Hogsbo vs Eskilstuna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 77-92

17-25 17-16 26-28 17-23

Position#1

Record19-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game93.2

Allowed / game80.0

Hogsbo

Eskilstuna 🏆

Position#4

Record11-10

FormLLLWL

Points / game85.9

Allowed / game85.2

Superettan

Other2022-23

Meetings · Hogsbo v Eskilstuna

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Eskilstuna winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tureberg

84-90

-6

A03/12

Superettan

Sloga Uppsala

#12

96-90

A17/12

Superettan

Helsingborg

80-78

H20/01

Superettan

Eskilstuna

81-66

+15

A28/01

Superettan

AIK Basket

81-78

H04/02

Superettan

Huddinge

#13

99-84

+15

H11/02

Superettan

Ockelbo

90-88

A18/02

Superettan

RIG Mark

79-73

H21/02

Superettan

Tureberg

100-96 OT

100

H25/02

Superettan

Norrort

85-77

A04/03

Superettan

20-25

28-22

20-25

16-18

19-25

23-25

29-22

25-18

30-27

20-19

14-12

16-20

14-15

26-29

23-9

18-13

29-26

15-17

16-20

21-15

36-15

34-21

16-26

13-22

27-20

16-21

21-22

26-25

24-19

24-20

19-18

12-16

16-23

27-21

22-25

25-21

20-15

17-23

24-23

24-16

169.5Avg total

87.5Scored

82.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	93.2	80.0	173.2	+13.2	95%
Season at home (11)	93.9	79.4	173.3	+14.5	100%
Season away (9)	92.2	80.8	173.0	+11.4	89%
Last 10 (10)	87.5	82.0	169.5	+5.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	90.6	83.6	174.2	+7.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	81.7	82.0	163.7	-0.3	50%
vs Similar (2)	85.0	80.0	165.0	+5.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	93.7	79.8	173.5	+13.9	91%

This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Eskilstuna Sweden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trelleborg

100-94

100

A26/11

Superettan

AIK Basket

80-85

-5

H03/12

Superettan

Team4Q

#14

99-64

+35

H10/12

Superettan

AIK Basket

93-86

A08/01

Superettan

Ockelbo

92-83

H14/01

Superettan

Wetterbygden Stars

#11

89-98

-9

A21/01

Superettan

Hogsbo

66-81

-15

H28/01

Superettan

Tureberg

90-104

104

-14

A04/02

Superettan

Norrort

80-72

H16/02

Superettan

RIG Mark

79-89

-10

H25/02

Superettan

34-20

22-27

13-25

31-22

17-23

16-18

17-23

30-21

26-10

22-18

25-19

26-17

25-35

25-14

22-22

21-15

14-24

23-21

27-22

28-16

18-26

21-24

23-27

27-21

15-14

29-26

9-23

13-18

21-26

26-30

13-21

30-27

21-19

18-20

25-13

16-20

24-25

20-18

21-19

14-27

172.4Avg total

86.8Scored

85.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	85.9	85.2	171.1	+0.7	52%
Season at home (10)	83.8	79.1	162.9	+4.7	60%
Season away (11)	87.8	90.7	178.5	-2.9	45%
Last 10 (10)	86.8	85.6	172.4	+1.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	88.8	169.6	-8.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	90.8	91.8	182.5	-1.0	50%
vs Similar (4)	90.2	86.2	176.5	+4.0	75%
vs Weaker (13)	83.1	82.8	165.9	+0.2	46%

This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HogsboEskilstuna

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	20.8	44.9	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.7	20.4	45.1	+4.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	21.2	44.6	+2.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	21.0	44.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	18.4	43.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	27.5	25.0	52.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	24.6	20.1	44.7	+4.5	77%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.5	30%	-
Last 30 away (11)	22.4	24.0	46.4	-1.6	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	22.2	43.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	23.8	22.2	46.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.6	22.8	42.5	-3.2	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.1	43.1	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	19.3	43.1	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	21.1	43.2	+1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.2	44.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.7	19.0	40.7	+2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.7	20.7	44.5	+3.0	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.4	20.8	41.1	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	23.6	46.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	22.2	24.0	46.2	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	23.2	43.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	46%	-

HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tureberg

48-47

A03/12

Superettan

Sloga Uppsala

#12

42-50

-8

A17/12

Superettan

Helsingborg

50-46

H20/01

Superettan

Eskilstuna

40-44

-4

A28/01

Superettan

AIK Basket

44-43

H04/02

Superettan

Huddinge

#13

70-36

+34

H11/02

Superettan

Ockelbo

43-41

A18/02

Superettan

RIG Mark

48-39

H21/02

Superettan

Tureberg

43-44

-1

H25/02

Superettan

Norrort

37-38

-1

A04/03

Superettan

89.3Avg total

46.5Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.1	40.9	88.0	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.4	39.8	88.2	+8.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.5	42.3	87.8	+3.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	42.8	89.3	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	39.6	87.8	+8.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	42.7	40.8	83.5	+1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	46.5	42.0	88.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	48.3	40.9	89.2	+7.5	68%	-

This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EskilstunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trelleborg

56-47

A26/11

Superettan

AIK Basket

33-41

-8

H03/12

Superettan

Team4Q

#14

48-28

+20

H10/12

Superettan

AIK Basket

50-49

A08/01

Superettan

Ockelbo

37-45

-8

H14/01

Superettan

Wetterbygden Stars

#11

39-50

-11

A21/01

Superettan

Hogsbo

44-40

H28/01

Superettan

Tureberg

47-56

-9

A04/02

Superettan

Norrort

39-39

H16/02

Superettan

RIG Mark

44-43

H25/02

Superettan

87.5Avg total

43.7Scored

43.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	40.9	43.3	84.1	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	39.1	41.1	80.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.5	45.3	87.7	-2.8	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	43.8	87.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	45.6	88.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	46.0	46.2	92.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.5	45.0	85.5	-4.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (13)	39.4	41.8	81.2	-2.5	38%	-

This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.3	41.8	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	19.1	41.3	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.7	19.6	42.3	+3.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.8	43.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.6	19.8	43.4	+3.9	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.9	17.4	39.3	+4.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.9	23.2	43.1	-3.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.0	24.5	43.5	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.8	19.2	43.0	+4.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.5	19.5	40.1	+1.0	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	19.9	41.7	+1.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.8	21.7	41.5	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	24.0	43.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.3	18.9	40.2	+2.4	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	23.9	21.0	44.9	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (11)	24.9	21.4	46.3	+3.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	20.4	44.0	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	24.2	18.5	42.8	+5.8	75%	-
vs Similar (4)	26.0	22.0	48.0	+4.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.2	21.5	44.6	+1.7	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	39.1	82.5	+4.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.3	38.8	81.1	+3.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.5	39.5	84.0	+5.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	38.6	78.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	42.8	83.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.0	41.2	80.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	38.5	38.0	76.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	45.0	38.7	83.6	+6.3	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	44.8	41.4	86.2	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	44.7	38.0	82.7	+6.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (11)	44.8	44.5	89.4	+0.3	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	41.8	84.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	43.2	81.4	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	43.2	43.0	86.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	49.8	41.2	91.0	+8.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (13)	43.7	41.0	84.7	+2.7	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Hogsbo wins

Eskilstuna wins

Date	Game	Score
28/01/23	Eskilstuna v Hogsbo	66-81

Hogsbolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/23	A	Norrort	85-77
25/02/23	H	Tureberg	100-96 OT
21/02/23	H	RIG Mark	79-73
18/02/23	A	Ockelbo	90-88
11/02/23	H	Huddinge	99-84
04/02/23	H	AIK Basket	81-78
28/01/23	A	Eskilstuna	81-66
20/01/23	H	Helsingborg	80-78
17/12/22	A	Sloga Uppsala	96-90
03/12/22	A	Tureberg	84-90

Eskilstunalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/02/23	H	RIG Mark	79-89
16/02/23	H	Norrort	80-72
04/02/23	A	Tureberg	90-104
28/01/23	H	Hogsbo	66-81
21/01/23	A	Wetterbygden Stars	89-98
14/01/23	H	Ockelbo	92-83
08/01/23	A	AIK Basket	93-86
10/12/22	H	Team4Q	99-64
03/12/22	H	AIK Basket	80-85
26/11/22	A	Trelleborg	100-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo

Superettan 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	95%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWWW	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	95%	100%	89%
Points / game	93.2	93.9	92.2
Allowed / game	80.0	79.4	80.8
Point differential	+13.2	+14.5	+11.4
Avg total	173.2	173.3	173.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	55%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (4)	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

Eskilstuna

Superettan 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	52%
Home	WWLWL	60%
Away	WWWLL	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	52%	60%	45%
Points / game	85.9	83.8	87.8
Allowed / game	85.2	79.1	90.7
Point differential	+0.7	+4.7	-2.9
Avg total	171.1	162.9	178.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	30%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hogsbo	20	19	1	95%	93.2	80.0	+13.2
2	Trelleborg	9	7	2	78%	98.7	80.6	+18.1
3	Helsingborg	22	17	5	77%	86.7	76.4	+10.3
4	Tureberg	22	13	9	59%	86.7	83.5	+3.2
5	Norrort	21	12	9	57%	80.0	81.7	-1.7
6	Eskilstuna	21	11	10	52%	85.9	85.2	+0.7
7	Ockelbo	22	11	11	50%	84.0	81.2	+2.7
8	AIK Basket	22	10	12	45%	83.8	84.9	-1.0
9	IK Eos	22	10	12	45%	88.7	91.1	-2.4
10	Wetterbygden Stars	22	10	12	45%	82.3	86.3	-4.0
11	RIG Mark	21	8	13	38%	73.0	77.0	-3.9
12	Sloga Uppsala	22	8	14	36%	83.5	86.8	-3.3
13	Huddinge	21	6	15	29%	81.1	85.9	-4.8
14	Team4Q	21	2	19	10%	79.9	96.3	-16.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Hogsbo	17	17	26	17	77
Eskilstuna	25	16	28	23	92

← all games of the day

Hogsbo vs Eskilstuna Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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