The Basketligan clash on 6 November 2026 pits Hogsbo against Norrköping, with the model clearly favouring Norrköping at 83% due to their 5-3 record, 91.6 points per game and 85.1 allowed, compared with Hogsbo's 2-6 record, 82.6 points per game and 89.6 allowed. Hogsbo has gone 2-2 at home, scoring 84.5 and conceding 86.0, yet their last five games have been winless, including a 71-108 loss away to BC Luleå. Norrköping has been undefeated on the road, 3-0, averaging 91.3 points and 84.7 allowed, and has won three of its last five games, notably a 88-85 away win over Boras. In head-to-head history Norrköping leads 6-1, with the most recent meeting a 87-76 win on 3 February 2026. The model projects a 84-94 score for Hogsbo and Norrköping, a total of 178.2, and gives Norrköping a 56% chance to cover the 12.5-point spread and a 55% chance of the over on the 176.0 line, with a 3% overtime probability. The game will likely end with Norrköping's dominant performance.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 82.6 | 89.6 | 172.2 | -7.0 | 25% |
| Season at home (4) | 84.5 | 86.0 | 170.5 | -1.5 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 80.8 | 93.2 | 174.0 | -12.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.6 | 87.9 | 169.5 | -6.3 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.4 | 90.8 | 169.2 | -12.4 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 78.2 | 95.2 | 173.4 | -17.0 | 11% |
| vs Similar (9) | 90.2 | 91.7 | 181.9 | -1.4 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 86.7 | 85.3 | 172.0 | +1.3 | 33% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 91.6 | 85.1 | 176.8 | +6.5 | 62% |
| Season at home (5) | 91.8 | 85.4 | 177.2 | +6.4 | 40% |
| Season away (3) | 91.3 | 84.7 | 176.0 | +6.7 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.5 | 85.6 | 175.1 | +3.9 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 90.2 | 86.6 | 176.8 | +3.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 82.5 | 93.0 | 175.5 | -10.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (8) | 84.5 | 87.4 | 171.9 | -2.9 | 38% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (20) | 96.8 | 82.2 | 179.1 | +14.6 | 80% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.1 | 48.6 | 88.7 | -8.5 | 27% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 39.6 | 45.8 | 85.4 | -6.2 | 40% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.7 | 51.4 | 92.1 | -10.7 | 13% | 73% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.4 | 45.0 | 84.4 | -5.6 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.8 | 49.8 | 87.6 | -12.0 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 37.3 | 49.4 | 86.8 | -12.1 | 22% | 50% |
| vs Similar (9) | 45.4 | 47.4 | 92.9 | -2.0 | 44% | 56% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 41.0 | 47.0 | 88.0 | -6.0 | 0% | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.4 | 41.7 | 87.1 | +3.8 | 60% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 45.6 | 41.9 | 87.5 | +3.7 | 59% | 59% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 45.2 | 41.4 | 86.6 | +3.8 | 62% | 46% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.0 | 42.3 | 87.3 | +2.7 | 50% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.6 | 42.6 | 88.2 | +3.0 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 39.5 | 50.0 | 89.5 | -10.5 | 0% | 100% |
| vs Similar (8) | 42.6 | 43.9 | 86.5 | -1.2 | 38% | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (20) | 47.1 | 40.0 | 87.1 | +7.2 | 75% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogsbo over 76.5 | 75.5% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Lost |
| Hogsbo over 77.5 | 72.3% | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Lost |
| Norrkoping over 82.5 | 88.4% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Won |
| Hogsbo over 75.5 | 78.6% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Lost |
| Hogsbo +19.5 | 78.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Hogsbo +18.5 | 75.3% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Hogsbo +17.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | 1.44 | 1.40 | 1.29 | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Hogsbo +22.5 | 84.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Norrkoping over 76.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Norrkoping over 78.5 | 94.4% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Norrkoping over 74.5 | 97.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Norrkoping over 80.5 | 91.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Over 168.5 | 71.9% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Lost |
| Over 165.5 | 77.8% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Lost |
| Over 160.5 | 85.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Lost |
| Norrkoping over 72.5 | 98.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 95.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Over 155.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Lost |
| Norrkoping over 88.5 | 72.6% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Lost |
| Norrkoping +13.5 | 97.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Norrkoping over 87.5 | 75.9% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Lost |
| Hogsbo +21.5 | 82.7% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Norrkoping +12.5 | 97.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Norrkoping +8.5 | 94.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | - |
| Norrkoping +7.5 | 93.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Norrkoping +3.5 | 88.3% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Norrkoping -1.5 | 81.1% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Under 200.5 | 91.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Norrkoping (regulation) | 81.0% | 1.13 | 1.15 | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Norrkoping +2.5 | 86.8% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Norrkoping win | 83.0% | 1.12 | 1.14 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.12 | 1.12 | +0.1pp | Won |
| Under 195.5 | 85.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -0.7pp | Won |
| Norrkoping -2.5 | 77.9% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| Under 190.5 | 77.6% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -1.2pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.7 | 17.2 | 52.7% | 34.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.3 | 8.4 | 33.9% | 25.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 26.3 | 19.3 | 74.1% | 19.3 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.7 | 19.2 | 52.7% | 38.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.7 | 11.0 | 33.9% | 33.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.4 | 16.4 | 74.1% | 16.4 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 | Hogsbo v Norrkoping | 76-87 |
| 17/01/26 | Hogsbo v Norrkoping | 63-94 |
| 19/09/25 | Norrkoping v Hogsbo | 89-77 |
| 21/03/25 | Norrkoping v Hogsbo | 122-93 |
| 25/01/25 | Hogsbo v Norrkoping | 74-89 |
| 09/01/25 | Hogsbo v Norrkoping | 73-113 |
| 04/10/24 | Norrkoping v Hogsbo | 89-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | A | Sloga Uppsala | 79-80 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Koping Stars | 82-84 |
| 23/10/26 | A | BC Lulea | 71-108 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Jamtland | 75-89 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Sodertalje | 85-93 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Nassjo | 85-81 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Uppsala | 88-92 |
| 29/09/26 | H | Boras | 96-90 |
| 17/03/26 | A | Jamtland | 74-85 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Umea | 81-77 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | H | BC Lulea | 80-92 |
| 26/10/26 | H | Jamtland | 83-86 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Boras | 88-85 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Koping Stars | 103-80 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Sloga Uppsala | 97-90 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Sodertalje | 85-94 |
| 29/09/26 | A | Nassjo | 89-79 |
| 25/09/26 | H | Umea | 108-75 |
| 07/05/26 | A | Boras | 78-87 |
| 05/05/26 | H | Boras | 84-88 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 25% |
| Home | WWLL | 50% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 82.6 | 84.5 | 80.8 |
| Allowed / game | 89.6 | 86.0 | 93.2 |
| Point differential | -7.0 | -1.5 | -12.5 |
| Avg total | 172.2 | 170.5 | 174.0 |
| Over 175.75 | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 25% (4) | 50% (2) | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLL | 62% |
| Home | WLWLL | 40% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| Win % | 62% | 40% | 100% |
| Points / game | 91.6 | 91.8 | 91.3 |
| Allowed / game | 85.1 | 85.4 | 84.7 |
| Point differential | +6.5 | +6.4 | +6.7 |
| Avg total | 176.8 | 177.2 | 176.0 |
| Over 175.75 | 50% | 60% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 38% | 40% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 89.1 | 74.0 | +15.1 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 96.9 | 83.1 | +13.8 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 90.3 | 81.1 | +9.2 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 91.6 | 85.1 | +6.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 87.1 | 84.6 | +2.5 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 73.5 | 83.8 | -10.2 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 85.2 | 87.5 | -2.2 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 79.0 | 82.9 | -3.9 | |
| 9 | Hogsbo | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 82.6 | 89.6 | -7.0 |
| 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 75.6 | 86.5 | -10.9 | |
| 11 | Sloga Uppsala | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 78.0 | 93.8 | -15.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogsbo | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 69 |
| 20 | 22 | 14 | 28 | 84 |
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