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Western Kentucky vs UTEP Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 97-65
0-0 49-39 0-0 48-26
Position#151
Record17-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game74.9
Western Kentucky 🏆
USA
vs
UTEP
USA
Position#307
Record10-18
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Western Kentucky v UTEP
28 Feb 2026
WEST97
UTEP65
30 Jan 2025
WEST78
UTEP74
16 Mar 2024
WEST78
UTEP71
15 Feb 2024
WEST90
UTEP80
08 Mar 2023
WEST73
UTEP67
04 Feb 2023
WEST74
UTEP69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTEP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#26
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H22/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A24/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A29/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H06/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H07/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
94-73
94
73
+21
A21/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H27/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-35
0-0
37-41
0-0
21-38
0-0
37-35
0-0
36-37
0-0
33-35
0-0
30-23
0-0
35-37
0-0
28-33
0-0
38-38
0-0
30-38
0-0
50-32
0-0
42-37
0-0
40-43
0-0
29-41
0-0
50-38
0-0
48-37
0-0
46-36
0-0
48-26
0-0
45-44
149.6Avg total
76.4Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.074.9153.9+4.161%
Season at home (17)82.474.4156.7+8.071%
Season away (11)73.875.6149.5-1.845%
Last 10 (10)76.473.2149.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)87.476.0163.4+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.881.7160.4-2.933%
vs Similar (14)72.972.7145.6+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.773.0156.7+10.7100%
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTEPUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H23/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H29/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H01/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A05/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A12/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H14/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
47-39
0-0
36-38
0-0
31-21
0-0
26-41
0-0
27-36
0-0
32-33
0-0
27-25
0-0
43-30
0-0
33-36
0-0
33-34
0-0
32-39
0-0
40-33
0-0
33-33
0-0
36-31
0-0
26-28
0-0
38-45
0-0
25-35
0-0
38-32
0-0
26-34
0-0
41-43
139.1Avg total
68.9Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)69.571.9141.3-2.436%
Season at home (15)74.770.9145.6+3.753%
Season away (13)63.572.9136.4-9.515%
Last 10 (10)68.970.2139.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)70.873.8144.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)65.773.3139.0-7.721%
vs Similar (3)73.063.0136.0+10.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
Western KentuckyUTEP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#26
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H22/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A24/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H06/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H07/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A19/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A21/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H27/02
NCAA
68.9Avg total
34.4Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.970.7+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.634.171.6+3.563%-
Last 30 away (11)32.736.469.1-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)34.434.568.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.875.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.638.674.1-3.044%-
vs Similar (14)34.433.968.3+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)36.333.069.3+3.367%-
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTEPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A05/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H08/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A12/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H14/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A22/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A27/02
NCAA
63.3Avg total
30.7Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.834.766.5-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.333.868.1+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)29.035.764.7-6.714%-
Last 10 (10)30.732.663.3-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)28.433.862.2-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)30.735.466.0-4.725%-
vs Similar (3)31.030.361.3+0.767%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Western Kentucky wins
1
UTEP wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26UTEP v Western Kentucky56-68
28/02/25UTEP v Western Kentucky73-80
31/01/25Western Kentucky v UTEP78-74
17/03/24Western Kentucky v UTEP78-71
16/02/24Western Kentucky v UTEP90-80
21/01/24UTEP v Western Kentucky93-87
08/03/23Western Kentucky v UTEP73-67
03/03/23UTEP v Western Kentucky68-73
04/02/23Western Kentucky v UTEP74-69
14/02/20UTEP v Western Kentucky62-67
Western Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HNew Mexico State93-70
21/02/26ALiberty94-73
19/02/26ADelaware88-87 OT
15/02/26HMiddle Tenn. St.82-80
07/02/26HFlorida International80-70
06/02/26HJacksonville State66-71
31/01/26AMiddle Tenn. St.65-60
29/01/26AKennesaw State69-72
24/01/26ASam Houston St.58-73
22/01/26HLiberty69-76
UTEPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26AMiddle Tenn. St.67-77
22/02/26ANew Mexico State63-67
14/02/26HLiberty64-73
12/02/26AJacksonville State69-64
08/02/26HNew Mexico State91-88 OT
05/02/26ASam Houston St.66-70
01/02/26HDelaware70-55
29/01/26HLouisiana Tech59-69
24/01/26HMissouri State57-62
23/01/26HFlorida International83-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW61%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayLLWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %61%71%45%
Points / game79.082.473.8
Allowed / game74.974.475.6
Point differential+4.1+8.0-1.8
Avg total153.9156.7149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%47%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)57% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%18%
UTEP
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeLLWWL53%
AwayLLWLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %36%53%15%
Points / game69.574.763.5
Allowed / game71.970.972.9
Point differential-2.4+3.7-9.5
Avg total141.3145.6136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2823582%78.669.6+9.0
2 Sam Houston St.2820871%83.473.7+9.6
3 Kennesaw State28171161%84.076.0+8.0
4 Western Kentucky28171161%79.074.9+4.1
5 Louisiana Tech28161257%69.064.7+4.4
6 Middle Tenn. St.29151452%75.873.1+2.7
7 Jacksonville State28141450%73.067.9+5.1
8 New Mexico State28141450%75.772.1+3.6
9 Florida International28131546%80.978.6+2.3
10 Missouri State28131546%75.173.5+1.6
11 UTEP28101836%69.571.9-2.4
12 Delaware2891932%67.772.9-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Western Kentucky04904897
UTEP03902665
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