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North Carolina vs USC Upstate Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-62
37-28 43-34
Position#45
Record8-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game65.0
vs
Position#274
Record6-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC Upstate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#73
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A21/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
94-54
94
54
+40
H04/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H12/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
97-53
97
53
+44
H15/11
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H19/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H25/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A27/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A03/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-44
38-27
51-23
43-31
29-37
58-37
44-31
45-43
39-24
58-29
38-31
35-30
35-33
50-37
28-33
30-41
31-31
36-33
44-39
37-22
145.1Avg total
79.5Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.265.0146.2+16.289%
Season at home (7)86.663.9150.4+22.7100%
Season away (2)62.569.0131.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)79.565.6145.1+13.980%
Last 5 (5)72.866.0138.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.882.0150.8-13.20%
vs Similar (13)74.267.5141.6+6.762%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.868.3155.1+18.5100%
This opponent (USC Upstate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USC UpstateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A06/11
NCAA
Southern Virginia
#577
W
105-46
105
46
+59
H08/11
NCAA
Bob Jones
#640
W
114-53
114
53
+61
H13/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A16/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H20/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A22/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A29/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
85-78 OT
85
78
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-36
42-30
56-25
49-21
48-28
66-25
26-39
34-34
41-41
43-47
28-32
36-40
39-24
43-43
30-32
33-40
25-31
40-34
40-38
38-29
148.4Avg total
80.2Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.769.9149.6+9.855%
Season at home (6)91.366.5157.8+24.883%
Season away (5)65.874.0139.8-8.220%
Last 10 (10)80.268.2148.4+12.060%
Last 5 (5)74.471.2145.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)71.984.4156.3-12.55%
vs Similar (7)76.074.6150.6+1.457%
vs Weaker (3)100.355.3155.7+45.0100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +10.0+10.02nd half: +8.1+8.1
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +10.0+10.02nd half: +8.1+8.1
North CarolinaUSC Upstate
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#73
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
51-23
51
23
+28
H04/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H08/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H12/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H15/11
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H19/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H25/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A03/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H07/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
36.5Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.434.172.5+4.373%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.732.674.3+9.188%-
Last 30 away (14)34.635.770.4-1.157%-
Last 10 (10)36.532.669.1+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.468.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.046.077.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (13)36.432.568.8+3.969%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.732.074.7+10.7100%-
This opponent (USC Upstate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USC UpstateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A06/11
NCAA
Southern Virginia
#577
W
56-25
56
25
+31
H08/11
NCAA
Bob Jones
#640
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H13/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A16/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H20/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A22/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A29/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H04/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H06/12
NCAA
68.4Avg total
35.8Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.637.973.5-2.327%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.637.576.1+1.131%-
Last 30 away (14)32.338.470.6-6.121%-
Last 10 (10)35.832.668.4+3.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.431.463.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)34.540.875.3-6.215%-
vs Similar (7)33.634.968.4-1.329%-
vs Weaker (3)47.725.773.3+22.0100%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Carolina wins
0
USC Upstate wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HGeorgetown81-61
03/12/25AKentucky67-64
27/11/25AMichigan State58-74
25/11/25HSt. Bonaventure85-70
19/11/25HNavy73-61
15/11/25HN. Carolina Central97-53
12/11/25HRadford89-74
08/11/25HKansas87-74
04/11/25HCentral Arkansas94-54
21/03/25AOle Miss64-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HWestern Carolina78-67
04/12/25HCoastal Carolina85-78 OT
29/11/25ANebraska63-72
26/11/25HN. Carolina Central82-67
22/11/25AWest Georgia64-72
20/11/25HTennessee Tech84-88
16/11/25ANC Wilmington60-73
13/11/25HBob Jones114-53
08/11/25HSouthern Virginia105-46
06/11/25AFresno State67-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %89%100%50%
Points / game81.286.662.5
Allowed / game65.063.969.0
Point differential+16.2+22.7-6.5
Avg total146.2150.4131.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
USC Upstate
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%83%20%
Points / game79.791.365.8
Allowed / game69.966.574.0
Point differential+9.8+24.8-8.2
Avg total149.6157.8139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke10100100%86.859.6+27.2
2 California109190%83.069.1+13.9
3 SMU Mustangs109190%89.876.0+13.8
4 Louisville98189%93.867.6+26.2
5 North Carolina98189%81.265.0+16.2
6 Miami (FL)119282%87.366.5+20.7
7 Virginia119282%84.171.0+13.1
8 Virginia Tech119282%83.373.6+9.6
9 Stanford97278%81.972.2+9.7
10 Notre Dame118373%76.969.0+7.9
11 Clemson107370%83.066.7+16.3
12 NC State107370%88.872.7+16.1
13 Wake Forest107370%84.272.7+11.5
14 Syracuse96367%73.064.4+8.6
15 Georgia Tech106460%72.469.2+3.2
16 Florida State105550%85.380.9+4.4
17 Pittsburgh105550%71.869.3+2.5
18 Boston College115645%70.467.5+2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point108280%92.371.9+20.4
2 Charleston Southern127558%84.174.8+9.3
3 Winthrop116555%88.078.0+10.0
4 USC Upstate116555%79.769.9+9.8
5 Longwood116555%77.774.8+2.9
6 Radford115645%81.576.5+5.0
7 Presbyterian125742%65.669.1-3.5
8 UNC Asheville104640%75.473.8+1.6
9 Gardner Webb121118%69.189.3-20.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina374380
USC Upstate283462
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