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Northern Kentucky vs Illinois (Chi.) Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 08 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Postponed
Position#115
Record5-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Position#225
Record4-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Northern Kentucky v Illinois (Chi.)
08 Jan 2022
NORT v ILLI
upcoming
30 Jan 2021
NORT62
ILLI74
29 Jan 2021
NORT72
ILLI68
10 Mar 2020
NORT71
ILLI62
16 Feb 2020
NORT43
ILLI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Kentucky win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#189
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H23/11
NCAA
DePaul
#210
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#79
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A03/12
NCAA
IPFW
#87
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A04/12
NCAA
Canisius
#299
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H09/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#567
W
91-55
91
55
+36
H12/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#252
L
68-81 OT
68
81
-13
A19/12
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A23/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#354
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H31/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#315
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-23
30-46
30-39
38-38
25-39
33-33
20-36
37-35
38-28
37-34
45-27
46-28
32-28
32-36
14-38
47-41
33-38
46-36
37-23
18-38
138.0Avg total
67.9Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)69.569.1138.6+0.538%
Season at home (8)74.064.8138.8+9.262%
Season away (5)62.476.0138.4-13.60%
Last 10 (10)67.970.1138.0-2.230%
Last 5 (5)70.870.0140.8+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.076.0152.0+0.050%
vs Similar (14)66.771.3138.0-4.636%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)73.468.5141.9+4.957%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trinity (IL)
#533
W
91-50
91
50
+41
H17/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A20/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#151
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H25/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Oakland
#113
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H03/12
NCAA
Detroit
#215
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H05/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A11/12
NCAA
DePaul
#210
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H15/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H19/12
NCAA
Wright State
#123
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
53-23
38-27
31-33
32-47
34-43
46-45
28-35
24-29
29-41
48-40
27-21
29-43
40-32
31-35
30-33
36-39
35-28
26-32
35-42
37-48
140.5Avg total
68.9Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)68.170.8138.9-2.833%
Season at home (6)71.869.2141.0+2.733%
Season away (6)64.372.5136.8-8.233%
Last 10 (10)68.971.6140.5-2.730%
Last 5 (5)65.270.6135.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)62.377.3139.6-15.00%
vs Similar (20)69.273.2142.4-4.140%
vs Weaker (3)74.359.0133.3+15.3100%
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -3.8-3.8
Northern KentuckyIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#189
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H23/11
NCAA
DePaul
#210
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#79
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A03/12
NCAA
IPFW
#87
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A04/12
NCAA
Canisius
#299
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H09/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#567
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H12/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#252
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A19/12
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
14-38
14
38
-24
A23/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#354
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H31/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#315
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H01/01
NCAA
63.0Avg total
31.1Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.732.464.1-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.930.464.2+3.562%-
Last 30 away (14)29.134.763.9-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)31.131.963.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.230.863.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.037.575.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (14)30.032.962.9-2.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)32.431.163.6+1.343%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trinity (IL)
#533
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H17/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A20/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#151
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H25/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A26/11
NCAA
Oakland
#113
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H03/12
NCAA
Detroit
#215
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H05/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A11/12
NCAA
DePaul
#210
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H15/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Wright State
#123
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A07/01
NCAA
67.3Avg total
34.2Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.334.366.6-1.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.733.166.8+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)31.035.466.4-4.420%-
Last 10 (10)34.233.167.3+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.431.264.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.335.966.1-5.614%-
vs Similar (20)31.534.766.2-3.225%-
vs Weaker (3)42.727.770.3+15.0100%-
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Northern Kentucky wins
2
Illinois (Chi.) wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/22HWisc. Milwaukee55-61
31/12/21HWisc. Green Bay79-74
23/12/21AIndiana61-79
19/12/21AEastern Kentucky68-81 OT
12/12/21HAlice Loyd91-55
09/12/21HCanisius75-62
04/12/21AIPFW57-71
03/12/21ACleveland State58-72
26/11/21ADePaul68-77
23/11/21HWestern Illinois67-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/22AWright State72-90
19/12/21HNorthern Illinois61-60
15/12/21HDePaul66-72
11/12/21ACentral Michigan71-67
05/12/21HDetroit56-64
03/12/21HOakland77-81
26/11/21ASan Diego Toreros52-64
25/11/21HHawaii80-88
20/11/21ALoyola Chicago63-80
17/11/21HTrinity (IL)91-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Kentucky
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %38%62%0%
Points / game69.574.062.4
Allowed / game69.164.876.0
Point differential+0.5+9.2-13.6
Avg total138.6138.8138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %15%12%20%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game68.171.864.3
Allowed / game70.869.272.5
Point differential-2.8+2.7-8.2
Avg total138.9141.0136.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland State129375%75.668.6+7.0
2 Oakland1410471%75.166.1+9.0
3 Youngstown State148657%70.968.3+2.6
4 Wright State147750%74.975.4-0.5
5 IPFW136746%72.772.3+0.4
6 Detroit125742%69.470.8-1.3
7 Northern Kentucky135838%69.569.1+0.5
8 Wisc. Milwaukee1551033%64.169.1-5.0
9 Wisc. Green Bay1421214%61.468.9-7.5
10 Robert Morris1421214%69.877.6-7.9
11 IUPUI111109%50.263.9-13.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1311285%85.466.8+18.6
2 Belmont1411379%82.171.1+11.0
3 Drake1510567%75.564.3+11.2
4 Southern Illinois138562%65.159.3+5.8
5 Indiana State148657%75.970.4+5.5
6 Valparaiso158753%74.068.8+5.2
7 Illinois State158753%80.477.9+2.5
8 Bradley157847%71.767.3+4.5
9 Northern Iowa136746%73.868.0+5.8
10 Illinois (Chi.)124833%68.170.8-2.8
11 Evansville134931%61.767.1-5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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