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North Texas vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 64-50
33-30 31-20
Position#19
Record23-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game56.3
vs
Position#143
Record18-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game67.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · North Texas v Middle Tenn. St.
02 Mar 2023
NORT64
MIDD50
08 Jan 2022
NORT70
MIDD63
10 Mar 2021
NORT76
MIDD56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Texas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#164
L
60-72
60
72
-12
H20/01
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A21/01
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H27/01
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H28/01
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A05/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
82-79 OT
82
79
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H11/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A17/02
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
80-72 OT
80
72
+8
A19/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-28
29-44
40-29
23-23
34-27
29-32
23-19
29-23
40-29
34-35
30-25
32-37
40-25
27-18
33-29
39-33
30-29
33-34
24-22
25-33
126.2Avg total
66.2Scored
60.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)63.656.3120.0+7.379%
Season at home (15)63.154.3117.4+8.980%
Season away (14)64.158.6122.7+5.679%
Last 10 (10)66.260.0126.2+6.280%
Last 5 (5)70.062.2132.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)54.058.0112.0-4.00%
vs Similar (6)59.763.0122.7-3.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)66.455.4121.9+11.090%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
68-51
68
51
+17
A21/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A27/01
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A29/01
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H03/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H04/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A10/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A11/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Florida International
#255
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-24
25-27
30-38
37-47
39-44
35-38
38-31
46-41
35-29
49-31
39-49
50-44
22-47
47-45
31-32
43-38
27-41
42-17
38-18
25-31
145.3Avg total
74.1Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)71.367.7138.9+3.662%
Season at home (17)71.961.0132.9+10.988%
Season away (12)70.477.1147.5-6.725%
Last 10 (10)74.171.2145.3+2.960%
Last 5 (5)72.872.4145.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.270.5138.8-2.262%
vs Similar (16)72.870.1142.8+2.756%
vs Weaker (5)75.665.4141.0+10.260%
This opponent (North Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +4.0+4.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +4.0+4.0
North TexasMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#164
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H20/01
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A21/01
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H27/01
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
23-19
23
19
+4
H28/01
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A05/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H10/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H11/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A17/02
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A24/02
NCAA
58.7Avg total
32.5Scored
26.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.826.256.0+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)29.024.853.8+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)30.627.958.6+2.771%-
Last 10 (10)32.526.258.7+6.3100%-
Last 5 (5)31.426.057.4+5.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.026.553.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (6)25.828.254.0-2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)31.725.857.5+5.981%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A21/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A27/01
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A29/01
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H03/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A10/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
22-47
22
47
-25
A11/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H17/02
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H18/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H25/02
NCAA
69.5Avg total
34.2Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.232.165.3+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.928.663.5+6.365%-
Last 30 away (13)31.136.667.7-5.523%-
Last 10 (10)34.235.369.5-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)31.437.468.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)32.132.965.0-0.850%-
vs Similar (16)33.431.765.1+1.744%-
vs Weaker (5)33.033.466.4-0.440%-
This opponent (North Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
North Texas wins
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23ACharlotte49-55
19/02/23AUTEP80-72 OT
17/02/23ALouisiana Tech72-62
11/02/23HCharlotte67-43
10/02/23HUAB82-79 OT
05/02/23ARice74-64
28/01/23HUTEP52-42
27/01/23HUTSA Roadrunners63-59
21/01/23AUAB63-52
20/01/23HRice60-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HLouisiana Tech63-49
18/02/23HFlorida International69-58
17/02/23HFlorida Atlantic74-70
11/02/23AUAB69-92
10/02/23AWestern Kentucky89-93
04/02/23HUTSA Roadrunners84-60
03/02/23HUTEP84-72
29/01/23AFlorida International74-82
27/01/23AFlorida Atlantic67-85
21/01/23ALouisiana Tech68-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Texas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWWL79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %79%80%79%
Points / game63.663.164.1
Allowed / game56.354.358.6
Point differential+7.3+8.9+5.6
Avg total120.0117.4122.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%40%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)67% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %62%88%25%
Points / game71.371.970.4
Allowed / game67.761.077.1
Point differential+3.6+10.9-6.7
Avg total138.9132.9147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%59%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)83% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic2926390%78.665.2+13.4
2 North Texas2923679%63.656.3+7.3
3 Memphis2922776%79.973.2+6.7
4 UAB3022873%81.970.3+11.5
5 Tulane27171063%80.776.4+4.3
6 Charlotte29181162%65.761.1+4.7
7 Rice29171259%77.374.8+2.4
8 Temple30161453%69.769.3+0.4
9 Wichita State29151452%70.668.9+1.7
10 East Carolina29151452%69.570.5-1.0
11 South Florida30141647%73.272.0+1.2
12 UTSA Roadrunners3092130%68.976.8-7.9
13 Tulsa2952417%65.477.3-11.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.2923679%73.458.7+14.8
2 Liberty3326779%75.560.5+15.0
3 Kennesaw State3325876%75.569.0+6.5
4 Middle Tenn. St.29181162%71.367.7+3.6
5 Missouri State30161453%65.863.7+2.1
6 Western Kentucky29151452%73.370.8+2.5
7 Delaware31161552%69.770.1-0.4
8 Louisiana Tech30141647%72.869.8+3.0
9 UTEP29131645%68.368.3-0.0
10 Florida International30131743%72.474.7-2.2
11 Jacksonville State31131842%69.970.3-0.4
12 New Mexico State2992031%61.062.8-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Texas333164
Middle Tenn. St.302050
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