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North Dakota vs St. Thomas (Minn.) Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 80-91
36-37 44-54
Position#196
Record9-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game76.0
North Dakota
USA
vs
St. Thomas (Minn.) 🏆
USA
Position#42
Record14-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · North Dakota v St. Thomas (Minn.)
15 Jan 2026
NORT80
ST. 91
04 Jan 2025
NORT80
ST. 88
29 Dec 2023
NORT45
ST. 70
25 Feb 2023
NORT82
ST. 74
22 Feb 2022
NORT74
ST. 84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Dakota winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North DakotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#186
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Crown College
#598
W
89-43
89
43
+46
H11/12
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
L
66-69 OT
66
69
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
W
90-88
90
88
+2
H19/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
55-78
55
78
-23
A22/12
NCAA
Dakota St.
#406
W
88-56
88
56
+32
H28/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H01/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A09/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-33
36-46
44-21
45-22
28-32
32-28
38-47
52-41
26-24
29-54
49-33
39-23
37-20
35-41
50-45
29-34
38-47
41-43
37-44
44-35
151.5Avg total
78.5Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.876.0151.8-0.345%
Season at home (11)82.871.2154.0+11.655%
Season away (9)67.182.0149.1-14.933%
Last 10 (10)78.573.0151.5+5.560%
Last 5 (5)82.074.6156.6+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.882.6153.4-11.833%
vs Similar (10)75.079.7154.7-4.730%
vs Weaker (6)76.570.2146.7+6.367%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lawrence University Vikings
#510
W
87-52
87
52
+35
H30/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A04/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H07/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H12/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
80-59
80
59
+21
A13/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H21/12
NCAA
North Central Rams
#600
W
105-59
105
59
+46
H28/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
92-88
92
88
+4
H04/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
99-86
99
86
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-20
46-32
37-40
37-42
47-23
41-42
35-31
45-25
46-25
34-34
41-38
51-40
55-36
50-23
43-37
49-51
53-31
46-55
43-40
39-31
157.5Avg total
87.9Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.472.0154.4+10.478%
Season at home (10)87.969.3157.2+18.6100%
Season away (8)75.675.4151.0+0.250%
Last 10 (10)87.969.6157.5+18.390%
Last 5 (5)94.076.4170.4+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)73.672.6146.2+1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)82.074.7156.7+7.374%
This opponent (North Dakota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +12.0+12.02nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +6.3+6.3
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +12.0+12.02nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +6.3+6.3
North DakotaSt. Thomas (Minn.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North DakotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#186
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H07/12
NCAA
Crown College
#598
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H11/12
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H13/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H19/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A22/12
NCAA
Dakota St.
#406
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H28/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
37-20
37
20
+17
H01/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H03/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A11/01
NCAA
73.2Avg total
38.6Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.037.473.4-1.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.635.074.6+4.653%-
Last 30 away (15)32.439.972.3-7.513%-
Last 10 (10)38.634.673.2+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.880.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.039.672.6-6.617%-
vs Similar (10)36.438.675.0-2.240%-
vs Weaker (6)36.335.571.8+0.833%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lawrence University Vikings
#510
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H30/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H07/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A13/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/12
NCAA
North Central Rams
#600
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H28/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H04/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H08/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A11/01
NCAA
76.2Avg total
44.1Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.233.373.4+6.980%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.131.474.5+11.688%-
Last 30 away (13)36.435.772.1+0.769%-
Last 10 (10)44.132.176.2+12.090%-
Last 5 (5)47.036.483.4+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)35.632.267.8+3.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)40.534.074.4+6.578%-
This opponent (North Dakota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
North Dakota wins
6
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
DateGameScore
09/03/25St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota85-69
28/02/25St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota86-71
04/01/25North Dakota v St. Thomas (Minn.)80-88
28/01/24St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota64-74
30/12/23North Dakota v St. Thomas (Minn.)45-70
25/02/23North Dakota v St. Thomas (Minn.)82-74
20/12/22St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota75-62
22/02/22North Dakota v St. Thomas (Minn.)74-84
11/02/22St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota70-78
North Dakotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AUMKC81-79
09/01/26ANebraska O.79-90
03/01/26HSouth Dakota St.90-87 OT
01/01/26HOral Roberts72-61
28/12/25HDakota St.88-56
22/12/25ANebraska55-78
19/12/25HWinthrop90-88
13/12/25HWestern Illinois66-69 OT
11/12/25HCrown College89-43
07/12/25HMontana75-79
St. Thomas (Minn.)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AOral Roberts82-71
08/01/26HSouth Dakota Coyotes99-86
04/01/26HDenver92-88
28/12/25HNorth Central Rams105-59
21/12/25HUC Riverside92-78
13/12/25AUNC Asheville80-59
12/12/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)80-56
07/12/25HWeber State88-65
04/12/25AMontana State74-82
30/11/25HLawrence University Vikings87-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Dakota
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW45%
HomeLWWWW55%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %45%55%33%
Points / game75.882.867.1
Allowed / game76.071.282.0
Point differential-0.3+11.6-14.9
Avg total151.8154.0149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)40% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %10%18%0%
St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game82.487.975.6
Allowed / game72.069.375.4
Point differential+10.4+18.6+0.2
Avg total154.4157.2151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%70%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)1814478%82.472.0+10.4
2 North Dakota St2015575%81.370.2+11.1
3 South Dakota Coyotes189950%82.382.6-0.2
4 South Dakota St.1991047%76.072.6+3.4
5 North Dakota2091145%75.876.0-0.3
6 Denver2091145%84.385.0-0.8
7 Nebraska O.1981142%76.877.7-0.9
8 Oral Roberts1951426%73.777.8-4.1
9 UMKC1841422%72.282.2-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Dakota364480
St. Thomas (Minn.)375491
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