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Middle Tenn. St. vs UTEP Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 77-67
34-26 43-41
Position#179
Record13-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game72.9
Middle Tenn. St. 🏆
USA
vs
UTEP
USA
Position#307
Record10-17
FormLWWLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game71.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP
26 Feb 2026
MIDD77
UTEP67
01 Feb 2025
MIDD71
UTEP68
17 Feb 2024
MIDD96
UTEP90
02 Feb 2023
MIDD84
UTEP72
10 Mar 2022
MIDD66
UTEP59
21 Feb 2022
MIDD77
UTEP59
04 Mar 2020
MIDD56
UTEP60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTEP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#223
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A24/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
65-81
65
81
-16
H30/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A15/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-36
30-32
34-39
24-36
29-43
36-38
23-30
37-35
38-39
37-36
43-41
36-38
45-49
45-38
37-42
43-40
32-44
38-34
31-20
47-46
156.1Avg total
76.3Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.372.9148.2+2.548%
Season at home (15)79.470.7150.1+8.767%
Season away (12)70.275.6145.8-5.325%
Last 10 (10)76.379.8156.1-3.530%
Last 5 (5)81.280.4161.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.578.2146.7-9.730%
vs Similar (12)74.071.2145.2+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.769.5158.2+19.267%
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTEPUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#26
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A17/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H23/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H29/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H01/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A05/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A12/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H14/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-41
31-39
47-39
36-38
31-21
26-41
27-36
32-33
27-25
43-30
33-36
33-34
32-39
40-33
33-33
36-31
26-28
38-45
25-35
38-32
139.6Avg total
69.1Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)69.671.7141.2-2.137%
Season at home (15)74.770.9145.6+3.753%
Season away (12)63.272.6135.8-9.417%
Last 10 (10)69.170.5139.6-1.440%
Last 5 (5)70.672.4143.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)65.673.2138.8-7.622%
vs Similar (4)69.266.2135.5+3.075%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -0.3-0.3
Middle Tenn. St.UTEP
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#223
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H30/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H31/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A19/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H21/02
NCAA
73.3Avg total
35.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.471.3+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.633.571.1+4.153%-
Last 30 away (13)35.935.571.5+0.438%-
Last 10 (10)35.038.373.3-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.276.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.438.272.6-3.820%-
vs Similar (12)35.733.168.8+2.642%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.729.271.8+13.5100%-
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTEPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#26
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A05/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H08/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A12/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H14/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A22/02
NCAA
65.2Avg total
31.9Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.734.766.4-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.333.868.1+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)28.735.764.4-7.014%-
Last 10 (10)31.933.365.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)29.834.264.0-4.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)30.935.466.3-4.626%-
vs Similar (4)28.831.260.0-2.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Middle Tenn. St. wins
4
UTEP wins
DateGameScore
09/01/26UTEP v Middle Tenn. St.83-80 OT
01/03/25UTEP v Middle Tenn. St.75-76 OT
01/02/25Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP71-68
17/02/24Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP96-90 OT
19/01/24UTEP v Middle Tenn. St.73-59
04/03/23UTEP v Middle Tenn. St.77-65
03/02/23Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP84-72
11/03/22Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP66-59 OT
22/02/22Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP77-59
05/03/20Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP56-60
Middle Tenn. St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HDelaware78-66
19/02/26ASam Houston St.70-78
15/02/26AWestern Kentucky80-82
12/02/26AKennesaw State90-87
07/02/26ADelaware88-89 OT
05/02/26HFlorida International84-88 OT
31/01/26HWestern Kentucky60-65
30/01/26HLiberty65-81
24/01/26AJacksonville State58-75
17/01/26HMissouri State90-87 OT
UTEPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26ANew Mexico State63-67
14/02/26HLiberty64-73
12/02/26AJacksonville State69-64
08/02/26HNew Mexico State91-88 OT
05/02/26ASam Houston St.66-70
01/02/26HDelaware70-55
29/01/26HLouisiana Tech59-69
24/01/26HMissouri State57-62
23/01/26HFlorida International83-77
17/01/26ALiberty69-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW48%
HomeWLLLW67%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %48%67%25%
Points / game75.379.470.2
Allowed / game72.970.775.6
Point differential+2.5+8.7-5.3
Avg total148.2150.1145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %15%13%17%
UTEP
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL37%
HomeLLWWL53%
AwayWLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %37%53%17%
Points / game69.674.763.2
Allowed / game71.770.972.6
Point differential-2.1+3.7-9.4
Avg total141.2145.6135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2823582%78.669.6+9.0
2 Sam Houston St.2719870%82.774.0+8.8
3 Kennesaw State28171161%84.076.0+8.0
4 Western Kentucky27161159%78.575.0+3.4
5 Louisiana Tech27151256%68.964.5+4.4
6 New Mexico State26141254%75.670.7+4.8
7 Jacksonville State28141450%73.067.9+5.1
8 Florida International27131448%81.477.8+3.6
9 Middle Tenn. St.27131448%75.372.9+2.5
10 Missouri State27131448%75.373.5+1.7
11 UTEP27101737%69.671.7-2.1
12 Delaware2891932%67.772.9-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.344377
UTEP264167
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