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North Florida vs Austin Peay Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-77
43-29 33-48
Position#361
Record6-21
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Position#49
Record19-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · North Florida v Austin Peay
19 Feb 2026
NORT76
AUST77
02 Jan 2025
NORT89
AUST97
31 Dec 2022
NORT90
AUST85
11 Dec 2021
NORT91
AUST84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Austin Peay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Alabama
#341
W
105-91
105
91
+14
A16/01
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
69-98
69
98
-29
A17/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H23/01
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
117-114 OT
117
114
+3
H24/01
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H30/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
94-100
94
100
-6
H31/01
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A06/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A07/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A12/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
48-36
57-55
23-50
46-48
41-44
46-41
50-47
52-55
36-39
41-45
45-36
49-64
34-37
47-36
50-51
22-40
33-42
48-48
26-32
30-31
172.8Avg total
83.9Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.789.6170.3-9.022%
Season at home (11)90.085.3175.3+4.736%
Season away (16)74.292.6166.9-18.412%
Last 10 (10)83.988.9172.8-5.040%
Last 5 (5)76.883.4160.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)77.091.3168.4-14.312%
vs Similar (3)83.788.3172.0-4.733%
vs Weaker (2)116.567.0183.5+49.5100%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H16/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H22/01
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A29/01
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A31/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H05/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H07/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A12/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-38
37-34
42-40
36-42
41-29
42-33
31-32
42-33
42-36
48-46
44-35
37-43
35-38
52-38
47-26
44-36
52-50
43-37
53-33
37-37
157.8Avg total
84.2Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.071.1153.2+10.976%
Season at home (12)88.566.5155.0+22.0100%
Season away (13)76.175.4151.5+0.754%
Last 10 (10)84.273.6157.8+10.690%
Last 5 (5)88.874.6163.4+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.286.8164.0-9.525%
vs Similar (4)75.075.8150.8-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.569.7153.1+13.882%
This opponent (North Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +3.9+3.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +3.9+3.9
North FloridaAustin Peay
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Alabama
#341
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A16/01
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A17/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H23/01
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H24/01
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H31/01
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A12/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A14/02
NCAA
80.0Avg total
38.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.980.5-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.039.082.0+4.050%-
Last 30 away (18)35.743.879.5-8.122%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.480.0-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.677.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.543.079.5-6.524%-
vs Similar (3)43.037.780.7+5.367%-
vs Weaker (2)58.534.092.5+24.5100%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H16/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A18/01
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H22/01
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H23/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A29/01
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H05/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H07/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/02
NCAA
78.1Avg total
42.4Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.135.275.3+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.635.779.3+7.964%-
Last 30 away (16)37.134.771.8+2.469%-
Last 10 (10)42.435.778.1+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)46.236.482.6+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.238.571.8-5.250%-
vs Similar (4)35.836.572.2-0.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.134.376.5+7.877%-
This opponent (North Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
North Florida wins
7
Austin Peay wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AJacksonville Dolphins56-63
12/02/26AFlorida Gulf Coast81-90
07/02/26AQueens Royals72-91
06/02/26AWest Georgia81-73
31/01/26HLipscomb94-100
30/01/26HStetson77-84
24/01/26HBellarmine117-114 OT
23/01/26HEastern Kentucky87-85
17/01/26ACentral Arkansas69-98
16/01/26ANorth Alabama105-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HBellarmine90-70
12/02/26AQueens Royals95-87
07/02/26HNorth Alabama91-62
05/02/26HLipscomb87-76
31/01/26AWest Georgia81-78
29/01/26AEastern Kentucky90-82
23/01/26HStetson73-65
22/01/26HFlorida Gulf Coast83-62
18/01/26ALipscomb78-82
16/01/26HEastern Kentucky74-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeLWWLL36%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %22%36%12%
Points / game80.790.074.2
Allowed / game89.685.392.6
Point differential-9.0+4.7-18.4
Avg total170.3175.3166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%18%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %4%9%0%
Austin Peay
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %76%100%54%
Points / game82.088.576.1
Allowed / game71.166.575.4
Point differential+10.9+22.0+0.7
Avg total153.2155.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay2519676%82.071.1+10.9
2 Central Arkansas27171063%80.073.7+6.4
3 Lipscomb28171161%80.976.2+4.7
4 Queens Royals28161257%84.383.4+1.0
5 Florida Gulf Coast28131546%79.178.2+0.9
6 West Georgia27121544%76.080.0-4.0
7 Bellarmine27111641%79.180.9-1.8
8 Eastern Kentucky28101836%80.080.7-0.6
9 Stetson2791833%72.780.6-7.8
10 North Alabama2681831%70.778.6-7.9
11 North Florida2762122%80.789.6-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Florida433376
Austin Peay294877
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