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Kentucky vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 98-69
40-29 58-40
Position#34
Record7-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game61.4
vs
Position#41
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Kentucky v North Carolina
19 Dec 2026
KENT v NORT
upcoming
02 Dec 2025
KENT64
NORT67
16 Dec 2023
KENT87
NORT83
18 Dec 2021
KENT98
NORT69
19 Dec 2020
KENT63
NORT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#179
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H11/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A10/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#336
W
100-60
100
60
+40
H13/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#214
W
80-55
80
55
+25
H17/11
NCAA
Ohio
#47
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H20/11
NCAA
Albany
#260
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H23/11
NCAA
North Florida
#293
W
86-52
86
52
+34
H27/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H30/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#165
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H08/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-44
43-30
35-39
36-40
46-30
54-30
38-27
42-28
40-38
37-21
37-28
49-33
37-23
49-29
51-25
34-32
38-34
38-30
30-28
32-38
142.3Avg total
79.6Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.361.4141.8+18.978%
Season at home (7)84.358.3142.6+26.0100%
Season away (2)66.572.5139.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)79.662.7142.3+16.970%
Last 5 (5)79.060.0139.0+19.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.073.4142.4-4.425%
vs Similar (13)70.770.5141.2+0.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.759.8142.4+22.989%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Maryland
#224
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H10/11
NCAA
Brown
#238
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H13/11
NCAA
Charleston
#182
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A17/11
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
84-93
84
93
-9
H20/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H21/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#180
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H24/11
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H02/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A05/12
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H12/12
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-31
38-36
47-50
47-37
36-42
58-41
35-41
49-52
32-39
40-50
37-24
35-29
29-27
43-24
31-31
48-31
37-29
43-34
39-39
35-22
151.3Avg total
80.4Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.470.9151.3+9.580%
Season at home (8)78.970.5149.4+8.475%
Season away (2)86.572.5159.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.470.9151.3+9.580%
Last 5 (5)75.458.0133.4+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)84.093.0177.0-9.00%
vs Similar (17)74.670.2144.8+4.459%
vs Weaker (12)80.969.5150.4+11.492%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +10.3+10.32nd half: +8.0+8.0
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +10.3+10.32nd half: +8.0+8.0
KentuckyNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#179
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H11/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#336
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H13/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#214
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H17/11
NCAA
Ohio
#47
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H20/11
NCAA
Albany
#260
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H23/11
NCAA
North Florida
#293
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H27/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H30/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#165
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A11/12
NCAA
69.8Avg total
38.2Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.333.368.6+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.534.572.0+3.067%-
Last 30 away (12)32.031.463.4+0.642%-
Last 10 (10)38.231.669.8+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)38.627.666.2+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.534.972.4+2.650%-
vs Similar (13)31.235.266.5-4.031%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.229.068.2+10.2100%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Maryland
#224
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H10/11
NCAA
Brown
#238
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H13/11
NCAA
Charleston
#182
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A17/11
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H20/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H21/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#180
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A05/12
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H12/12
NCAA
Furman
#105
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H15/12
NCAA
72.1Avg total
36.8Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.734.669.3+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.234.972.1+2.347%-
Last 30 away (11)30.434.064.4-3.627%-
Last 10 (10)36.835.372.1+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.630.064.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)35.041.076.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (17)33.234.267.4-1.135%-
vs Weaker (12)36.834.571.3+2.350%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kentucky wins
1
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
19/12/20Kentucky v North Carolina63-75
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/21ANotre Dame62-66
08/12/21HSouthern Univ.76-64
30/11/21HCentral Michigan85-57
27/11/21HNorth Florida86-52
23/11/21HAlbany86-61
20/11/21HOhio77-59
17/11/21HMount St. Mary's80-55
13/11/21HRobert Morris100-60
10/11/21ADuke71-79
11/03/21HMississippi St.73-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/21HFurman74-61
12/12/21HElon80-63
05/12/21AGeorgia Tech79-62
02/12/21HMichigan72-51
24/11/21HUNC Asheville72-53
21/11/21HTennessee72-89
20/11/21HPurdue84-93
17/11/21ACharleston94-83
13/11/21HBrown94-87
10/11/21HLoyola Maryland83-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %78%100%0%
Points / game80.384.366.5
Allowed / game61.458.372.5
Point differential+18.9+26.0-6.0
Avg total141.8142.6139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %80%75%100%
Points / game80.478.986.5
Allowed / game70.970.572.5
Point differential+9.5+8.4+14.0
Avg total151.3149.4159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%62%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LSU10100100%79.453.2+26.2
2 Auburn109190%82.865.1+17.7
3 Arkansas109190%81.669.3+12.3
4 Tennessee108280%78.557.9+20.6
5 Oklahoma108280%75.561.4+14.1
6 Alabama108280%85.274.2+11.0
7 South Carolina108280%74.364.8+9.5
8 Texas97278%73.253.6+19.7
9 Kentucky97278%80.361.4+18.9
10 Texas A&M97278%71.261.0+10.2
11 Florida118373%72.859.7+13.1
12 Mississippi St.118373%73.361.3+12.0
13 Ole Miss107370%69.661.8+7.8
14 Vanderbilt106460%70.260.7+9.5
15 Missouri116555%67.968.0-0.1
16 Georgia94544%68.168.9-0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wake Forest1211192%81.267.1+14.1
2 Duke1110191%86.164.4+21.7
3 North Carolina108280%80.470.9+9.5
4 SMU Mustangs118373%78.268.3+9.9
5 Miami (FL)118373%73.170.9+2.2
6 Virginia Tech128467%71.656.5+15.1
7 Stanford96367%72.070.9+1.1
8 Clemson117464%76.567.5+9.0
9 Virginia117464%62.955.2+7.7
10 Louisville117464%70.865.9+4.9
11 NC State117464%77.373.4+3.9
12 Florida State106460%74.166.0+8.1
13 Boston College116555%67.361.6+5.6
14 California116555%66.264.1+2.1
15 Georgia Tech105550%68.968.2+0.7
16 Syracuse105550%77.577.9-0.4
17 Notre Dame94544%67.265.9+1.3
18 Pittsburgh114736%60.464.5-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky405898
North Carolina294069
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