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Norrort vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 53-74
13-11 15-18 11-19 14-26
Position#15
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game66.5
vs
Position#1
Record0-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game85.0
SwedenSuperettan· Tibblehallen CC (Taby)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Norrort v Hogsbo
01 Oct 2023
NORR53
HOGS74
04 Mar 2023
NORR77
HOGS85
20 Feb 2022
NORR89
HOGS92
20 Mar 2021
NORR v HOGS
upcoming
04 Jan 2020
NORR79
HOGS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norrort winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorrortSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorrort
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#9
L
74-82
74
82
-8
no box
H11/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#11
W
101-76
101
76
+25
no box
A18/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
H28/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#13
L
62-64
62
64
-2
no box
A01/04
Superettan
Tureberg
#5
W
100-88
100
88
+12
no box
H05/04
Superettan
Tureberg
#5
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
A11/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
65-93
65
93
-28
no box
H14/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
97-97
97
97
+0
no box
A16/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
A16/09
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
74-56
74
56
+18
32avg 32
H24/09
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
23-14
16-27
15-22
25-30
30-13
25-16
21-17
15-20
21-20
32-22
17-28
19-20
17-8
16-21
10-15
21-16
24-29
35-13
20-30
26-19
19-17
16-19
25-24
9-29
14-16
22-24
20-24
23-23
32-35
22-21
20-18
–
–
–
–
20-13
17-11
21-20
16-12
161.5Avg total
81.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.566.5138.0+5.050%
Season at home (1)74.056.0130.0+18.0100%
Season away (1)69.077.0146.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)81.380.2161.5+1.140%
Last 5 (5)78.280.4158.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.686.9166.5-7.333%
vs Similar (12)80.078.2158.2+1.858%
vs Weaker (6)84.075.7159.7+8.383%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Norrort
#6
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
A04/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#4
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
H12/03
Superettan
Team4Q
#14
W
143-79
143
79
+64
no box
A18/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
A21/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
118-99
118
99
+19
no box
H25/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#11
W
110-79
110
79
+31
no box
A31/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
L
89-100
89
100
-11
no box
A06/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
94-90
94
90
+4
no box
H10/04
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
59avg 59
H23/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
60avg 59
A30/09
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
17-23
24-23
24-16
17-25
17-16
26-28
17-23
36-31
37-11
32-20
38-17
25-16
19-21
22-22
13-27
26-25
36-30
28-18
28-26
27-16
19-25
26-17
38-21
17-27
17-29
27-23
28-21
27-18
19-28
27-21
21-23
22-18
29-23
11-20
14-20
19-27
17-18
23-27
14-17
181.6Avg total
94.4Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.585.0159.5-10.50%
Season at home (1)76.081.0157.0-5.00%
Season away (1)73.089.0162.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)94.487.2181.6+7.250%
Last 5 (5)88.487.8176.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.582.5166.0+1.050%
vs Similar (2)85.080.0165.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)94.382.5176.8+11.877%
This opponent (Norrort) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
NorrortHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NorrortLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H11/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#11
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A18/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H28/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#13
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A01/04
Superettan
Tureberg
#5
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H05/04
Superettan
Tureberg
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A11/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
23-45
23
45
-22
H14/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A16/04
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H24/09
Superettan
80.8Avg total
41.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.739.380.1+1.445%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.939.980.7+1.047%-
Last 30 away (14)40.638.879.4+1.843%-
Last 10 (9)41.739.180.8+2.656%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.682.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.840.080.8+0.850%-
vs Similar (11)40.238.678.8+1.536%-
vs Weaker (6)41.739.381.0+2.350%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrort
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A04/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H12/03
Superettan
Team4Q
#14
W
73-42
73
42
+31
A18/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A21/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H25/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A31/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A06/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H10/04
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H23/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A30/09
Superettan
90.5Avg total
46.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.141.588.6+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.841.591.3+8.373%-
Last 30 away (15)44.441.585.9+2.960%-
Last 10 (10)46.344.290.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.888.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.041.082.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (2)46.542.088.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)47.641.589.1+6.165%-
This opponent (Norrort) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Norrorttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrort: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀68%
🏀🏀🏀
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 68% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers6.0 pts a game · 8% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.025.0
48.1%
50.1%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.02.0
13.3%
31.3%6.0
🏀 Free throws22.018.0
81.8%
66.9%18.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 22% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.0
50.7%
50.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.0
26.7%
31.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.5
71.9%
66.9%11.5
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/2 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Norrort
WLLLWWLLWL
Hogsbo
LLWLWWLWLW
#15
League position
#1
+24.0
Net rating
-13.2
93.4
Offensive rating
92.7
69.4
Defensive rating
105.9
41.8%
Effective FG%
45.9%
39.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
21.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
13.3%
3-point %
26.7%
44.4%
Assist %
46.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 92.7Defence69.4 · 105.9Shooting41.8% · 45.9%3-point %13.3% · 26.7%Ball care21.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds34.1% · 19.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Norrort   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Norrort wins
6
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23Norrort v Hogsbo77-85
29/10/22Hogsbo v Norrort104-76
20/02/22Norrort v Hogsbo89-92
09/10/21Hogsbo v Norrort99-84
22/02/20Hogsbo v Norrort133-125 OT
04/01/20Norrort v Hogsbo79-74
17/11/19Hogsbo v Norrort94-89
Norrortlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/23HKFUM Kalmar74-56
16/09/23AOckelbo69-77
16/04/23AHelsingborg97-97
14/04/23HHelsingborg65-93
11/04/23ATureberg86-79
05/04/23HTureberg100-88
01/04/23AHuddinge62-64
28/03/23HAIK Basket85-90
18/03/23AWetterbygden Stars101-76
11/03/23HRIG Mark74-82
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23AHuddinge73-89
23/09/23HAIK Basket76-81
10/04/23HIK Eos94-90
06/04/23AIK Eos89-100
31/03/23AWetterbygden Stars110-79
25/03/23HIK Eos118-99
21/03/23ARIG Mark79-86
18/03/23ATeam4Q143-79
12/03/23HEskilstuna77-92
04/03/23ANorrort85-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norrort
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.574.069.0
Allowed / game66.556.077.0
Point differential+5.0+18.0-8.0
Avg total138.0130.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.576.073.0
Allowed / game85.081.089.0
Point differential-10.5-5.0-16.0
Avg total159.5157.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Huddinge330100%84.063.7+20.3
2 Helsingborg220100%84.068.0+16.0
3 AIK Basket330100%85.075.3+9.7
4 IK Eos110100%82.079.0+3.0
5 Norrort21150%71.566.5+5.0
6 RIG Mark21150%75.075.0+0.0
7 Ockelbo42250%72.873.8-1.0
8 Sloga Uppsala21150%76.582.0-5.5
9 Wetterbygden Stars31233%80.378.7+1.7
10 Djurgarden31233%82.383.3-1.0
11 KFUM Fryshuset31233%76.386.0-9.7
12 Malbas1010%68.071.0-3.0
13 Hogsbo2020%74.585.0-10.5
14 KFUM Kalmar2020%53.075.0-22.0
15 Eskilstuna1010%65.090.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Norrort1315111453
Hogsbo1118192674
← all games of the day
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