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North Carolina vs St. Bonaventure Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 85-70
35-33 50-37
Position#45
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game63.2
vs
Position#207
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Bonaventure winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#241
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H12/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A13/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A14/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
95-68
95
68
+27
A19/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A21/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
94-54
94
54
+40
H04/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H12/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
97-53
97
53
+44
H15/11
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-29
33-27
33-31
35-28
24-45
47-29
47-23
48-45
26-44
38-27
51-23
43-31
29-37
58-37
44-31
45-43
39-24
58-29
38-31
35-30
145.8Avg total
81.4Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.063.2151.2+24.8100%
Season at home (5)88.063.2151.2+24.8100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.464.4145.8+17.080%
Last 5 (5)88.063.2151.2+24.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.882.0150.8-13.20%
vs Similar (14)77.769.3147.0+8.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.369.2155.5+17.2100%
This opponent (St. Bonaventure) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. BonaventureUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass
#303
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Davidson
#195
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H13/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A14/03
NCAA
Kent State
#6
L
56-75
56
75
-19
H18/03
NIT
Bradley
#91
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H13/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H20/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-39
0-0
35-33
0-0
34-34
0-0
30-27
0-0
25-34
0-0
39-25
0-0
26-36
0-0
33-40
0-0
28-29
0-0
28-46
0-0
34-26
0-0
35-37
0-0
50-35
0-0
39-35
0-0
36-33
0-0
39-33
0-0
36-33
0-0
48-47
0-0
37-33
0-0
38-28
139.1Avg total
70.8Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.468.0146.4+10.4100%
Season at home (5)78.468.0146.4+10.4100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.868.3139.1+2.580%
Last 5 (5)78.468.0146.4+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)65.775.3141.0-9.733%
vs Similar (16)66.366.2132.5+0.156%
vs Weaker (10)75.064.8139.8+10.290%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +11.4+11.42nd half: +1.3+1.3
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +11.4+11.42nd half: +1.3+1.3
North CarolinaSt. Bonaventure
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#241
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H12/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A13/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A14/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
47-23
47
23
+24
A19/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
51-23
51
23
+28
H04/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H08/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H12/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H15/11
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H19/11
NCAA
69.2Avg total
37.4Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.833.672.4+5.277%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.731.473.1+10.288%-
Last 30 away (14)35.436.171.5-0.664%-
Last 10 (10)37.431.869.2+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.229.269.4+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.046.077.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (14)37.432.069.4+5.479%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.931.374.2+11.6100%-
This opponent (St. Bonaventure) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. BonaventureLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass
#303
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H06/03
NCAA
Davidson
#195
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A08/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H13/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A14/03
NCAA
Kent State
#6
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H18/03
NIT
Bradley
#91
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H08/11
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H15/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
34.4Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.330.564.8+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.130.966.0+4.172%-
Last 30 away (12)33.129.963.0+3.250%-
Last 10 (10)34.433.267.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.632.070.6+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)32.331.764.0+0.767%-
vs Similar (16)32.631.964.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker (10)38.128.266.3+9.990%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Carolina wins
0
St. Bonaventure wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HNavy73-61
15/11/25HN. Carolina Central97-53
12/11/25HRadford89-74
08/11/25HKansas87-74
04/11/25HCentral Arkansas94-54
21/03/25AOle Miss64-71
19/03/25ASan Diego State95-68
14/03/25ADuke71-74
13/03/25AWake Forest68-59
12/03/25HNotre Dame76-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25HRobert Morris75-61
15/11/25HYoungstown State84-80
13/11/25HSiena75-66
08/11/25HCanisius89-70
03/11/25HBradley69-63
18/03/25HKent State56-75
14/03/25AVCU Rams59-76
13/03/25HDuquesne64-59
08/03/25ADavidson64-61
06/03/25HUMass73-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games55-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game63.263.2-
Point differential+24.8+24.8-
Avg total151.2151.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
St. Bonaventure
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games55-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game78.478.4-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+10.4+10.4-
Avg total146.4146.4-
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke770100%93.657.0+36.6
2 Louisville660100%95.565.7+29.8
3 North Carolina550100%88.063.2+24.8
4 SMU Mustangs770100%92.773.0+19.7
5 Virginia Tech550100%92.272.8+19.4
6 Clemson76186%84.364.9+19.4
7 Miami (FL)65183%92.264.3+27.8
8 NC State65183%93.072.3+20.7
9 California65183%85.269.2+16.0
10 Georgia Tech65183%72.863.5+9.3
11 Florida State54180%94.072.6+21.4
12 Stanford54180%83.871.6+12.2
13 Notre Dame75271%78.167.4+10.7
14 Virginia75271%81.972.9+9.0
15 Syracuse64267%76.760.3+16.3
16 Wake Forest64267%85.775.2+10.5
17 Pittsburgh74357%72.166.6+5.6
18 Boston College73443%70.166.4+3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens550100%95.668.6+27.0
2 Richmond Spiders550100%90.067.0+23.0
3 George Mason660100%80.761.3+19.3
4 St. Bonaventure550100%78.468.0+10.4
5 George Washington76186%90.972.1+18.7
6 Dayton65183%78.266.8+11.3
7 Davidson65183%75.769.5+6.2
8 Rhode Island75271%77.066.6+10.4
9 Fordham64267%77.760.2+17.5
10 Duquesne64267%86.280.3+5.8
11 VCU Rams53260%87.671.6+16.0
12 La Salle63350%70.368.0+2.3
13 Saint Josephs Hawks52340%75.883.4-7.6
14 Loyola Chicago71614%67.078.3-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina355085
St. Bonaventure333770
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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