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North Carolina vs UCLA Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 18 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Postponed
Position#41
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game70.9
North Carolina
USA
vs
UCLA
USA
Position#28
Record8-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game65.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · North Carolina v UCLA
18 Dec 2021
NORT v UCLA
upcoming
21 Dec 2019
NORT74
UCLA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UCLA win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Maryland
#224
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H10/11
NCAA
Brown
#238
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H13/11
NCAA
Charleston
#182
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A17/11
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
84-93
84
93
-9
H20/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H21/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#180
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H24/11
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H02/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A05/12
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H12/12
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-31
38-36
47-50
47-37
36-42
58-41
35-41
49-52
32-39
40-50
37-24
35-29
29-27
43-24
31-31
48-31
37-29
43-34
39-39
35-22
151.3Avg total
80.4Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.470.9151.3+9.580%
Season at home (8)78.970.5149.4+8.475%
Season away (2)86.572.5159.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.470.9151.3+9.580%
Last 5 (5)75.458.0133.4+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)84.093.0177.0-9.00%
vs Similar (17)74.670.2144.8+4.459%
vs Weaker (12)80.969.5150.4+11.492%
This opponent (UCLA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCLAUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#4
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
A04/04
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#321
W
95-58
95
58
+37
H10/11
NCAA
Villanova
#20
W
86-77 OT
86
77
+9
H13/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
100-79
100
79
+21
H16/11
NCAA
North Florida
#293
W
98-63
98
63
+35
H18/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#132
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A23/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
63-83
63
83
-20
H24/11
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
73-51
73
51
+22
A27/11
NCAA
Colorado
#89
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H02/12
NCAA
Marquette
#134
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-45
37-36
47-19
48-39
32-30
35-37
48-45
52-34
55-33
43-30
36-25
39-37
25-45
38-38
37-22
36-29
39-23
34-38
35-21
32-35
150.3Avg total
82.0Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.165.6146.7+15.689%
Season at home (6)85.870.2156.0+15.783%
Season away (3)71.756.3128.0+15.3100%
Last 10 (10)82.068.3150.3+13.780%
Last 5 (5)70.262.6132.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.168.0135.1-0.944%
vs Similar (8)76.269.6145.9+6.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.865.8144.7+13.092%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +9.0+9.02nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: +4.1+4.1
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +9.0+9.02nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: +4.1+4.1
North CarolinaUCLA
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Maryland
#224
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H10/11
NCAA
Brown
#238
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H13/11
NCAA
Charleston
#182
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A17/11
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H20/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H21/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#180
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A05/12
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H12/12
NCAA
Furman
#105
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H15/12
NCAA
72.1Avg total
36.8Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.734.669.3+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.234.972.1+2.347%-
Last 30 away (11)30.434.064.4-3.627%-
Last 10 (10)36.835.372.1+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.630.064.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)35.041.076.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (17)33.234.267.4-1.135%-
vs Weaker (12)36.834.571.3+2.350%-
This opponent (UCLA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCLALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A04/04
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#321
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H10/11
NCAA
Villanova
#20
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H13/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H16/11
NCAA
North Florida
#293
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H18/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#132
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A23/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H24/11
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
37-22
37
22
+15
A27/11
NCAA
Colorado
#89
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H02/12
NCAA
Marquette
#134
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A12/12
NCAA
70.6Avg total
39.8Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.230.966.2+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.231.468.6+5.971%-
Last 30 away (16)33.530.664.1+2.962%-
Last 10 (10)39.830.870.6+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)34.427.261.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.931.063.9+1.967%-
vs Similar (8)35.431.867.1+3.675%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)36.830.467.2+6.462%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
North Carolina wins
0
UCLA wins
DateGameScore
21/12/19North Carolina v UCLA74-64
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/21HFurman74-61
12/12/21HElon80-63
05/12/21AGeorgia Tech79-62
02/12/21HMichigan72-51
24/11/21HUNC Asheville72-53
21/11/21HTennessee72-89
20/11/21HPurdue84-93
17/11/21ACharleston94-83
13/11/21HBrown94-87
10/11/21HLoyola Maryland83-67
UCLAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/21AMarquette67-56
02/12/21HColorado73-61
27/11/21AUNLV73-51
24/11/21HGonzaga63-83
23/11/21ABellarmine75-62
18/11/21HNorth Florida98-63
16/11/21HLong Beach State100-79
13/11/21HVillanova86-77 OT
10/11/21HCSU Bakersfield95-58
04/04/21AGonzaga90-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %80%75%100%
Points / game80.478.986.5
Allowed / game70.970.572.5
Point differential+9.5+8.4+14.0
Avg total151.3149.4159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%62%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UCLA
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW89%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%83%100%
Points / game81.185.871.7
Allowed / game65.670.256.3
Point differential+15.6+15.7+15.3
Avg total146.7156.0128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wake Forest1211192%81.267.1+14.1
2 Duke109190%86.065.2+20.8
3 North Carolina108280%80.470.9+9.5
4 SMU Mustangs118373%78.268.3+9.9
5 Miami (FL)118373%73.170.9+2.2
6 Louisville107370%70.764.3+6.4
7 Virginia Tech128467%71.656.5+15.1
8 Stanford96367%72.070.9+1.1
9 Clemson117464%76.567.5+9.0
10 Virginia117464%62.955.2+7.7
11 NC State117464%77.373.4+3.9
12 Florida State106460%74.166.0+8.1
13 Georgia Tech95456%70.768.3+2.3
14 Boston College116555%67.361.6+5.6
15 California116555%66.264.1+2.1
16 Syracuse105550%77.577.9-0.4
17 Notre Dame94544%67.265.9+1.3
18 Pittsburgh114736%60.464.5-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USC11110100%76.761.4+15.4
2 Purdue1110191%86.564.5+22.0
3 Minnesota109190%72.063.8+8.2
4 UCLA98189%81.165.6+15.6
5 Indiana119282%77.061.7+15.3
6 Michigan State119282%74.063.9+10.1
7 Wisconsin119282%68.661.2+7.5
8 Ohio State108280%75.767.5+8.2
9 Northwestern97278%77.862.0+15.8
10 Illinois118373%80.565.8+14.7
11 Iowa107370%86.470.4+16.0
12 Michigan106460%72.165.9+6.2
13 Maryland106460%68.766.8+1.9
14 Oregon116555%70.965.7+5.2
15 Penn State105550%67.365.9+1.4
16 Washington84450%72.673.5-0.9
17 Rutgers105550%65.867.2-1.4
18 Nebraska115645%75.477.5-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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