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North Carolina vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 84-93
35-41 49-52
Position#41
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Purdue 🏆
USA
Position#23
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game62.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#42
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H27/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A02/03
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H06/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
101-59
101
59
+42
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A12/03
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A13/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
62-85
62
85
-23
H19/03
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#224
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H10/11
NCAA
Brown
#238
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H13/11
NCAA
Charleston
#182
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-41
49-29
28-34
42-38
42-26
49-47
50-36
51-23
32-35
49-38
24-35
42-34
24-40
38-45
45-31
38-36
47-50
47-37
36-42
58-41
155.8Avg total
82.0Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.379.0169.3+11.3100%
Season at home (2)88.577.0165.5+11.5100%
Season away (1)94.083.0177.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.073.8155.8+8.270%
Last 5 (5)79.878.2158.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)80.093.0173.0-13.00%
vs Similar (16)74.272.4146.7+1.844%
vs Weaker (13)79.069.4148.4+9.692%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#159
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A20/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A27/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H03/03
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H06/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
H12/03
NCAA
North Texas
#95
L
69-78 OT
69
78
-9
H19/03
NCAA
Bellarmine
#132
W
96-67
96
67
+29
H10/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H13/11
NCAA
Wright State
#123
W
96-52
96
52
+44
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-27
45-38
40-37
35-21
41-26
32-26
30-28
43-41
29-20
38-38
31-49
41-23
24-32
37-29
50-37
46-30
51-30
41-37
51-17
45-35
144.7Avg total
79.4Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.762.0156.7+32.7100%
Season at home (3)94.762.0156.7+32.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.465.3144.7+14.180%
Last 5 (5)86.270.2156.4+16.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)55.368.7124.0-13.30%
vs Similar (12)71.870.6142.3+1.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)77.962.5140.4+15.587%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +7.4+7.42nd half2nd half: +9.5+9.52nd half: +8.5+8.5
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +7.4+7.42nd half2nd half: +9.5+9.52nd half: +8.5+8.5
North CarolinaPurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#42
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H27/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A02/03
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H06/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A13/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H19/03
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#224
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H10/11
NCAA
Brown
#238
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H13/11
NCAA
Charleston
#182
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A17/11
NCAA
72.7Avg total
35.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.335.669.9-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.135.572.5+1.647%-
Last 30 away (15)31.635.767.3-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.072.7-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.674.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)31.043.074.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (16)33.235.768.9-2.431%-
vs Weaker (13)35.934.870.8+1.146%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#159
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A27/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H03/03
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H06/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H12/03
NCAA
North Texas
#95
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H19/03
NCAA
Bellarmine
#132
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H10/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H13/11
NCAA
Wright State
#123
W
51-17
51
17
+34
H17/11
NCAA
68.0Avg total
37.7Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.131.665.6+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.530.866.4+4.771%-
Last 30 away (13)32.232.564.7-0.454%-
Last 10 (10)37.730.368.0+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.433.074.4+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)23.734.758.3-11.00%-
vs Similar (12)32.632.765.2-0.158%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.330.167.4+7.380%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Carolina wins
0
Purdue wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/21ACharleston94-83
13/11/21HBrown94-87
10/11/21HLoyola Maryland83-67
19/03/21HWisconsin62-85
13/03/21AFlorida State66-69
12/03/21AVirginia Tech81-73
11/03/21HNotre Dame101-59
06/03/21HDuke91-73
02/03/21ASyracuse70-72
27/02/21HFlorida State78-70
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/21HWright State96-52
13/11/21HIndiana State92-67
10/11/21HBellarmine96-67
19/03/21HNorth Texas69-78 OT
12/03/21HOhio State78-87 OT
06/03/21HIndiana67-58
03/03/21HWisconsin73-69
27/02/21APenn State73-52
20/02/21ANebraska75-58
17/02/21HMichigan State75-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.388.594.0
Allowed / game79.077.083.0
Point differential+11.3+11.5+11.0
Avg total169.3165.5177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Purdue
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game94.794.7-
Allowed / game62.062.0-
Point differential+32.7+32.7-
Avg total156.7156.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia Tech440100%77.249.5+27.8
2 Syracuse220100%86.061.5+24.5
3 Duke550100%81.658.0+23.6
4 Wake Forest440100%86.564.0+22.5
5 Notre Dame220100%69.056.5+12.5
6 North Carolina330100%90.379.0+11.3
7 Clemson54180%74.661.4+13.2
8 SMU Mustangs43175%80.564.2+16.2
9 Boston College43175%69.858.2+11.5
10 Georgia Tech43175%77.267.0+10.2
11 NC State43175%78.070.8+7.2
12 Louisville43175%73.566.8+6.8
13 Florida State32167%73.065.0+8.0
14 Miami (FL)32167%78.076.0+2.0
15 Stanford53260%66.469.2-2.8
16 Virginia42250%61.559.2+2.2
17 California42250%67.268.2-1.0
18 Pittsburgh42250%61.065.5-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue330100%94.762.0+32.7
2 Northwestern440100%85.057.2+27.8
3 Iowa440100%97.270.2+27.0
4 UCLA440100%94.869.2+25.5
5 USC330100%81.060.3+20.7
6 Indiana330100%76.361.7+14.7
7 Minnesota440100%77.263.5+13.8
8 Maryland54180%71.465.6+5.8
9 Michigan43175%76.063.2+12.8
10 Ohio State43175%76.267.2+9.0
11 Rutgers43175%66.559.8+6.8
12 Illinois32167%76.355.7+20.7
13 Wisconsin32167%70.351.7+18.7
14 Michigan State32167%79.061.7+17.3
15 Oregon32167%72.770.0+2.7
16 Penn State32167%68.366.3+2.0
17 Nebraska42250%73.869.2+4.5
18 Washington42250%70.268.8+1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina354984
Purdue415293
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