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North Carolina vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 70-50
35-27 35-23
Position#41
Record8-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#156
Record6-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game60.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#238
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H13/11
NCAA
Charleston
#182
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A17/11
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
84-93
84
93
-9
H20/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H21/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#180
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H24/11
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H02/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A05/12
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H12/12
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H15/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
69-98
69
98
-29
A18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-50
47-37
36-42
58-41
35-41
49-52
32-39
40-50
37-24
35-29
29-27
43-24
31-31
48-31
37-29
43-34
39-39
35-22
29-40
40-58
153.0Avg total
79.0Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.473.4152.7+6.073%
Season at home (8)78.970.5149.4+8.475%
Season away (3)80.781.0161.7-0.367%
Last 10 (10)79.074.0153.0+5.070%
Last 5 (5)74.867.0141.8+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.595.5172.0-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)74.670.2144.8+4.459%
vs Weaker (11)82.369.9152.2+12.491%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William Peace
#560
W
98-49
98
49
+49
H15/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#169
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H18/11
NCAA
Delaware
#96
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A23/11
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H23/11
NCAA
Vermont
#10
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H24/11
NCAA
Hartford
#279
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H29/11
NCAA
Boyce
#583
W
90-29
90
29
+61
H02/12
NCAA
Furman
#105
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A11/12
NCAA
Erskine
#546
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H13/12
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-28
56-21
30-42
36-25
35-35
33-40
22-21
35-24
29-31
34-34
38-23
31-36
46-10
44-19
36-40
29-33
30-17
39-27
37-50
30-42
131.0Avg total
71.2Scored
59.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)69.560.8130.3+8.750%
Season at home (8)72.653.1125.8+19.575%
Season away (4)63.276.2139.5-13.00%
Last 10 (10)71.259.8131.0+11.450%
Last 5 (5)72.059.4131.4+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.872.8137.5-8.025%
vs Similar ◀ (17)68.267.6135.9+0.653%
vs Weaker (9)72.156.8128.9+15.367%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: +6.6+6.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: +6.6+6.6
North CarolinaAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#238
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H13/11
NCAA
Charleston
#182
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A17/11
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H20/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H21/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#180
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A05/12
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H12/12
NCAA
Furman
#105
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H15/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A18/12
NCAA
71.4Avg total
35.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.734.969.6-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.735.272.8+2.550%-
Last 30 away (12)30.234.564.8-4.225%-
Last 10 (10)35.236.271.4-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.266.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.040.572.5-8.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.234.267.4-1.135%-
vs Weaker (11)37.534.972.5+2.655%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William Peace
#560
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#169
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H18/11
NCAA
Delaware
#96
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A23/11
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
22-21
22
21
+1
H23/11
NCAA
Vermont
#10
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H24/11
NCAA
Hartford
#279
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H29/11
NCAA
Boyce
#583
W
46-10
46
10
+36
H02/12
NCAA
Furman
#105
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Erskine
#546
W
30-17
30
17
+13
H13/12
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A17/12
NCAA
64.2Avg total
34.5Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.332.063.3-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.129.262.3+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)29.534.864.3-5.320%-
Last 10 (10)34.529.764.2+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.428.065.4+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.537.568.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)30.232.963.1-2.741%-
vs Weaker (9)33.827.961.7+5.956%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Carolina wins
0
Appalachian State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/21AKentucky69-98
15/12/21HFurman74-61
12/12/21HElon80-63
05/12/21AGeorgia Tech79-62
02/12/21HMichigan72-51
24/11/21HUNC Asheville72-53
21/11/21HTennessee72-89
20/11/21HPurdue84-93
17/11/21ACharleston94-83
13/11/21HBrown94-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/21ADuke67-92
13/12/21HErskine69-44
11/12/21AFurman65-73
02/12/21HBoyce90-29
29/11/21HHartford69-59
24/11/21HVermont63-65
23/11/21HAkron57-45
23/11/21ADelaware68-75
18/11/21HCharlotte66-67
15/11/21HWilliam Peace98-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %73%75%67%
Points / game79.478.980.7
Allowed / game73.470.581.0
Point differential+6.0+8.4-0.3
Avg total152.7149.4161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%62%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game69.572.663.2
Allowed / game60.853.176.2
Point differential+8.7+19.5-13.0
Avg total130.3125.8139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wake Forest1211192%81.267.1+14.1
2 Duke1110191%86.164.4+21.7
3 SMU Mustangs129375%79.268.6+10.6
4 Miami (FL)129375%73.871.0+2.8
5 North Carolina118373%79.473.4+6.0
6 Virginia Tech128467%71.656.5+15.1
7 Clemson128467%75.966.5+9.4
8 Virginia117464%62.955.2+7.7
9 Louisville117464%70.865.9+4.9
10 NC State117464%77.373.4+3.9
11 Florida State106460%74.166.0+8.1
12 Stanford106460%70.169.8+0.3
13 California127558%65.863.3+2.4
14 Boston College116555%67.361.6+5.6
15 Notre Dame105550%69.064.5+4.5
16 Georgia Tech105550%68.968.2+0.7
17 Syracuse105550%77.577.9-0.4
18 Pittsburgh125742%60.763.7-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State119282%76.960.9+16.0
2 James Madison119282%76.763.4+13.4
3 South Alabama129375%74.260.3+13.9
4 Arkansas State129375%74.368.2+6.1
5 Troy128467%73.866.1+7.8
6 Louisiana Monroe128467%80.775.5+5.2
7 Coastal Carolina117464%78.564.5+13.9
8 Georgia Southern117464%72.159.6+12.5
9 Georgia State106460%76.767.1+9.6
10 Marshall127558%79.773.6+6.1
11 Appalachian State126650%69.560.8+8.7
12 Louisiana Lafayette105550%71.269.2+2.0
13 Old Dominion125742%63.064.3-1.3
14 Southern Miss124833%61.370.1-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina353570
Appalachian State272350
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