Norwood Flames vs Sturt Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jun 2025

Tip-off: 05:15

Final 79-95

20-22 16-26 25-24 18-23

Position#10

Record3-9

FormLLWLL

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game86.0

Norwood Flames

Sturt Sabres 🏆

Position#6

Record4-8

FormWWLLL

Points / game89.4

Allowed / game93.0

NBL1 Central

Other2025

Meetings · Norwood Flames v Sturt Sabres

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norwood Flames winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sturt Sabres winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Norwood Flames Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

West Adelaide Bearcats

66-83

-17

H11/04

NBL1 Central

Sturt Sabres

99-76

+23

A17/04

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

87-93

-6

H25/04

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

83-80

A27/04

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

76-85

-9

H04/05

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

77-87

-10

H11/05

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

75-92

-17

A24/05

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

104-75

104

+29

H31/05

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

67-82

-15

A14/06

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

86-106

106

-20

A21/06

NBL1 Central

22-18

15-18

12-28

17-19

21-27

26-16

27-15

25-18

20-25

15-25

28-22

24-21

18-16

25-26

18-20

22-18

13-23

21-19

17-29

25-14

20-31

19-15

26-15

12-26

17-32

16-20

18-17

24-23

19-18

31-18

23-18

31-21

24-28

15-13

13-21

15-20

20-39

23-27

13-19

30-21

167.9Avg total

82.0Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	80.8	86.0	166.8	-5.2	25%
Season at home (6)	82.3	86.7	169.0	-4.3	17%
Season away (6)	79.2	85.3	164.5	-6.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	85.9	167.9	-3.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	88.4	170.2	-6.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	80.8	91.8	172.6	-11.1	12%
vs Similar (3)	95.0	100.7	195.7	-5.7	33%
vs Weaker (10)	92.7	79.7	172.4	+13.0	80%

This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sturt Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South Adelaide Panthers

82-93

-11

A12/04

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

#10

76-99

-23

H17/04

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

90-77

+13

H25/04

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

87-103

103

-16

A27/04

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

99-92

A03/05

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

114-88

114

+26

A10/05

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

95-73

+22

H24/05

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

89-91

-2

H01/06

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

86-109

109

-23

A14/06

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

85-97

-12

H21/06

NBL1 Central

15-21

22-19

16-27

29-26

27-21

16-26

15-27

18-25

21-20

22-24

27-15

20-18

24-21

17-27

24-23

22-32

31-22

27-20

22-28

19-22

35-27

18-24

31-16

30-21

31-21

20-8

23-25

21-19

21-22

27-24

24-29

17-16

29-25

20-22

15-27

22-35

23-21

16-30

22-23

24-23

182.5Avg total

90.3Scored

92.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	89.4	93.0	182.4	-3.6	33%
Season at home (6)	87.0	88.3	175.3	-1.3	33%
Season away (6)	91.8	97.7	189.5	-5.8	33%
Last 10 (10)	90.3	92.2	182.5	-1.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	93.8	91.6	185.4	+2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	88.0	97.7	185.7	-9.7	11%
vs Similar (9)	93.3	89.1	182.4	+4.2	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	96.8	87.1	183.9	+9.8	83%

This opponent (Norwood Flames) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Norwood FlamesSturt Sabres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	24.3	45.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	22.4	42.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	26.1	49.3	-3.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	25.7	45.1	-6.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	29.6	49.6	-9.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.1	26.0	46.1	-5.9	29%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.3	22.7	44.0	-1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.6	21.8	45.4	+1.8	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	23.2	46.8	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.4	23.6	48.0	+0.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	22.8	45.4	-0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	22.1	47.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	23.2	51.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	26.3	23.3	49.7	+3.0	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	23.2	23.2	46.3	+0.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.9	44.2	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	21.1	43.6	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	22.7	44.8	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	21.4	21.3	42.7	+0.1	65%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.3	28.7	53.0	-4.3	0%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.2	20.9	44.1	+2.3	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	22.8	45.7	+0.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	22.2	45.4	+0.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	23.4	46.1	-0.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.4	42.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	23.9	25.7	49.6	-1.8	67%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	23.0	21.2	44.2	+1.8	67%	-

Norwood FlamesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

West Adelaide Bearcats

37-36

H11/04

NBL1 Central

Sturt Sabres

47-43

A17/04

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

35-50

-15

H25/04

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

43-42

A27/04

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

34-42

-8

H04/05

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

39-46

-7

H11/05

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

33-52

-19

A24/05

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

50-36

+14

H31/05

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

39-41

-2

A14/06

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

43-66

-23

A21/06

NBL1 Central

85.4Avg total

40.0Scored

45.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	46.2	89.9	-2.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	43.5	85.7	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.3	48.8	94.1	-3.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	45.4	85.4	-5.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	48.2	89.0	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	41.5	47.3	88.8	-5.8	35%	-
vs Similar (3)	45.7	51.3	97.0	-5.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	46.8	42.7	89.5	+4.1	60%	-

This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South Adelaide Panthers

37-40

-3

A12/04

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

#10

43-47

-4

H17/04

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

43-44

-1

H25/04

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

41-48

-7

A27/04

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

58-42

+16

A03/05

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

53-51

A10/05

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

51-29

+22

H24/05

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

48-46

H01/06

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

49-47

A14/06

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

39-51

-12

H21/06

NBL1 Central

90.7Avg total

46.2Scored

44.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.4	46.0	92.5	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.5	45.9	93.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.2	46.2	91.4	-1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	44.5	90.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	44.8	92.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	45.1	48.9	94.0	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	48.1	45.3	93.4	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	46.2	44.4	90.6	+1.8	42%	-

This opponent (Norwood Flames) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.0	40.6	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	22.6	42.5	-2.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.9	21.2	40.2	-2.3	41%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.0	27.3	51.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	22.5	46.2	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	23.9	47.4	-0.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.0	20.9	44.9	+3.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	24.0	45.9	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	24.0	47.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	25.1	21.7	46.8	+3.4	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	25.1	24.1	49.2	+1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.5	41.9	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	22.0	44.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.1	42.6	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.2	44.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.3	23.3	43.6	-3.0	41%	-
vs Similar (3)	25.3	22.0	47.3	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.1	17.5	41.6	+6.6	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	22.4	45.3	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	20.8	42.2	+0.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.6	24.2	48.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	23.7	45.9	-1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	22.8	45.6	+0.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.2	27.7	49.9	-5.4	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.1	22.1	42.2	-2.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	25.6	18.6	44.2	+7.0	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	42.2	83.9	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	43.1	84.4	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.1	41.3	83.5	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	40.5	82.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	40.2	81.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	39.2	44.5	83.8	-5.3	29%	-
vs Similar (3)	49.3	49.3	98.7	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.7	36.1	79.8	+7.6	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.7	44.8	91.5	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.1	44.6	89.7	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	48.6	45.1	93.6	+3.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	47.7	91.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	46.8	92.6	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	42.9	48.8	91.7	-5.9	22%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.2	43.8	89.0	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	50.7	42.7	93.3	+8.0	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Norwood Flames wins

Sturt Sabres wins

Date	Game	Score
17/04/25	Sturt Sabres v Norwood Flames	76-99
15/06/24	Sturt Sabres v Norwood Flames	94-92
06/04/24	Norwood Flames v Sturt Sabres	77-92
27/05/23	Sturt Sabres v Norwood Flames	89-78
26/03/23	Norwood Flames v Sturt Sabres	66-102
06/08/22	Norwood Flames v Sturt Sabres	84-88
07/05/22	Sturt Sabres v Norwood Flames	86-77
28/08/21	Sturt Sabres v Norwood Flames	69-83
08/08/21	Sturt Sabres v Norwood Flames	74-80
22/05/21	Norwood Flames v Sturt Sabres	77-97

Norwood Flameslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/06/25	A	West Adelaide Bearcats	86-106
14/06/25	A	Southern Tigers	67-82
31/05/25	H	North Adelaide Rockets	104-75
24/05/25	A	Forestville Eagles	75-92
11/05/25	H	Central Districts Lions	77-87
04/05/25	H	South Adelaide Panthers	76-85
27/04/25	A	Eastern Mavericks	83-80
25/04/25	H	Woodville Warriors	87-93
17/04/25	A	Sturt Sabres	99-76
11/04/25	H	West Adelaide Bearcats	66-83

Sturt Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/06/25	H	South Adelaide Panthers	85-97
14/06/25	A	Central Districts Lions	86-109
01/06/25	H	Forestville Eagles	89-91
24/05/25	H	Eastern Mavericks	95-73
10/05/25	A	West Adelaide Bearcats	114-88
03/05/25	A	Southern Tigers	99-92
27/04/25	A	Woodville Warriors	87-103
25/04/25	H	North Adelaide Rockets	90-77
17/04/25	H	Norwood Flames	76-99
12/04/25	A	South Adelaide Panthers	82-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norwood Flames

NBL1 Central 2025

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	25%
Home	LLLLW	17%
Away	WWLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	25%	17%	33%
Points / game	80.8	82.3	79.2
Allowed / game	86.0	86.7	85.3
Point differential	-5.2	-4.3	-6.2
Avg total	166.8	169.0	164.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	17%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sturt Sabres

NBL1 Central 2025

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	33%
Home	LWWLL	33%
Away	LLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	33%	33%	33%
Points / game	89.4	87.0	91.8
Allowed / game	93.0	88.3	97.7
Point differential	-3.6	-1.3	-5.8
Avg total	182.4	175.3	189.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	33%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Central Districts Lions	13	12	1	92%	95.8	85.0	+10.8
2	Forestville Eagles	13	11	2	85%	94.3	78.2	+16.1
3	Woodville Warriors	12	8	4	67%	81.5	78.8	+2.8
4	South Adelaide Panthers	13	8	5	62%	86.0	81.9	+4.1
5	West Adelaide Bearcats	13	6	7	46%	84.5	85.3	-0.8
6	Southern Tigers	12	4	8	33%	82.7	85.2	-2.6
7	Sturt Sabres	12	4	8	33%	89.4	93.0	-3.6
8	Eastern Mavericks	12	4	8	33%	82.2	89.4	-7.2
9	Norwood Flames	12	3	9	25%	80.8	86.0	-5.2
10	North Adelaide Rockets	12	2	10	17%	75.2	92.1	-16.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Norwood Flames	20	16	25	18	79
Sturt Sabres	22	26	24	23	95

← all games of the day

Norwood Flames vs Sturt Sabres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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