PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Northern Kentucky hosts UTEP in a November 2 NCAA matchup, with the model favouring the Wildcats at 70% to 30% for the Owls and projecting a 77-71 win; the Wildcats are expected to score 77 points to UTEP's 71 for a total of 147.3. The Wildcats' last five games include three wins and two losses, with a recent loss to Wright State 90-103 away on 9 March 2026, a win over Wisc. Green Bay 96-76 away on 8 March 2026, and a close win against Oakland 85-84 away on 4 March 2026. The Owls have struggled, winning only one of their last five with a 61-64 loss to Jacksonville State at home on 7 March 2026, a 78-71 win over Kennesaw State at home on 5 March 2026, and a 65-97 loss to Western Kentucky away on 28 February 2026. The model gives Northern Kentucky a 70% chance to win and a 30% chance for UTEP, with a 5% probability of overtime. The projected score of 77-71 suggests the Wildcats will cover the spread and the over is likely. The game will hinge on whether UTEP can keep the Wildcats' offensive output in check.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 82.3 | 79.0 | 161.3 | +3.3 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.6 | 85.0 | 173.6 | +3.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (8) | 81.9 | 85.0 | 166.9 | -3.1 | 25% |
| vs Weaker (22) | 83.0 | 74.6 | 157.6 | +8.4 | 73% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 69.4 | 72.6 | 142.0 | -3.2 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 66.8 | 75.2 | 142.0 | -8.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (26) | 66.2 | 73.5 | 139.7 | -7.3 | 23% |
| vs Similar (2) | 70.0 | 62.0 | 132.0 | +8.0 | 100% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.0 | 35.5 | 74.5 | +3.5 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.0 | 34.5 | 74.5 | +5.5 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.0 | 36.6 | 74.6 | +1.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.3 | 33.6 | 69.9 | +2.7 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.4 | 33.2 | 75.6 | +9.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (8) | 38.1 | 38.8 | 76.9 | -0.6 | 38% | - |
| vs Weaker (22) | 39.3 | 34.4 | 73.7 | +5.0 | 64% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.7 | 34.9 | 66.7 | -3.2 | 30% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 33.3 | 33.4 | 66.8 | -0.1 | 44% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 29.9 | 36.6 | 66.6 | -6.7 | 14% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 30.5 | 33.6 | 64.1 | -3.1 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 30.8 | 35.0 | 65.8 | -4.2 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (26) | 31.3 | 35.3 | 66.6 | -4.1 | 27% | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 28.5 | 30.5 | 59.0 | -2.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 | A | Wright State | 90-103 |
| 08/03/26 | A | Wisc. Green Bay | 96-76 |
| 05/03/26 | A | Oakland | 85-84 |
| 01/03/26 | H | Wright State | 91-92 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Cleveland State | 81-70 |
| 22/02/26 | A | Youngstown State | 58-64 |
| 19/02/26 | H | IPFW | 87-71 |
| 12/02/26 | A | IU Indy | 84-81 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Wisc. Milwaukee | 67-62 |
| 05/02/26 | H | Wisc. Green Bay | 84-87 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | H | Jacksonville State | 61-64 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Kennesaw State | 78-71 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Western Kentucky | 65-97 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Middle Tenn. St. | 67-77 |
| 22/02/26 | A | New Mexico State | 63-67 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Liberty | 64-73 |
| 12/02/26 | A | Jacksonville State | 69-64 |
| 08/02/26 | H | New Mexico State | 91-88 OT |
| 05/02/26 | A | Sam Houston St. | 66-70 |
| 01/02/26 | H | Delaware | 70-55 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicholls State | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 110.0 | 56.0 | +54.0 |
| 2 | Hofstra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 97.0 | 51.0 | +46.0 |
| 3 | Middle Tenn. St. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 117.0 | 73.0 | +44.0 |
| 4 | South Carolina St | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 55.0 | +39.0 |
| 5 | IU Indy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 113.0 | 76.0 | +37.0 |
| 6 | Mercer | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 53.0 | +37.0 |
| 7 | Murray State | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 64.0 | +30.0 |
| 8 | High Point | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 72.0 | 57.0 | +15.0 |
| 9 | Merrimack Warriors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 63.0 | 49.0 | +14.0 |
| 10 | Queens Royals | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 103.0 | 98.0 | +5.0 |
| 11 | Grambling St. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 87.0 | +2.0 |
| 12 | Notre Dame | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 74.0 | 72.0 | +2.0 |
| 13 | Northern Illinois | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 87.0 | 89.0 | -2.0 |
| 14 | Villanova | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 72.0 | 74.0 | -2.0 |
| 15 | Winthrop | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 98.0 | 103.0 | -5.0 |
| 16 | Appalachian State | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 49.0 | 63.0 | -14.0 |
| 17 | Liberty | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 57.0 | 72.0 | -15.0 |
| 18 | Tennessee State | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 64.0 | 94.0 | -30.0 |
| 19 | Miami (OH) - Middletown | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 76.0 | 113.0 | -37.0 |
| 20 | Reinhardt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 53.0 | 90.0 | -37.0 |
| 21 | Morris College | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 55.0 | 94.0 | -39.0 |
| 22 | Fisk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 73.0 | 117.0 | -44.0 |
| 23 | St. Joseph's (Brooklyn) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 51.0 | 97.0 | -46.0 |
| 24 | North American Stallions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 56.0 | 110.0 | -54.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Kentucky | 42 | 42 | 84 |
| UTEP | 38 | 38 | 76 |
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