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North Adelaide Rockets vs Sturt Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 05:45
Final 68-84
21-19 17-25 14-21 16-19
Position#9
Record3-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game90.8
vs
Position#6
Record5-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game91.2
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2025
Meetings · North Adelaide Rockets v Sturt Sabres
06 Jul 2025
NORT68
STUR84
30 Mar 2024
NORT62
STUR104
06 Apr 2023
NORT75
STUR74
25 Apr 2022
NORT90
STUR73
10 Jul 2021
NORT94
STUR90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Adelaide Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sturt Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North Adelaide RocketsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
70-91
70
91
-21
H27/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H03/05
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H10/05
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A24/05
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#10
L
75-104
75
104
-29
A31/05
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#3
L
60-82
60
82
-22
H14/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
87-120
87
120
-33
A21/06
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H22/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H28/06
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A04/07
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
18-18
20-23
15-27
22-22
23-21
8-23
22-20
34-19
19-24
19-17
20-17
11-26
28-19
17-28
26-19
18-19
18-31
18-23
21-31
10-27
6-21
27-13
17-21
19-24
29-30
12-33
27-33
23-20
23-16
24-27
18-20
27-24
22-22
18-19
17-27
22-23
15-26
19-8
14-25
169.2Avg total
78.3Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.390.8167.1-14.520%
Season at home (8)77.283.6160.9-6.438%
Season away (7)75.399.0174.3-23.70%
Last 10 (10)78.390.9169.2-12.620%
Last 5 (5)77.891.8169.6-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)77.191.4168.5-14.317%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Woodville Warriors
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A27/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#7
W
99-92
99
92
+7
A03/05
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
114-88
114
88
+26
A10/05
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H24/05
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H01/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
86-109
86
109
-23
A14/06
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H21/06
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#10
W
95-79
95
79
+16
A22/06
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A28/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H04/07
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
17-27
24-23
22-32
31-22
27-20
22-28
19-22
35-27
18-24
31-16
30-21
31-21
20-8
23-25
21-19
21-22
27-24
24-29
17-16
29-25
20-22
15-27
22-35
23-21
16-30
22-23
24-23
22-20
26-16
24-25
23-18
27-11
16-32
14-28
27-20
25-20
14-28
16-18
22-16
181.6Avg total
91.1Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)88.691.2179.8-2.633%
Season at home (7)85.687.4173.0-1.929%
Season away (8)91.294.5185.8-3.238%
Last 10 (10)91.190.5181.6+0.640%
Last 5 (5)85.491.6177.0-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)88.097.7185.7-9.711%
vs Similar (10)90.488.1178.5+2.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)97.685.4183.0+12.391%
This opponent (North Adelaide Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
North Adelaide RocketsSturt Sabres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
North Adelaide RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H27/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H03/05
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H10/05
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A24/05
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#10
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A31/05
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#3
L
16-48
16
48
-32
H14/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A21/06
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H22/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H28/06
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A04/07
NBL1 Central
85.9Avg total
40.4Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.744.983.6-6.227%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.143.482.6-4.331%-
Last 30 away (14)38.246.684.8-8.421%-
Last 10 (10)40.445.585.9-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.246.685.8-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.744.983.6-6.227%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Woodville Warriors
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A27/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#7
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A03/05
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A10/05
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H24/05
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H01/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A14/06
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H21/06
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A22/06
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H04/07
NBL1 Central
91.0Avg total
46.9Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.145.391.4+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.745.592.3+1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)45.445.190.5+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)46.944.191.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.645.088.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)45.148.994.0-3.833%-
vs Similar (10)46.244.790.9+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.742.989.6+3.855%-
This opponent (North Adelaide Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/25ASouth Adelaide Panthers70-82
28/06/25HWest Adelaide Bearcats84-92
22/06/25HSouthern Tigers88-83
21/06/25ACentral Districts Lions87-120
14/06/25HWoodville Warriors60-82
31/05/25ANorwood Flames75-104
24/05/25AWest Adelaide Bearcats82-92
10/05/25HEastern Mavericks92-77
03/05/25HForestville Eagles75-86
27/04/25HSouth Adelaide Panthers70-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/25HWoodville Warriors77-82
28/06/25AEastern Mavericks84-91
22/06/25ANorwood Flames95-79
21/06/25HSouth Adelaide Panthers85-97
14/06/25ACentral Districts Lions86-109
01/06/25HForestville Eagles89-91
24/05/25HEastern Mavericks95-73
10/05/25AWest Adelaide Bearcats114-88
03/05/25ASouthern Tigers99-92
27/04/25AWoodville Warriors87-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Adelaide Rockets
NBL1 Central 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWLWL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %20%38%0%
Points / game76.377.275.3
Allowed / game90.883.699.0
Point differential-14.5-6.4-23.7
Avg total167.1160.9174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWWLLL29%
AwayWWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%29%38%
Points / game88.685.691.2
Allowed / game91.287.494.5
Point differential-2.6-1.9-3.2
Avg total179.8173.0185.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Forestville Eagles1513287%94.077.3+16.7
2 Central Districts Lions1513287%93.584.1+9.5
3 South Adelaide Panthers1510567%86.381.9+4.5
4 Woodville Warriors1510567%81.979.5+2.5
5 West Adelaide Bearcats168850%85.084.5+0.5
6 Eastern Mavericks145936%82.388.1-5.8
7 Sturt Sabres1551033%88.691.2-2.6
8 Southern Tigers1651131%82.087.1-5.1
9 Norwood Flames1431121%80.086.1-6.1
10 North Adelaide Rockets1531220%76.390.8-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
North Adelaide Rockets2117141668
Sturt Sabres1925211984
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