league at fourth place. Norrköping has struggled at home, 2-3 with 91.8 points per game and 85.4 allowed, but their last five games show 3 wins and 2 losses, including a 84-69 victory over Hogsbo away. Uppsala, 4-5 overall, averages 74.1 points and allows 86.0, yet their road record is stronger at 3-2 with 79.8 points and 89.0 allowed; their last five have only one win, a 79-104 loss to BC Luleå. In the ten meetings between the clubs, Norrköping has won seven times, but Uppsala won the most recent encounter 83-76 on 27 January 2026. Pythia projects a 94-74 score, 168 total points, and gives Norrköping a 47% chance to cover the -20.0 line while the over on 166.5 has a 53% probability; the game has a 1% chance of overtime. The match ends with Norrköping's 94 points, the highest in the contest.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 90.8 | 83.3 | 174.1 | +7.4 | 67% |
| Season at home (5) | 91.8 | 85.4 | 177.2 | +6.4 | 40% |
| Season away (4) | 89.5 | 80.8 | 170.2 | +8.8 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.5 | 83.7 | 173.2 | +5.8 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.6 | 82.4 | 170.0 | +5.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 82.5 | 93.0 | 175.5 | -10.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (8) | 84.5 | 87.4 | 171.9 | -2.9 | 38% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (20) | 96.7 | 81.8 | 178.6 | +14.9 | 80% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 74.1 | 86.0 | 160.1 | -11.9 | 44% |
| Season at home (4) | 67.0 | 82.2 | 149.2 | -15.2 | 25% |
| Season away (5) | 79.8 | 89.0 | 168.8 | -9.2 | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 73.2 | 85.9 | 159.1 | -12.7 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 64.0 | 89.0 | 153.0 | -25.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (19) | 77.6 | 88.2 | 165.7 | -10.6 | 37% |
| vs Similar (4) | 66.5 | 74.2 | 140.8 | -7.8 | 25% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 90.7 | 80.0 | 170.7 | +10.7 | 71% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.3 | 41.8 | 87.1 | +3.5 | 60% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 45.6 | 41.9 | 87.5 | +3.7 | 59% | 65% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 44.9 | 41.6 | 86.5 | +3.3 | 62% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.2 | 41.9 | 87.1 | +3.3 | 50% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 41.6 | 85.8 | +2.6 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 39.5 | 50.0 | 89.5 | -10.5 | 0% | 100% |
| vs Similar (8) | 42.6 | 43.9 | 86.5 | -1.2 | 38% | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (20) | 47.0 | 40.1 | 87.1 | +6.9 | 75% | 65% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.7 | 45.5 | 85.2 | -5.7 | 33% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 37.8 | 43.5 | 81.4 | -5.7 | 31% | 38% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 41.2 | 46.9 | 88.1 | -5.8 | 35% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.6 | 46.5 | 84.1 | -8.9 | 10% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.8 | 45.6 | 81.4 | -9.8 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (19) | 39.1 | 47.8 | 86.9 | -8.8 | 26% | 47% |
| vs Similar (4) | 31.0 | 42.0 | 73.0 | -11.0 | 0% | 25% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 46.6 | 41.0 | 87.6 | +5.6 | 71% | 57% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uppsala +26.5 | 74.2% | 1.39 | 1.45 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| Uppsala +27.5 | 76.9% | 1.32 | 1.40 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Won |
| Norrkoping under 99.5 | 72.6% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Lost |
| Uppsala +25.5 | 71.3% | 1.45 | 1.52 | 1.45 | 1.39 | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Norrkoping under 100.5 | 75.8% | 1.31 | 1.32 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Over 158.5 | 72.0% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Norrkoping over 74.5 | 97.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Norrkoping over 82.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Norrkoping under 102.5 | 81.7% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Norrkoping over 76.5 | 95.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Norrkoping over 73.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Norrkoping over 72.5 | 98.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Norrkoping over 83.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Norrkoping over 80.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Norrkoping over 78.5 | 93.6% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Uppsala over 68.5 | 71.9% | 1.38 | 1.44 | 1.37 | 1.33 | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Norrkoping (regulation) | 94.1% | 1.03 | 1.04 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Over 155.5 | 77.9% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 86.0% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Norrkoping over 86.5 | 76.4% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Norrkoping over 84.5 | 82.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Over 145.5 | 91.8% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Over 141.5 | 95.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Norrkoping -12.5 | 72.4% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 92.5 | 96.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Norrkoping win | 94.9% | 1.03 | 1.04 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 1.03 | +3.8pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 90.5 | 94.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Over 146.5 | 90.8% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Under 191.5 | 92.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Over 151.5 | 84.6% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 93.5 | 96.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 88.5 | 91.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Over 156.5 | 76.0% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Under 190.5 | 91.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 86.5 | 88.6% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Under 186.5 | 87.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Under 181.5 | 80.0% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Lost |
| Norrkoping -6.5 | 86.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 84.5 | 84.4% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 83.5 | 82.0% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Uppsala under 82.5 | 79.3% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Norrkoping -10.5 | 77.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Under 185.5 | 86.1% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.0pp | Won |
| Under 176.5 | 70.3% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Lost |
| Uppsala under 80.5 | 73.3% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Lost |
| Under 180.5 | 78.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -1.3pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.7 | 19.2 | 52.7% | 38.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.7 | 11.0 | 33.9% | 33.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.4 | 16.4 | 74.1% | 16.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.3 | 17.9 | 52.7% | 35.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.5 | 8.8 | 33.9% | 26.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.8 | 14.3 | 74.1% | 14.3 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27/01/26 | Uppsala v Norrkoping | 83-76 |
| 27/12/25 | Norrkoping v Uppsala | 87-92 |
| 10/10/25 | Norrkoping v Uppsala | 93-75 |
| 14/02/25 | Uppsala v Norrkoping | 62-95 |
| 21/01/25 | Uppsala v Norrkoping | 107-86 |
| 03/12/24 | Norrkoping v Uppsala | 90-80 |
| 16/02/24 | Norrkoping v Uppsala | 98-70 |
| 08/01/24 | Uppsala v Norrkoping | 78-90 |
| 27/11/23 | Uppsala v Norrkoping | 75-82 |
| 06/10/23 | Norrkoping v Uppsala | 101-89 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | A | Hogsbo | 84-69 |
| 30/10/26 | H | BC Lulea | 80-92 |
| 26/10/26 | H | Jamtland | 83-86 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Boras | 88-85 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Koping Stars | 103-80 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Sloga Uppsala | 97-90 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Sodertalje | 85-94 |
| 29/09/26 | A | Nassjo | 89-79 |
| 25/09/26 | H | Umea | 108-75 |
| 07/05/26 | A | Boras | 78-87 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | A | BC Lulea | 79-104 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Boras | 51-92 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Sodertalje | 57-104 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Umea | 53-71 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Nassjo | 80-74 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Koping Stars | 94-87 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Hogsbo | 92-88 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Sloga Uppsala | 89-76 |
| 25/09/26 | H | Jamtland | 72-78 |
| 29/03/26 | H | BC Lulea | 65-85 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLW | 67% |
| Home | WLWLL | 40% |
| Away | WWWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| Win % | 67% | 40% | 100% |
| Points / game | 90.8 | 91.8 | 89.5 |
| Allowed / game | 83.3 | 85.4 | 80.8 |
| Point differential | +7.4 | +6.4 | +8.8 |
| Avg total | 174.1 | 177.2 | 170.2 |
| Over 165.25 | 89% | 100% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 44% |
| Home | LWLL | 25% |
| Away | WWWLL | 60% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| Win % | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Points / game | 74.1 | 67.0 | 79.8 |
| Allowed / game | 86.0 | 82.2 | 89.0 |
| Point differential | -11.9 | -15.2 | -9.2 |
| Avg total | 160.1 | 149.2 | 168.8 |
| Over 165.25 | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Win by 10+ | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 89% | 87.7 | 74.8 | +12.9 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% | 97.6 | 82.7 | +14.9 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 90.3 | 81.1 | +9.2 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 90.8 | 83.3 | +7.4 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 87.3 | 83.6 | +3.7 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 85.7 | 86.8 | -1.1 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 74.1 | 86.0 | -11.9 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 79.2 | 83.6 | -4.3 | |
| 9 | Hogsbo | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 81.1 | 89.0 | -7.9 |
| 10 | Sloga Uppsala | 10 | 2 | 8 | 20% | 80.7 | 94.0 | -13.3 |
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 77.8 | 88.0 | -10.2 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 26 | 28 | 21 | 100 | |
| 21 | 27 | 22 | 12 | 82 |
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