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West Adelaide Bearcats vs Sturt Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 10:45
Final 88-114
27-35 24-18 16-31 21-30
Position#4
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#6
Record2-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game94.0
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2025
Meetings · West Adelaide Bearcats v Sturt Sabres
10 May 2025
WEST88
STUR114
22 Jun 2024
WEST80
STUR99
05 Aug 2023
WEST96
STUR73
17 Jun 2023
WEST93
STUR91
02 Jul 2022
WEST84
STUR69
05 Jun 2021
WEST87
STUR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

West Adelaide Bearcats winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sturt Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

West Adelaide BearcatsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
97-94
97
94
+3
A13/07
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
W
110-98
110
98
+12
H20/07
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#3
L
81-100
81
100
-19
A27/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#3
W
97-58
97
58
+39
H29/03
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A05/04
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#10
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A11/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
L
63-94
63
94
-31
H18/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#7
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H25/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
86-100
86
100
-14
A27/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A03/05
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
20-20
19-23
32-27
30-18
20-31
24-25
36-24
21-33
18-22
23-29
19-16
23-13
28-18
32-11
14-16
14-13
19-22
22-18
20-24
18-22
18-15
28-12
19-17
15-28
14-20
9-18
25-28
18-17
20-21
20-25
19-26
27-25
20-34
24-15
15-26
29-14
22-31
19-14
24-16
171.4Avg total
86.3Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.179.9162.0+2.343%
Season at home (3)79.080.3159.3-1.333%
Season away (4)84.579.5164.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)86.385.1171.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)80.684.8165.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.7104.3186.0-22.717%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.681.7165.3+1.929%
vs Weaker (17)96.283.2179.4+13.076%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
85-106
85
106
-21
H20/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
100-81
100
81
+19
H27/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A03/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
A29/03
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H05/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A12/04
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#10
L
76-99
76
99
-23
H17/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#9
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H25/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A27/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#7
W
99-92
99
92
+7
A03/05
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
31-28
16-16
18-32
33-21
22-18
29-23
16-19
18-21
16-33
26-9
24-28
20-23
27-24
15-23
21-31
20-22
27-26
21-19
19-26
15-21
22-19
16-27
29-26
27-21
16-26
15-27
18-25
21-20
22-24
27-15
20-18
24-21
17-27
24-23
22-32
31-22
27-20
22-28
19-22
180.9Avg total
87.3Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.394.0180.3-7.729%
Season at home (3)84.389.7174.0-5.333%
Season away (4)87.897.2185.0-9.525%
Last 10 (10)87.393.6180.9-6.330%
Last 5 (5)86.892.8179.6-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)88.195.2183.4-7.125%
vs Similar ◀ (7)90.191.6181.7-1.457%
vs Weaker (15)97.183.7180.7+13.487%
This opponent (West Adelaide Bearcats) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -5.3-5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -5.3-5.3
West Adelaide BearcatsSturt Sabres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
West Adelaide BearcatsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A13/07
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H20/07
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#3
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A27/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#3
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H29/03
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A05/04
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A11/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H18/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A27/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A03/05
NBL1 Central
86.1Avg total
42.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.844.389.1+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.443.889.2+1.546%-
Last 30 away (17)44.444.688.9-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)42.044.186.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.485.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.854.394.2-14.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.940.783.6+2.129%-
vs Weaker (17)47.442.289.5+5.265%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H20/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H27/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A03/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A29/03
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H05/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A12/04
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H17/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A27/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#7
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A03/05
NBL1 Central
92.3Avg total
45.6Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.846.091.8-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.046.594.5+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)43.645.689.2-2.033%-
Last 10 (10)45.646.792.3-1.120%-
Last 5 (5)44.444.288.6+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.249.493.6-5.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)47.046.993.9+0.157%-
vs Weaker (15)46.143.989.9+2.247%-
This opponent (West Adelaide Bearcats) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25AEastern Mavericks94-75
27/04/25ACentral Districts Lions86-100
25/04/25HSouthern Tigers77-89
18/04/25HForestville Eagles63-94
11/04/25ANorwood Flames83-66
05/04/25ASouth Adelaide Panthers75-77
29/03/25HWoodville Warriors97-58
27/07/24ASturt Sabres81-100
20/07/24HCentral Districts Lions110-98
13/07/24AForestville Eagles97-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ASouthern Tigers99-92
27/04/25AWoodville Warriors87-103
25/04/25HNorth Adelaide Rockets90-77
17/04/25HNorwood Flames76-99
12/04/25ASouth Adelaide Panthers82-93
05/04/25HCentral Districts Lions87-93
29/03/25AForestville Eagles83-101
03/08/24AForestville Eagles84-91
27/07/24HWest Adelaide Bearcats100-81
20/07/24HForestville Eagles85-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

West Adelaide Bearcats
NBL1 Central 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game82.179.084.5
Allowed / game79.980.379.5
Point differential+2.3-1.3+5.0
Avg total162.0159.3164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game86.384.387.8
Allowed / game94.089.797.2
Point differential-7.7-5.3-9.5
Avg total180.3174.0185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Forestville Eagles76186%98.179.0+19.1
2 Central Districts Lions76186%91.486.0+5.4
3 South Adelaide Panthers75271%83.477.1+6.3
4 Woodville Warriors74357%82.785.1-2.4
5 West Adelaide Bearcats73443%82.179.9+2.3
6 Southern Tigers73443%86.084.6+1.4
7 Eastern Mavericks73443%87.790.3-2.6
8 Norwood Flames72529%80.084.3-4.3
9 Sturt Sabres72529%86.394.0-7.7
10 North Adelaide Rockets71614%72.490.0-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
West Adelaide Bearcats2724162188
Sturt Sabres35183130114
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