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UMKC vs North Dakota Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 79-81
44-37 35-44
Position#368
Record4-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#196
Record8-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game75.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UMKC v North Dakota
10 Jan 2026
UMKC79
NORT81
08 Feb 2025
UMKC80
NORT69
13 Jan 2024
UMKC69
NORT82
18 Feb 2023
UMKC73
NORT81
22 Jan 2022
UMKC79
NORT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Dakota winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#284
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H04/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A06/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H11/12
NCAA
Spurgeon College
#451
W
102-75
102
75
+27
H14/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A17/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A19/12
NCAA
McPherson
#398
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H28/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A31/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A04/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
73-97
73
97
-24
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-25
30-43
28-47
38-43
31-32
29-32
48-32
54-43
27-54
40-35
44-48
35-43
49-50
42-28
28-41
46-46
32-28
41-38
34-54
39-43
154.9Avg total
74.4Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.882.3154.1-10.524%
Season at home (7)79.480.1159.6-0.743%
Season away (10)66.583.8150.3-17.310%
Last 10 (10)74.480.5154.9-6.130%
Last 5 (5)78.083.8161.8-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)67.783.7151.4-16.07%
vs Similar (8)65.571.6137.1-6.10%
vs Weaker (5)70.464.6135.0+5.860%
This opponent (North Dakota) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North DakotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#136
L
58-90
58
90
-32
A04/12
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Crown College
#598
W
89-43
89
43
+46
H11/12
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
L
66-69 OT
66
69
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
W
90-88
90
88
+2
H19/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
55-78
55
78
-23
A22/12
NCAA
Dakota St.
#406
W
88-56
88
56
+32
H28/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H01/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-41
31-49
39-33
36-46
44-21
45-22
28-32
32-28
38-47
52-41
26-24
29-54
49-33
39-23
37-20
35-41
50-45
29-34
38-47
41-43
150.3Avg total
76.2Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.575.9151.4-0.442%
Season at home (11)82.871.2154.0+11.655%
Season away (8)65.482.4147.8-17.025%
Last 10 (10)76.274.1150.3+2.150%
Last 5 (5)76.874.4151.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.782.9154.6-11.231%
vs Similar (10)75.079.7154.7-4.730%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)75.668.4144.0+7.260%
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -1.2-1.2
UMKCNorth Dakota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#284
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H04/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A06/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H11/12
NCAA
Spurgeon College
#451
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H14/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A17/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A19/12
NCAA
McPherson
#398
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H28/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A31/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A04/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H09/01
NCAA
76.1Avg total
35.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.538.270.7-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.135.270.4-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)30.240.871.0-10.66%-
Last 10 (10)35.041.176.1-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.444.281.6-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.942.574.4-10.614%-
vs Similar (8)30.135.865.9-5.612%-
vs Weaker (5)31.228.860.0+2.460%-
This opponent (North Dakota) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North DakotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#136
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A04/12
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H07/12
NCAA
Crown College
#598
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H11/12
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H13/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H19/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A22/12
NCAA
Dakota St.
#406
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H28/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
37-20
37
20
+17
H01/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H03/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/01
NCAA
71.9Avg total
37.6Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.037.373.3-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.635.074.6+4.653%-
Last 30 away (15)32.439.772.1-7.313%-
Last 10 (10)37.634.371.9+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.873.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.339.773.0-6.415%-
vs Similar (10)36.438.675.0-2.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)36.233.870.0+2.440%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
UMKC wins
5
North Dakota wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25UMKC v North Dakota80-69
18/01/25North Dakota v UMKC76-72
10/02/24North Dakota v UMKC47-65
13/01/24UMKC v North Dakota69-82
19/02/23UMKC v North Dakota73-81
20/01/23North Dakota v UMKC77-60
18/02/22North Dakota v UMKC65-80
23/01/22UMKC v North Dakota79-74
03/01/21North Dakota v UMKC53-77
02/01/21North Dakota v UMKC52-45
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HNorth Dakota St73-97
04/01/26ANebraska O.73-66
31/12/25ADenver74-87
28/12/25HMcPherson91-78
19/12/25AOklahoma State79-91
17/12/25AOklahoma67-89
14/12/25HSpurgeon College102-75
11/12/25HWeber State60-64
06/12/25AEast. Washington66-90
04/12/25HIdaho State59-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26ANebraska O.79-90
03/01/26HSouth Dakota St.90-87 OT
01/01/26HOral Roberts72-61
28/12/25HDakota St.88-56
22/12/25ANebraska55-78
19/12/25HWinthrop90-88
13/12/25HWestern Illinois66-69 OT
11/12/25HCrown College89-43
07/12/25HMontana75-79
04/12/25AIdaho58-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMKC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL24%
HomeLLWWL43%
AwayLLLLW10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %24%43%10%
Points / game71.879.466.5
Allowed / game82.380.183.8
Point differential-10.5-0.7-17.3
Avg total154.1159.6150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Dakota
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL42%
HomeLWWWW55%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %42%55%25%
Points / game75.582.865.4
Allowed / game75.971.282.4
Point differential-0.4+11.6-17.0
Avg total151.4154.0147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %11%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)1713476%82.572.1+10.4
2 North Dakota St1914574%81.670.5+11.1
3 South Dakota St.189950%76.672.4+4.2
4 South Dakota Coyotes189950%82.382.6-0.2
5 North Dakota1981142%75.575.9-0.4
6 Nebraska O.1981142%76.877.7-0.9
7 Denver1981142%83.684.9-1.4
8 Oral Roberts1751229%73.176.4-3.3
9 UMKC1741324%71.882.3-10.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMKC443579
North Dakota374481
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