PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Northern Kentucky hosts UTEP in a November 2 NCAA matchup, with the model favouring the Wildcats at 70% to 30% for the Owls and projecting a 77-71 win; the Wildcats are expected to score 77 points to UTEP's 71 for a total of 147.3. The Wildcats' last five games include three wins and two losses, with a recent loss to Wright State 90-103 away on 9 March 2026, a win over Wisc. Green Bay 96-76 away on 8 March 2026, and a close win against Oakland 85-84 away on 4 March 2026. The Owls have struggled, winning only one of their last five with a 61-64 loss to Jacksonville State at home on 7 March 2026, a 78-71 win over Kennesaw State at home on 5 March 2026, and a 65-97 loss to Western Kentucky away on 28 February 2026. The model gives Northern Kentucky a 70% chance to win and a 30% chance for UTEP, with a 5% probability of overtime. The projected score of 77-71 suggests the Wildcats will cover the spread and the over is likely. The game will hinge on whether UTEP can keep the Wildcats' offensive output in check.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 82.3 | 79.0 | 161.3 | +3.3 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.6 | 85.0 | 173.6 | +3.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (8) | 81.9 | 85.0 | 166.9 | -3.1 | 25% |
| vs Weaker (22) | 83.0 | 74.6 | 157.6 | +8.4 | 73% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 69.4 | 72.6 | 142.0 | -3.2 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 66.8 | 75.2 | 142.0 | -8.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (26) | 66.2 | 73.5 | 139.7 | -7.3 | 23% |
| vs Similar (2) | 70.0 | 62.0 | 132.0 | +8.0 | 100% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.0 | 35.5 | 74.5 | +3.5 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.0 | 34.5 | 74.5 | +5.5 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.0 | 36.6 | 74.6 | +1.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.3 | 33.6 | 69.9 | +2.7 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.4 | 33.2 | 75.6 | +9.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (8) | 38.1 | 38.8 | 76.9 | -0.6 | 38% | - |
| vs Weaker (22) | 39.3 | 34.4 | 73.7 | +5.0 | 64% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.7 | 34.9 | 66.7 | -3.2 | 30% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 33.3 | 33.4 | 66.8 | -0.1 | 44% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 29.9 | 36.6 | 66.6 | -6.7 | 14% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 30.5 | 33.6 | 64.1 | -3.1 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 30.8 | 35.0 | 65.8 | -4.2 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (26) | 31.3 | 35.3 | 66.6 | -4.1 | 27% | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 28.5 | 30.5 | 59.0 | -2.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 | A | Wright State | 90-103 |
| 08/03/26 | A | Wisc. Green Bay | 96-76 |
| 05/03/26 | A | Oakland | 85-84 |
| 01/03/26 | H | Wright State | 91-92 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Cleveland State | 81-70 |
| 22/02/26 | A | Youngstown State | 58-64 |
| 19/02/26 | H | IPFW | 87-71 |
| 12/02/26 | A | IU Indy | 84-81 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Wisc. Milwaukee | 67-62 |
| 05/02/26 | H | Wisc. Green Bay | 84-87 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | H | Jacksonville State | 61-64 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Kennesaw State | 78-71 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Western Kentucky | 65-97 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Middle Tenn. St. | 67-77 |
| 22/02/26 | A | New Mexico State | 63-67 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Liberty | 64-73 |
| 12/02/26 | A | Jacksonville State | 69-64 |
| 08/02/26 | H | New Mexico State | 91-88 OT |
| 05/02/26 | A | Sam Houston St. | 66-70 |
| 01/02/26 | H | Delaware | 70-55 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nicholls State | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 110.0 | 56.0 | +54.0 |
| 2 |  Hofstra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 97.0 | 51.0 | +46.0 |
| 3 |  Middle Tenn. St. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 117.0 | 73.0 | +44.0 |
| 4 |  South Carolina St | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 55.0 | +39.0 |
| 5 |  IU Indy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 113.0 | 76.0 | +37.0 |
| 6 |  Mercer | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 53.0 | +37.0 |
| 7 |  Murray State | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 64.0 | +30.0 |
| 8 |  High Point | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 72.0 | 57.0 | +15.0 |
| 9 |  Merrimack Warriors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 63.0 | 49.0 | +14.0 |
| 10 |  Queens Royals | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 103.0 | 98.0 | +5.0 |
| 11 |  Grambling St. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 87.0 | +2.0 |
| 12 |  Notre Dame | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 74.0 | 72.0 | +2.0 |
| 13 |  Northern Illinois | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 87.0 | 89.0 | -2.0 |
| 14 |  Villanova | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 72.0 | 74.0 | -2.0 |
| 15 |  Winthrop | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 98.0 | 103.0 | -5.0 |
| 16 |  Appalachian State | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 49.0 | 63.0 | -14.0 |
| 17 |  Liberty | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 57.0 | 72.0 | -15.0 |
| 18 |  Tennessee State | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 64.0 | 94.0 | -30.0 |
| 19 |  Miami (OH) - Middletown | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 76.0 | 113.0 | -37.0 |
| 20 |  Reinhardt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 53.0 | 90.0 | -37.0 |
| 21 |  Morris College | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 55.0 | 94.0 | -39.0 |
| 22 |  Fisk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 73.0 | 117.0 | -44.0 |
| 23 |  St. Joseph's (Brooklyn) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 51.0 | 97.0 | -46.0 |
| 24 | North American Stallions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 56.0 | 110.0 | -54.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Kentucky | 42 | 42 | 84 |
| UTEP | 38 | 38 | 76 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.
